ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3086
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1272
actual -0.4358
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.004485 | 0.004512 | +0.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004731 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004406 | +0.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004395 | -0.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004707 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004706 | -3.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004776 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004431 | -3.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004386 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004455 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004557 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004734 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004817 | -5.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004747 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.004887 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005262 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005356 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005386 | -8.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005459 | -8.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.00554 | -9.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005381 | -9.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005325 | -9.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005516 | -11.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005565 | -11.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.005643 | -12.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.005688 | -12.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.005567 | -13.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.005538 | -13.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00559 | -14.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005398 | -13.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.005775 | -15.44% | 0.004485 | -34.33% | 0.2715 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.005772 | -15.86% | 0.004775 | -30.39% | 0.2259 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.005799 | -14.72% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.2500 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.005868 | -16.41% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.2715 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.005783 | -16.49% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.1908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.005831 | -14.63% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.2408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.005763 | -14.62% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.2070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00654 | -17.89% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.4359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005152 | -12.46% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.1645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005387 | -12.05% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.2292 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.005574 | -11.88% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.005839 | -12.00% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.2386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006108 | -11.99% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.2584 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006219 | -11.79% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.2602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.006922 | -13.26% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.3151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.006952 | -13.21% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.2466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.006959 | -12.41% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.2432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.007247 | -11.57% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.2813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.007445 | -10.19% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.2990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.007592 | -8.53% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.2534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.00847 | -8.63% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.4405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009064 | -7.18% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.009944 | -5.79% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010278 | -4.30% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.5620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010676 | -3.39% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.5708 | ✓ | 1.00 |