MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s9

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3446

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0217

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002893	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002818	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.00176	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001896	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001752	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002042	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002283	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002334	-3.66%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2392	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002183	-3.13%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.2862	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001989	-2.62%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0982	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002094	-2.79%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0769	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001792	-2.07%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0270	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001797	-1.75%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1804	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.00182	-1.53%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2790	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002066	-1.85%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1514	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002343	-2.86%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0091	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002309	-3.00%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0742	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002743	-4.65%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1642	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002253	-3.18%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1468	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001694	-1.38%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1074	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001665	-1.15%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1377	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001669	-1.10%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2867	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002367	-0.98%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0248	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003043	-1.66%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2838	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003557	-2.15%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2581	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003594	-2.07%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4588	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004439	-2.73%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9532	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004793	-3.01%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0505	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.00438	-2.57%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9589	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004471	-2.53%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6166	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004715	-2.63%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3909	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005192	-2.91%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3195	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004371	-2.11%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2146	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004191	-1.83%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0469	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005471	-2.36%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005422	-1.58%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2876	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004296	-1.11%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005858	-1.08%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3219	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008341	-2.42%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5467	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.0062	-1.37%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3835	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008256	-1.77%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7096	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006273	-1.39%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1593	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008345	-1.28%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.4128	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.01033	-1.48%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8385	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017479	-2.10%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0452	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017672	-1.85%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7147	✓	1.00