PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s9
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
43
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
51.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1148
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0027
actual -0.0441
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.001399 | -0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001987 | -0.03% | 0.001409 | -29.10% | 0.3334 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003271 | +0.16% | 0.001988 | -39.13% | 0.5495 | ✗ | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003642 | +0.11% | 0.003266 | -10.21% | 0.1009 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003956 | +0.11% | 0.003638 | -7.96% | 0.1137 | ✗ | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004824 | -0.11% | 0.003952 | -18.17% | 0.1938 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005059 | -0.23% | 0.004829 | -4.76% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.00485 | -0.09% | 0.005071 | +4.47% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004327 | -0.00% | 0.004854 | +12.18% | 0.1910 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004932 | -0.05% | 0.004327 | -12.32% | 0.2010 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.00568 | -0.44% | 0.004935 | -13.50% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.00483 | -0.07% | 0.005705 | +18.04% | 0.1285 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004973 | -0.04% | 0.004834 | -2.84% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005434 | -0.07% | 0.004975 | -8.51% | 0.1318 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005448 | -0.14% | 0.005437 | -0.33% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005924 | -0.29% | 0.005456 | -8.18% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005708 | -0.23% | 0.005941 | +3.85% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005948 | -0.22% | 0.005721 | -4.03% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.00595 | -0.15% | 0.005961 | +0.04% | 0.0917 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006934 | -0.15% | 0.005959 | -14.18% | 0.1642 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007499 | -0.14% | 0.006944 | -7.52% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008072 | -0.13% | 0.007509 | -7.10% | 0.1437 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007223 | -0.08% | 0.008083 | +11.82% | 0.1172 | ✗ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008265 | -0.06% | 0.007228 | -12.59% | 0.1362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008517 | -0.03% | 0.00827 | -2.93% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008927 | -0.04% | 0.00852 | -4.60% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010887 | -0.50% | 0.00893 | -18.38% | 0.2019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012898 | -1.24% | 0.010942 | -16.22% | 0.1610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.011018 | -0.67% | 0.01306 | +17.73% | 0.1699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010133 | -0.27% | 0.011093 | +9.17% | 0.1118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010157 | -0.29% | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008963 | -0.35% | 0.010187 | +13.26% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.00883 | -0.35% | 0.008994 | +1.50% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009898 | -0.82% | 0.008861 | -11.21% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.008054 | -0.40% | 0.00998 | +23.42% | 0.1568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007506 | -0.28% | 0.008086 | +7.43% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007448 | -0.29% | 0.007527 | +0.76% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.009143 | -0.72% | 0.00747 | -18.88% | 0.1684 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007899 | -0.45% | 0.009209 | +16.06% | 0.1357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008347 | -0.58% | 0.007935 | -5.49% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008138 | -0.56% | 0.008396 | +2.59% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006718 | -0.32% | 0.008184 | +21.42% | 0.1886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.007001 | -0.30% | 0.00674 | -4.01% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009161 | -0.63% | 0.007021 | -23.84% | 0.2639 | ✓ | 1.00 |