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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
47.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3435
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0624
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.5871-5.86%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.5471-5.71%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1894-5.71%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9234-5.54%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9118-5.31%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9498-5.29%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.01-5.20%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8679-5.20%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9277-5.08%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1754-5.14%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2048-5.07%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5627-7.09%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4119-6.20%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4243-5.57%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4086-5.48%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3785-5.43%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5776-6.23%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7264-7.27%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4605-5.56%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3617-5.75%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3466-5.76%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.556-6.54%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.6463-7.69%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.6306-7.68%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.0913-7.88%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2884-7.87%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4701-7.72%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4894-7.48%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.7021-7.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.9206-7.50%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6923-7.39%3.8104-24.80%0.1724✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3913-7.33%3.7618-20.61%0.1115✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.4139-7.55%3.3826-29.15%0.3020✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.4509-7.45%3.0947-35.65%0.3757✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.41-7.52%3.0752-35.51%0.3833✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.4292-7.93%3.1146-35.26%0.4687✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2334-8.04%3.1752-31.03%0.4106✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.6953-8.06%3.0253-24.73%0.3505✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0312-8.14%3.0842-29.72%0.3427✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7759-8.20%3.3476-18.61%0.2575✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.8799-7.97%3.3759-19.92%0.2366✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.0174-7.68%3.8347-11.88%0.1852✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.9675-7.57%3.6372-15.26%0.2257✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.1863-7.51%3.6262-19.88%0.2348✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.4733-7.38%3.6061-25.33%0.2866✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.3855-7.18%3.5727-24.38%0.2972✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.1953-7.08%3.8154-15.49%0.2047✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.4283-6.87%4.0187-15.48%0.2224✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.4785-7.26%3.6643-24.12%0.3381✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.1123-7.42%3.5667-19.71%0.2159✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.4982-7.73%3.5512-6.34%0.1198✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.2472-7.75%3.8048+8.09%0.0154✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.297-7.55%3.9499+10.75%0.0966✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.2634-7.51%3.9328+11.46%0.1183✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.2989-7.17%4.4413+24.97%0.2377✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.2542-6.92%4.6547+33.14%0.2825✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.4599-6.76%4.844+30.54%0.2913✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.2374-6.21%4.8522+40.57%0.3502✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.1063-5.40%5.0729+54.48%0.4284✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.2232-5.20%5.3196+56.46%0.4432✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3688-5.69%5.0667+41.84%0.3075✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0366-4.79%4.7386+48.58%0.3333✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0049-3.90%4.7745+52.70%0.4285✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5698-3.69%4.8092+80.24%0.5398✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4249-6.87%4.7687+83.15%0.5235✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1816-7.51%4.8107+103.95%0.6344✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1508-7.69%4.6035+97.57%0.5980✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.0999-7.79%4.0195+76.51%0.4661✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.089-7.65%4.3885+94.01%0.5312✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0703-7.37%4.1132+84.03%0.4910✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1048-7.33%4.2158+85.61%0.5026✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1624-7.42%4.3518+86.32%0.4987✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2346-7.59%4.2923+77.50%0.4653✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2051-7.44%4.5262+89.98%0.5121✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1429-6.97%4.8297+109.67%0.6095✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1311-6.62%4.7248+107.03%0.5840✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1391-6.93%4.5148+96.43%0.5218✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1934-7.62%4.7547+100.25%0.5428✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0332-6.94%4.8289+121.01%0.6378✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9229-6.58%4.4421+115.80%0.5884✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.874-6.55%3.7914+89.05%0.5007✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8898-7.04%3.52+73.16%0.4125✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8799-6.81%3.5664+76.80%0.4080✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9235-6.94%3.5283+70.70%0.3869✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.11-7.45%3.5537+55.87%0.3394✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0164-7.42%3.4962+60.52%0.3656✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1103-8.18%3.7108+61.45%0.3550✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9594-7.95%3.4518+62.16%0.3730✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9716-8.00%3.2837+53.22%0.3475✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.8985-7.95%3.3999+64.84%0.3965✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8739-7.78%3.5721+75.80%0.4742✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1621.995-7.73%3.1894+47.52%0.3244✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1208-7.81%3.1267+35.92%0.2487✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1561-8.07%2.6682+13.77%0.1367✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1791.999-8.26%2.6037+19.49%0.2192✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0238-8.42%2.3588+6.74%0.1532✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.0722-8.16%2.33+3.26%0.1209✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1059-8.01%2.2771-0.53%0.0917✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1047-7.93%2.262-1.05%0.0821✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2294-7.75%2.235-7.51%0.0243✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3919-7.75%2.2713-12.40%0.0325✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.123-7.86%2.3356+1.36%0.0830✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4355-7.46%2.4181-8.12%0.0052✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3945-7.09%2.3824-7.56%0.0064✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.5007-7.02%2.3035-14.36%0.0897✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2354-6.72%2.2822-4.77%0.0036✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1757-6.62%2.2984-1.35%0.0264✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2906-6.79%2.3744-3.38%0.0262✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3859-7.41%2.1849-15.21%0.0942✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2906-6.81%2.0584-16.26%0.1118✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.056-6.59%2.0055-8.88%0.0288✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9767-6.48%2.0328-3.82%0.0181✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9192-7.23%2.0172-2.50%0.0368✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9062-7.97%2.0669-0.21%0.0504✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7074-7.66%2.28+23.31%0.2334✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7175-7.68%2.1781+17.08%0.2042✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5982-7.48%2.2984+33.05%0.3227✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5966-7.15%2.1286+23.78%0.2537✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6868-7.46%2.1431+17.57%0.1916✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4888-7.48%2.0626+28.18%0.2859✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5549-8.31%2.0319+19.82%0.2411✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3883-7.73%2.162+43.68%0.4165✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4826-7.88%2.3005+42.95%0.4178✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.443-7.95%2.3453+49.61%0.4530✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4348-7.83%2.179+39.98%0.4082✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4253-7.79%2.2098+42.97%0.4259✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4883-7.66%2.2564+39.99%0.3954✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5851-7.88%2.2892+33.04%0.3729✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5983-7.80%2.2859+31.87%0.3757✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5577-7.80%2.4166+43.03%0.4554✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5524-7.96%2.5928+53.72%0.5201✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5001-8.08%2.3042+41.20%0.4523✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.414-8.03%2.6319+71.19%0.6193✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4345-7.93%2.5774+65.42%0.5838✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2823-7.86%2.6896+93.27%0.7178✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4675-7.30%2.3965+51.38%0.4776✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3682-7.21%2.33+58.02%0.5401✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3268-7.43%2.4575+71.44%0.6161✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3224-7.57%2.5769+80.11%0.6368✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3976-7.34%2.458+62.95%0.5382✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3526-6.91%2.201+51.47%0.4951✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.662-6.91%2.1136+18.38%0.2582✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4901-7.09%2.0689+28.99%0.4058✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.248-7.13%2.0712+54.13%0.7507✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2896-6.31%1.849+34.33%0.6887✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2785-6.61%1.8603+35.89%0.6521✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1615-7.76%1.7274+37.19%0.6794✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0885-7.13%1.7196+46.70%0.7335✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0549-6.96%1.8228+60.77%0.8420✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1058-6.55%1.6091+35.99%0.7035✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2953-6.11%1.6959+22.92%0.5588✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2011-6.98%1.5047+16.53%0.4746✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1477-6.50%1.6094+31.11%0.5532✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.116-6.26%1.5676+31.67%0.5496✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.315-7.79%1.5567+9.16%0.3739✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.18-7.55%1.5456+21.09%0.4886✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0391-8.97%1.6118+41.20%0.6547✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.907689-4.54%1.7207+80.95%0.8394✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.825743-4.37%1.7335+100.76%0.9337✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.840963-4.41%1.6896+92.04%0.8885✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.821539-4.25%1.6867+96.59%0.9342✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.87838-4.02%1.6319+78.31%0.8841✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.859437-4.19%1.5373+71.39%0.8505✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.889669-3.98%1.5581+68.16%0.8440✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.959628-4.01%1.3916+39.19%0.7084✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0179-3.68%1.5831+49.80%0.7816✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0135-3.86%1.4745+39.87%0.6685✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0369-4.08%1.4334+32.60%0.6055✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.954863-3.61%1.4307+44.42%0.7291✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.92333-3.20%1.5084+58.14%0.8481✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.935707-3.22%1.4531+50.29%0.6872✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.872486-3.37%1.7854+97.74%0.9330✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.889021-3.59%1.6039+73.94%0.7550✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.873828-3.76%1.3438+48.00%0.5301✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.871048-3.59%1.3765+52.35%0.5199✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.837057-5.28%1.369+54.91%0.5267✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.884812-6.71%1.2591+32.75%0.3859✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.839884-6.27%1.1722+30.81%0.3755✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.813175-5.83%1.1338+31.30%0.3780✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.880481-3.92%1.1832+29.12%0.3378✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.880188-5.32%1.3796+48.41%0.4554✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.88975-5.90%1.2913+36.57%0.3800✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.879855-4.82%1.2275+32.79%0.3582✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.82275-6.42%1.1906+35.42%0.4125✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.82954-7.62%1.426+58.80%0.5230✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.830199-7.66%1.2764+41.96%0.4048✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.822302-7.68%1.1415+28.15%0.2805✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.90975-7.06%0.9509-2.86%0.0253✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04880.980341-6.53%0.86345-17.67%0.1317✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.973225-6.95%0.8798-15.88%0.1469✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.973236-6.59%0.858-17.65%0.1917✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.959089-6.50%0.9152-10.78%0.1532✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0702-6.39%0.897-21.54%0.2518✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.019-6.73%0.92655-15.20%0.2500✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1344-5.94%0.99975-17.11%0.2584✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0571-7.01%1.0568-7.04%0.1402✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.954655-5.90%1.0542+3.91%0.0353✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.946207-5.31%1.081+8.18%0.0060✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0191-5.32%0.99065-7.96%0.1508✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.967533-5.58%0.95385-6.92%0.2069✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.954245-5.34%0.96685-4.09%0.1694✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.927346-6.05%0.9029-8.53%0.2233✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.942335-4.75%0.9221-6.80%0.2053✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.905316-4.56%0.908-4.28%0.1831✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.851123-4.43%0.9035+1.45%0.1013✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.833216-4.50%0.88375+1.29%0.0712✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.771079-4.49%0.94845+17.48%0.0623✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.787154-4.79%0.89605+8.38%0.0380✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.818862-4.59%0.8635+0.61%0.1238✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.842601-4.52%0.9164+3.84%0.1118✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.864457-5.18%0.9296+1.97%0.0676✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.933963-6.20%0.94555-5.04%0.0819✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.952574-6.33%0.9244-9.10%0.1491✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.898952-5.87%0.8792-7.94%0.1349✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.888261-5.41%0.898-4.38%0.1263✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05270.988708-6.07%0.8991-14.59%0.2054✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0022-5.75%0.89075-16.24%0.1711✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.117-6.35%0.97885-17.94%0.2259✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1369-6.17%1.0488-13.44%0.1735✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.227-5.33%1.0459-19.30%0.1789✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1079-4.72%1.0419-10.39%0.0606✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0282-5.25%1.0257-5.47%0.0238✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0464-5.54%1.1433+3.20%0.0364✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0395-5.38%1.0926-0.55%0.0530✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.087-5.67%1.2061+4.66%0.0617✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0132-5.46%1.1368+6.07%0.0692✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0008-5.22%1.0145-3.92%0.0169✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.967633-5.17%0.99925-2.07%0.0124✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.962248-5.64%1.0763+5.55%0.0091✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0704-5.22%1.0248-9.27%0.0712✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0833-4.86%1.008-11.47%0.0874✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1548-4.49%0.9871-18.36%0.0958✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3186-3.85%0.98935-27.86%0.1933✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2355-4.83%0.9486-26.93%0.2395✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2898-5.11%0.8906-34.48%0.3581✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.291-4.98%0.8725-35.78%0.4362✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3274-4.21%0.8073-41.74%0.4931✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3005-4.15%0.82675-39.07%0.4548✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3733-3.85%0.85825-39.91%0.4489✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4006-3.75%0.8825-39.35%0.4325✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3718-4.05%0.91165-36.24%0.4996✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3341-3.95%0.9957-28.32%0.4188✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3912-3.81%1.017-29.69%0.3679✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4726-3.40%0.955-37.35%0.4876✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4802-3.38%0.9391-38.70%0.4529✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4241-3.55%1.0527-28.71%0.3308✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3948-3.54%1.0634-26.46%0.3309✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.541-3.01%1.1928-24.92%0.2918✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6465-2.45%1.2116-28.22%0.3408✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6403-2.19%1.2961-22.71%0.3076✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6173-1.85%1.1627-29.44%0.4005✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5666-1.91%1.0852-32.06%0.4240✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3932-2.49%1.1078-22.46%0.3023✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3792-2.60%1.0986-22.42%0.2843✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4361-2.32%1.1523-21.62%0.2449✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.5202-1.84%1.0717-30.80%0.3511✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5968-1.42%1.0559-34.81%0.4090✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.6049-1.30%1.0204-37.25%0.4411✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6431-1.19%1.0198-38.67%0.4102✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4161-1.62%1.1295-21.53%0.2949✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5507-1.56%1.1386-27.72%0.2396✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4526-1.92%1.2091-18.36%0.1183✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5687-1.75%1.3715-14.10%0.0552✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4832-2.06%1.2982-14.27%0.0152✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.5336-2.08%1.3592-13.22%0.0126✓1.00