INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s9

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0977

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0230

actual -0.0067

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.123498	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.122449	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.122295	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.118987	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.121255	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.119522	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.120924	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.135726	-4.05%	0.12835	-9.26%	0.0702	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.122016	-3.74%	0.1274	+0.51%	0.0266	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.119172	-3.82%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0664	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.115821	-4.08%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0647	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.113362	-3.69%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1183	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.112954	-4.11%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.1066	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.105484	-3.84%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1825	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.109754	-4.19%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2503	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.112517	-3.83%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1323	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.108624	-3.70%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1511	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.114114	-3.86%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0883	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.112987	-3.96%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0636	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.107955	-4.34%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.1019	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.105523	-4.20%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0545	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.101075	-3.78%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1508	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.099267	-4.27%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1666	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.097916	-4.89%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1266	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.086246	-3.85%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.3002	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.086472	-3.60%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2907	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.090753	-3.66%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2152	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.096004	-3.85%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1339	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.095914	-3.99%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0870	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.085423	-3.69%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.2011	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086653	-3.93%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1949	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.080481	-2.62%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1392	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.072218	-1.88%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1886	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.074286	-2.00%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2101	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074495	-2.11%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2648	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.072861	-4.13%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2371	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.067063	-1.81%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.2002	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.066027	-1.75%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2123	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.068441	-1.81%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1126	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063858	-1.38%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.1033	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.068695	-1.93%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0644	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.068566	-2.33%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0728	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.067153	-4.20%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1254	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065259	-1.20%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0655	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065196	-1.07%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0585	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.066613	-1.17%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0542	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.066935	-0.91%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0014	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067017	-1.01%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0690	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063572	+0.27%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1226	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062905	+1.71%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1549	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.06155	+0.49%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0600	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060073	+1.22%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0809	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.060066	+2.15%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1098	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055901	+2.95%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1589	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058612	+2.74%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1262	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.055319	+3.21%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1160	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.05671	+3.77%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0758	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056715	+3.68%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.0967	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.055819	+3.95%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0745	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056658	+4.05%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0423	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.058469	+2.94%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0731	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.056862	+2.55%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.059003	+2.17%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0899	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054109	-1.35%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0874	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.051179	-4.07%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.0758	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049154	-3.90%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1358	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.04941	-3.78%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1389	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048989	-3.75%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1033	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049643	-3.61%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1266	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.049227	-3.85%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.0974	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.049699	-3.68%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0683	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.049428	-3.46%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0315	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050499	-3.63%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0082	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.050721	-3.48%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0019	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051538	-4.03%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0244	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.050752	-4.42%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0493	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049332	-3.46%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0707	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.049031	-3.58%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0661	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048873	-3.51%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0676	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047615	-3.61%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.1044	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048122	-3.37%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0804	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.048366	-3.46%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0816	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.049542	-3.62%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0321	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.047598	-3.55%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0352	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.046752	-3.40%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0922	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.046532	-3.26%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0724	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047676	-3.39%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0319	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.049197	-3.35%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0163	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.052513	-3.47%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0160	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053446	-3.53%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0126	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053132	-3.57%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0520	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.053442	-4.23%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.0935	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.053231	-4.26%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0650	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.052895	-4.09%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0252	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.051553	-4.53%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0118	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.050515	-3.50%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0638	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.050886	-3.44%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0932	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.050744	-3.44%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0791	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.051186	-3.42%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0653	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.052629	-3.43%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0325	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.053004	-3.37%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0147	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.051598	-3.37%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0060	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.053337	-3.37%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0349	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.054318	-3.43%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0476	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.055008	-3.41%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0416	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.053692	-3.26%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0234	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.05299	-3.13%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0161	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.053386	-2.93%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0023	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.055652	-2.96%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0106	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.056268	-2.99%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0217	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.05665	-3.00%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0180	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.056573	-2.96%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0181	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.055475	-2.85%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0259	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.055772	-2.84%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0564	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051364	-1.98%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0040	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.052484	-1.99%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0315	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051287	-1.47%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0636	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.05181	-1.32%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0746	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054437	-1.29%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0323	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051387	-0.70%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0798	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052932	-0.88%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0965	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058271	-1.57%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0514	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057528	-1.66%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0223	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054994	-1.27%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0068	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056132	-1.44%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0111	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057123	-1.26%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0105	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058962	-1.15%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0875	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058979	-1.37%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0533	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059391	-1.51%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0363	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057874	-1.41%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0432	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058907	-1.33%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0215	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058303	-0.93%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0207	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059629	-1.03%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0294	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057767	-0.40%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0416	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054736	+0.43%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0487	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.05707	+0.21%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0036	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.058186	+0.15%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0331	✗	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054572	+0.69%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0577	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.05405	+1.60%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0366	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.056385	+1.78%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0318	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.059329	+1.24%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0194	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065422	+0.65%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1528	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.064004	+0.16%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0591	✗	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069871	-2.96%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1309	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.07139	-3.53%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2132	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066839	-2.71%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1363	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.06213	-1.07%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0245	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.062637	-0.89%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0014	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066187	-1.43%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0503	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.075825	-2.48%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1220	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.079514	-2.68%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0732	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079244	-2.53%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0533	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.080899	-2.53%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1492	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.079158	-2.15%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2211	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083863	-2.48%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2647	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.083002	-2.35%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.1978	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.081227	-2.20%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0396	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.082466	-2.18%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0108	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.082405	-2.19%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0111	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083379	-2.19%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0034	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.08653	-2.17%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0555	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.092847	-2.22%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0671	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095078	-2.68%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1075	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101142	-2.93%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1890	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.09965	-2.30%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1594	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.102663	-2.41%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1898	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.106697	-3.70%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2194	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.099568	-2.77%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1165	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.10474	-4.74%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.0998	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097639	-2.21%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0108	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.08917	-1.58%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1589	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088303	-1.89%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1299	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087051	-2.19%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1611	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087161	-2.18%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2247	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.088433	-2.28%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1311	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.088515	-2.62%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1808	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.088523	-2.61%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0659	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092042	-2.76%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0616	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.088354	-2.21%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0067	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.08888	-2.01%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087264	-2.23%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0104	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.0907	-2.32%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0100	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.083626	-1.73%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.1036	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086946	-1.76%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0697	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.087964	-2.15%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0736	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.091597	-3.23%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0295	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08582	-2.92%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0035	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091135	-3.15%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0411	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088689	-1.89%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0420	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084972	-2.22%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0315	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.081612	-2.20%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0454	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.078316	-2.23%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1149	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077937	-2.21%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1791	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.07465	-2.42%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1336	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.08051	-2.53%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1270	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08148	-2.65%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0596	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078101	-2.62%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0699	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.07971	-2.85%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0042	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.079657	-2.74%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0196	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.081745	-3.89%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.0922	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.077435	-2.84%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0336	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.079231	-3.26%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0296	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.07969	-3.41%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0255	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.077806	-3.17%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0309	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.076397	-2.74%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0339	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.073572	-2.42%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0608	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.075095	-2.47%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0966	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.076091	-2.57%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0059	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.077273	-2.80%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0452	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.075015	-2.45%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0870	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.080686	-3.25%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0196	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.079588	-2.94%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0274	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.081619	-3.75%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0496	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078368	-2.89%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0359	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.074635	-2.69%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0703	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.07488	-2.75%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0938	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.077301	-2.89%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0481	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.079099	-2.95%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0676	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.082894	-3.05%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0116	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089768	-3.27%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0152	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.087516	-2.65%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0315	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.088934	-3.33%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0825	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.088258	-3.54%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1056	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.081999	-2.96%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0238	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.086266	-3.72%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0486	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.08639	-3.47%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0243	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.08182	-3.06%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0740	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.078895	-2.96%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0462	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.078668	-3.00%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0615	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.081759	-3.36%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0576	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.083358	-4.30%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0246	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.078754	-2.77%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1340	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.076909	-2.52%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1862	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.081223	-2.96%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0125	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078156	-2.67%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0458	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.073807	-2.11%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0910	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.077763	-2.37%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0795	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079114	-2.33%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0593	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.079704	-2.44%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0380	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.079729	-2.47%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0840	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080199	-2.08%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0331	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083473	-2.37%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1123	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087196	-2.85%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1130	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091342	-3.09%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1199	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.097098	-3.43%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1444	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.097666	-3.35%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1875	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.098123	-3.61%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2105	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.108102	-4.67%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2215	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.116867	-8.20%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2452	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.101769	-6.80%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.1076	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069904	-1.20%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3284	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068696	-0.80%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.3944	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070802	-0.42%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3424	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070433	-0.38%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3787	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.06578	+0.05%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5675	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066611	+0.09%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6685	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.068137	+0.42%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.4968	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.071349	+0.78%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0177	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.070113	+0.88%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0169	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062745	+2.61%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0611	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072887	+1.09%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.0831	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.078439	+0.43%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0529	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.080957	-0.36%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0451	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.082168	+0.08%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0725	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.086514	-1.01%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0271	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.10189	-4.95%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1751	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.085606	-3.27%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0168	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.093286	-4.32%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0309	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.088624	-3.67%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0645	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086258	-3.73%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0730	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.085667	-5.13%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0964	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.085639	-4.31%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1708	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.078802	-3.19%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3825	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.077994	-3.11%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1950	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.078226	-3.19%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2230	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076945	-2.72%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1676	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082193	-3.53%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1441	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090222	-3.81%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0963	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.089327	-3.43%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0819	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.092393	-3.66%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0466	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.09047	-4.87%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0354	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.08895	-3.94%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0055	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.086882	-3.68%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0020	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.079021	-3.52%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0574	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.08262	-4.71%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0903	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.085822	-3.57%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0115	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.087945	-3.68%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0163	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.088623	-3.67%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0046	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.089348	-3.62%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0817	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.092799	-3.74%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0629	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.09421	-3.67%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0831	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.094281	-3.99%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0701	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.092977	-3.75%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0387	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.09083	-3.68%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0073	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.086849	-3.61%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0068	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084208	-3.43%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0125	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086127	-3.45%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0038	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.086166	-3.51%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0206	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085352	-3.12%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0605	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.089804	-3.75%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0119	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.097499	-5.89%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.0927	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.086672	-4.65%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0038	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081216	-2.97%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0736	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081186	-2.65%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0724	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.081961	-2.78%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1184	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.081491	-2.64%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0951	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.084246	-3.28%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.1138	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.081585	-3.56%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2571	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075384	-1.97%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1481	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079798	-2.21%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0160	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.08404	-2.51%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0019	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081474	-1.96%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0142	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083183	-2.02%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0044	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087137	-2.20%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0427	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.084738	-2.04%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0472	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.088837	-1.95%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0151	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.0919	-1.92%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0127	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.096479	-1.95%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0049	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092178	-1.83%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0082	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089018	-1.64%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0023	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097488	-1.73%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1124	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098805	-1.59%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1543	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101032	-1.72%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1191	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100574	-1.78%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0388	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102395	-1.54%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0718	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100965	-0.82%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1848	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114261	-1.63%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2339	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.112855	-1.61%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0903	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115055	-1.66%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0976	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.11964	-1.89%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1706	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109347	-1.22%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1361	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107182	-0.43%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1291	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107308	-0.36%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0021	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106983	+0.17%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0084	✗	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.105518	+0.88%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0796	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.11153	+0.61%	0.117	+5.55%	0.1060	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.127173	-1.22%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1642	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.118363	-0.87%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0385	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117594	-0.97%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0743	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.118004	-0.67%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0206	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.11898	-1.10%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1077	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123184	-1.65%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1564	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119405	-0.95%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2040	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.121573	-2.00%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4548	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.123662	-2.24%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2660	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.120748	-2.11%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2802	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.129079	-2.58%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3223	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.128085	-2.82%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2456	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.128199	-2.18%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1783	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.130046	-2.26%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1827	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.115902	-0.56%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1156	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.118289	-0.76%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1298	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116063	+0.14%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0174	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.12136	-0.81%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.1044	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.13519	-1.82%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1399	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.134486	-1.55%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1981	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.132998	-1.23%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1825	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.135843	-0.88%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0548	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.152811	-1.38%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0702	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.156552	-1.51%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0314	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.160114	-1.53%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0564	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.171244	-1.61%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1072	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.168042	-1.33%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1611	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.170312	-1.13%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.1922	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.165086	-0.76%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1337	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.159589	-0.07%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1008	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167321	-0.14%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1819	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180071	-0.38%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.2012	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.181	+0.08%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.2032	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.176228	+0.59%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1612	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.174699	+0.89%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1446	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.178679	+0.75%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1263	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.18517	+0.34%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0549	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.195843	-0.16%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0217	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.208043	-1.10%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0095	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.192268	-0.66%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1172	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.175261	+0.61%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1014	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.194278	-0.01%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0690	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.300239	-2.50%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2546	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.314452	-2.37%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2883	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.304547	-2.51%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2481	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.331554	-2.20%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2433	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.311954	-2.64%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2887	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.317736	-2.36%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3298	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.326972	-2.85%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3056	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.326297	-4.62%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0825	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.313852	-3.10%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0804	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.302578	-2.69%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1451	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.303348	-2.80%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1469	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.310274	-3.05%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2627	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.299585	-2.72%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2575	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.303761	-2.84%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2336	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.291912	-2.35%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1524	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.314369	-3.15%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1151	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.308121	-2.98%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0485	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.315645	-3.10%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0558	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.349082	-3.52%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0032	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.355327	-3.63%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0213	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.356768	-4.06%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0306	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.379127	-4.37%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0196	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.