MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s9

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

65.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3342

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0273

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000316369	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000309531	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000355149	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.00035086	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000409084	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000427015	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000449072	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000444436	-1.87%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.3412	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000446209	-1.65%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.3741	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000549575	-1.84%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.4122	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.00065463	-1.78%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.6062	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000690604	-1.76%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.4817	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.0003142	+1.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000319712	+0.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.00032264	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000392587	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000397191	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000392971	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000442268	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000484065	-1.85%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1908	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000477739	-1.74%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3128	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000462496	-1.58%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2555	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000458417	-1.56%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1663	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000490724	-2.11%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1839	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000525812	-3.04%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1634	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000499779	-4.02%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0103	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000529164	-2.71%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0103	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000535014	-2.92%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0385	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000497029	-2.39%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0421	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000487262	-2.59%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0122	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.00048673	-2.54%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0213	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000532695	-3.15%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0587	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000527136	-2.74%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0135	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000489156	-1.93%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0228	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000498966	-2.16%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0027	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.00049202	-1.89%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0642	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000509247	-2.37%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0035	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000521788	-2.98%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0463	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000485454	-1.01%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0320	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000505472	-1.70%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0232	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000524193	-1.82%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0432	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000488443	+0.54%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1312	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.00055949	-1.84%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1680	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.00057486	-2.60%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0367	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000601758	-2.93%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0200	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000611517	-3.01%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0791	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000602653	-2.97%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0690	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000643961	-3.15%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0386	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000613851	-2.30%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0147	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000786292	-5.01%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0955	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000662325	-2.60%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1211	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000690264	-2.78%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.1882	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000586864	-0.72%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1008	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000641102	-1.06%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2440	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000586895	-0.63%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1731	✗	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000679027	-1.56%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.1131	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000736562	-2.52%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1860	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000768238	-2.75%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2600	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000779272	-2.71%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3410	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000795374	-3.00%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.2062	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000672955	-1.04%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.4162	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000642138	-0.24%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1647	✗	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000687733	-0.33%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1514	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.00073671	-0.44%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0204	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000707496	-0.35%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1448	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000807204	-0.35%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0384	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000886697	-0.37%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1370	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001077	-1.23%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4179	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001376	-2.43%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7535	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001341	-2.11%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6040	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.00151	-2.59%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7000	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001531	-2.49%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8094	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001443	-1.82%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6132	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001567	-2.07%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5679	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001422	-1.27%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3105	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001328	-0.86%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1349	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001727	-1.90%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0904	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001397	-0.94%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1455	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001698	-1.30%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0604	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002016	-1.64%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.1246	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.00235	-2.07%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.1244	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002451	-1.96%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.3039	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002307	-1.43%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.4308	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002675	-1.67%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.3997	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003042	-1.86%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.6150	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003993	-2.84%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.7216	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004448	-3.09%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.7038	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004862	-3.14%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.7297	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006143	-3.86%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.9014	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006349	-4.24%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8532	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004738	-2.91%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.5527	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004974	-2.85%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.5104	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007039	-3.58%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.5452	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.00905	-4.23%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6970	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010403	-4.64%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8417	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.01305	-4.88%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.8028	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009916	-4.37%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6487	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012609	-4.18%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1719	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016047	-4.37%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3390	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015341	-4.18%	0.0073	-54.40%	1.0276	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018863	-5.26%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9623	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019546	-5.35%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.8139	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017231	-4.06%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.4085	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021672	-5.03%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.7243	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.024935	-5.69%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3974	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.021617	-5.52%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.1324	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019138	-5.45%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0638	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019467	-6.68%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1306	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015472	-6.23%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4218	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012249	-4.68%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3647	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012176	-4.95%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5285	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012572	-5.40%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4777	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010709	-4.38%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6204	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014495	-6.66%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3020	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011419	-6.56%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5613	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007771	-1.64%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7402	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008806	-2.80%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4292	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009622	-3.49%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3408	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009632	-3.68%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3448	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008235	-1.96%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3237	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007433	-1.16%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7587	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006789	-0.46%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6253	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007584	-0.99%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0585	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010893	-2.56%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013312	-2.97%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2154	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015315	-4.81%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3133	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012031	-2.82%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2653	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010471	-2.51%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2890	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009617	-2.16%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3069	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.01072	-2.46%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3092	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011563	-2.67%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009232	-1.68%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.3026	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009221	-1.49%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4704	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011305	-1.95%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0590	✗	1.00