TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1106
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0031
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.009396 | -0.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.00916 | -0.21% | 0.00942 | +2.61% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009163 | -0.18% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008929 | -0.18% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008362 | -0.16% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007971 | -0.17% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007936 | -0.18% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.00868 | -0.12% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1096 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.01036 | -0.14% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010398 | -0.11% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012543 | -0.37% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1152 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011024 | -0.19% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1055 | ✗ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010614 | -0.20% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010662 | -0.22% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012314 | -0.45% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0862 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012555 | -0.64% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0689 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014122 | -1.28% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.015335 | -1.95% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011485 | -0.77% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2523 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011095 | -0.93% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0346 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.015095 | -1.66% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2877 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008755 | -0.29% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5290 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008853 | -0.35% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008768 | -0.42% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010735 | -0.42% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1737 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012122 | -0.27% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1184 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.0117 | -0.21% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015684 | -0.16% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2842 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018637 | -0.23% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1710 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.021032 | -0.37% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.0973 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020796 | -0.40% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021158 | -0.29% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.020427 | -0.26% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.020972 | -0.23% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022217 | -0.08% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.023777 | -0.05% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026719 | -0.02% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032704 | -0.16% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029552 | -0.06% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.033021 | -0.06% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.029982 | -0.06% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.030853 | +0.03% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036298 | +0.06% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.047838 | +0.02% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2746 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055541 | +0.03% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078662 | -0.07% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.094758 | -0.11% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1918 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.094667 | -0.03% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114424 | -0.06% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1694 | ✓ | 1.00 |