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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s9

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
76.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2394
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0214
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002703-1.15%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002689-1.12%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002693-1.17%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003018-1.84%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002674-0.78%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002672-0.84%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002718-0.97%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002736-1.05%0.002735-1.08%0.0137✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002812-0.81%0.00272-4.06%0.0313✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002728-0.79%0.002725-0.91%0.0023✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.0028-0.89%0.003075+8.85%0.1094✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002811-1.00%0.002695-5.11%0.0277✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002762-1.01%0.002695-3.41%0.0145✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002716-1.04%0.002745+0.00%0.0063✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002861-0.99%0.002765-4.33%0.0189✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002928-0.41%0.002835-3.57%0.0099✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003216-1.05%0.00275-15.38%0.1142✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.00312-0.31%0.002825-9.74%0.0674✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003011-0.62%0.00284-6.27%0.0380✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002915-0.51%0.00279-4.78%0.0215✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002997-0.43%0.002745-8.80%0.0522✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002944-0.54%0.00289-2.36%0.0155✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002903-0.42%0.00294+0.86%0.0090✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002983-0.58%0.00325+8.33%0.0611✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003125-0.47%0.00313-0.32%0.0205✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003365-1.61%0.00303-11.40%0.1086✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002898+0.12%0.00293+1.21%0.0060✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002807+0.24%0.00301+7.50%0.0644✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002848+0.29%0.00296+4.23%0.0482✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002961+0.53%0.002915-1.02%0.0136✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002914+0.65%0.003+3.63%0.0665✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002512-0.30%0.00314+24.60%0.1887✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.26%0.00342+30.04%0.2320✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002878-0.58%0.002895+0.00%0.0294✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002637-0.88%0.0028+5.26%0.0233✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002387-0.56%0.00284+18.33%0.0878✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002442-0.54%0.002945+19.96%0.0721✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002536-0.36%0.002895+13.75%0.0406✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002569-0.43%0.00252-2.33%0.0674✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002689-0.41%0.00263-2.59%0.0671✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002733-0.44%0.002895+5.46%0.0191✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002592-0.52%0.00266+2.11%0.0283✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002851-0.31%0.0024-16.08%0.1486✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002726+0.21%0.002455-9.74%0.0737✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002631+0.22%0.002545-3.05%0.0237✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002685+0.38%0.00258-3.55%0.0007✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002773+1.03%0.0027-1.64%0.0022✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.00266+0.95%0.002745+4.17%0.0576✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002913+1.15%0.002605-9.55%0.0647✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002952+0.74%0.00286-2.39%0.0433✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003226+0.49%0.00272-15.26%0.1831✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003051+0.85%0.002625-13.22%0.1570✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002579+0.75%0.002675+4.49%0.0054✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002566+0.84%0.002745+7.86%0.0476✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002804+0.68%0.002635-5.39%0.0850✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002863+0.82%0.00288+1.41%0.0061✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002705+0.76%0.00293+9.12%0.1001✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002725+0.73%0.00321+18.67%0.1773✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002882+0.61%0.003025+5.58%0.0531✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.00307+0.48%0.00256-16.20%0.1807✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002965+0.33%0.002545-13.87%0.1676✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003048+0.25%0.002785-8.39%0.0840✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003031-0.31%0.00284-6.58%0.1618✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003067-1.06%0.002685-13.39%0.2879✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003002-1.25%0.002705-11.02%0.3565✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003174-1.73%0.002865-11.30%0.3453✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002993-1.55%0.003055+0.49%0.2242✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003034-1.50%0.002955-4.06%0.2527✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.00289-1.19%0.00304+3.93%0.1942✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002888-1.25%0.00304+3.93%0.1165✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003129-1.90%0.0031-2.82%0.0928✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002901-1.51%0.00304+3.23%0.0338✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003329-2.81%0.00323-5.69%0.0319✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002978-2.03%0.00304+0.00%0.0226✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.00302-2.26%0.00308-0.32%0.0198✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003214-2.90%0.002925-11.63%0.0939✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003564-4.33%0.002925-21.48%0.1966✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004546-8.71%0.00319-35.94%0.3534✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002953-1.25%0.002945-1.51%0.0038✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003134-1.43%0.003425+7.70%0.0896✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003239-1.56%0.00304-7.60%0.0607✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003206-1.35%0.00309-4.92%0.0316✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003105-0.81%0.00331+5.75%0.0693✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003179-1.12%0.003725+15.86%0.1572✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003401-1.43%0.00498+44.35%0.3840✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00358-1.37%0.00299-17.63%0.1794✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003605-1.23%0.00318-12.88%0.1263✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003722-1.52%0.00329-12.96%0.1309✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00365-1.23%0.00325-12.04%0.1217✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003653-1.01%0.00313-15.18%0.1579✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003782-1.37%0.003215-16.17%0.1636✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00393-1.74%0.00345-13.75%0.1382✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00391-1.75%0.00363-8.79%0.0840✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003827-1.36%0.00365-5.93%0.0522✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004048-1.50%0.00378-8.03%0.0665✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004007-1.43%0.003695-9.10%0.0825✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004156-1.40%0.00369-12.46%0.1184✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004259-1.41%0.003835-11.23%0.1013✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004442-1.94%0.004-11.70%0.0992✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003658-0.86%0.00398+7.86%0.0900✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00409-0.24%0.00388-5.37%0.0483✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004214-0.73%0.00411-3.18%0.0232✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004323-0.73%0.004065-6.66%0.0564✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004665-1.16%0.004215-10.70%0.1026✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005273-1.08%0.00432-18.95%0.1971✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004906-0.29%0.00453-7.93%0.0699✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006169-1.14%0.00369-40.87%0.5038✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007329-1.36%0.0041-44.82%0.5922✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007982-1.58%0.004245-47.66%0.6310✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007684-1.48%0.004355-44.17%0.5657✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00812-1.76%0.00472-42.89%0.5373✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00838-2.10%0.00533-37.73%0.4476✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007797-1.43%0.00492-37.80%0.4515✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008423-2.06%0.00624-27.44%0.2874✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008833-2.83%0.00743-18.26%0.1597✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007064-0.64%0.00811+14.06%0.1571✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00774-1.02%0.0078-0.26%0.0233✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007995-1.29%0.008265+2.04%0.0454✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007898-1.22%0.00856+7.07%0.0894✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007788-1.17%0.00791+0.38%0.0120✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008441-1.96%0.0086-0.12%0.0000✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008771-2.44%0.00909+1.11%0.0166✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008482-2.39%0.00711-18.18%0.1960✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009218-3.27%0.00782-17.94%0.1873✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008858-3.14%0.0081-11.43%0.1078✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008642-3.22%0.007995-10.47%0.0938✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009318-4.04%0.00788-18.85%0.1877✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009696-4.75%0.00861-15.42%0.1342✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009142-4.37%0.00899-5.96%0.0266✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008136-3.15%0.00869+3.45%0.0538✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009032-4.62%0.00953+0.63%0.0529✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.00731-2.41%0.009145+22.10%0.2237✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007223-2.39%0.00893+20.68%0.2085✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007352-2.50%0.00971+28.78%0.2936✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006413-1.80%0.01018+55.90%0.4815✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007027-2.41%0.00956+32.78%0.3268✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007597-2.98%0.0084+7.28%0.1180✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007815-3.27%0.00947+17.20%0.2192✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007623-3.38%0.00749-5.07%0.0005✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008438-4.54%0.0074-16.29%0.1335✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008642-4.93%0.00754-17.05%0.1515✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009181-5.84%0.00653-33.03%0.3636✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011353-9.39%0.0072-42.54%0.5992✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008829-5.92%0.00783-16.57%0.2556✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008389-5.85%0.00808-9.32%0.2022✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010037-8.76%0.00789-28.27%0.3826✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006949-4.68%0.00884+21.26%0.1416✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007136-5.16%0.00909+20.80%0.1452✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.00728-5.08%0.00975+27.12%0.2038✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.0084-5.94%0.01253+40.31%0.3747✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009309-6.58%0.009385-5.82%0.0041✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009887-7.17%0.00891-16.34%0.1087✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011152-8.40%0.011-9.65%0.0158✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012561-9.18%0.00729-47.29%0.5527✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01198-9.31%0.007525-43.04%0.4708✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015984-9.72%0.00767-56.68%0.7353✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.01835-10.70%0.00893-56.55%0.7208✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015635-10.35%0.009965-42.86%0.4488✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016291-10.59%0.01065-41.55%0.4196✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020167-11.12%0.012175-46.34%0.4935✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015309-10.94%0.01383-19.55%0.0831✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019279-11.65%0.01321-39.46%0.3681✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006039-10.99%0.017705+160.94%1.1291✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004041-8.17%0.02055+367.05%1.7069✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002446+0.26%0.01744+614.75%2.0535✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002411-0.79%0.01822+649.79%2.0697✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002351-1.20%0.02269+853.36%2.2887✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002239-1.35%0.01719+657.27%2.0179✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002216-1.06%0.02182+874.11%2.3295✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002331-1.01%0.006785+188.11%1.0734✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002263-1.60%0.0044+91.30%0.6425✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002375-1.46%0.00244+1.24%0.0166✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002443-1.48%0.00243-2.02%0.0294✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002383-1.51%0.00238-1.65%0.0252✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002609-1.35%0.00227-14.18%0.1859✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002706-1.44%0.00224-18.40%0.2600✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002906-1.49%0.002355-20.17%0.2676✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002864-1.90%0.0023-21.23%0.2509✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003056-2.06%0.00241-22.76%0.2359✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002686-2.31%0.00248-9.82%0.0927✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003215-1.68%0.00242-25.99%0.2937✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003298-1.85%0.002645-21.28%0.1957✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003383-1.81%0.002745-20.32%0.1778✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003202-2.08%0.00295-9.79%0.0815✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003474-2.41%0.00292-17.98%0.1925✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003448-2.74%0.00312-11.99%0.1602✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003388-2.52%0.00275-20.86%0.2329✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00343-2.83%0.00327-7.37%0.0525✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003725-3.00%0.00336-12.50%0.1441✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003516-2.46%0.003445-4.44%0.0648✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003487-2.60%0.00327-8.66%0.0930✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003445-2.69%0.00356+0.56%0.0140✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003903-2.78%0.003545-11.71%0.1428✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003986-3.14%0.003475-15.55%0.1771✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003921-3.08%0.00353-12.73%0.1662✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003751-2.57%0.00384-0.26%0.0271✓1.10
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