ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
58.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0438
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004732 | -0.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004385 | -0.46% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0834 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004414 | -0.48% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0066 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004805 | -0.83% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0814 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004846 | -0.80% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0048 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004962 | -1.06% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004578 | -0.37% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0865 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004545 | -0.33% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0152 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004621 | -0.31% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0248 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004766 | -0.40% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0176 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004963 | -0.43% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0520 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005086 | -0.48% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0139 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005028 | -0.54% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005222 | -0.73% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0256 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005674 | -0.81% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0897 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005776 | -0.58% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005839 | -0.61% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0068 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005955 | -0.67% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0200 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006096 | -0.80% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005917 | -0.72% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0399 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005875 | -0.67% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0113 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006169 | -0.82% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006255 | -0.86% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0064 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006376 | -0.92% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0088 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006462 | -0.89% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0129 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006359 | -0.87% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0254 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00635 | -0.86% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0129 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006456 | -0.98% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0104 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006185 | -0.72% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0528 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006762 | -1.00% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.0989 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006789 | -1.03% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0024 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.00675 | -0.74% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0907 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.00696 | -0.85% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0243 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.00687 | -0.80% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.00679 | -0.58% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006711 | -0.58% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007806 | -1.99% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005889 | +0.07% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006136 | +0.17% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0595 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006344 | +0.30% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006653 | +0.28% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006954 | +0.20% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007074 | +0.34% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007984 | +0.05% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008013 | +0.04% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007953 | +0.10% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008212 | +0.21% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008313 | +0.28% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008327 | +0.32% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009281 | +0.12% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1616 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009771 | +0.06% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0514 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010546 | -0.08% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010727 | -0.12% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011025 | -0.23% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 1.00 |