TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1275
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0400
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.826909 | -2.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.825153 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.863441 | -3.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.870998 | -3.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.815144 | -2.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.854703 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.86221 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0069 | -3.49% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.994177 | -3.48% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.980277 | -3.31% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.955533 | -3.21% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0486 | -3.51% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0924 | -3.91% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1977 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0201 | -3.52% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0002 | -3.44% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0474 | -3.55% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1004 | -3.74% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0531 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0728 | -3.75% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1208 | -4.12% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1429 | -4.93% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.81266 | -3.36% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.824163 | -3.36% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.847663 | -3.47% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.963245 | -4.13% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1488 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0822 | -4.93% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0244 | -5.63% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1081 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.860288 | -4.65% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.779972 | -4.79% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 1.00 |