DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

149

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

75.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2850

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0171

actual -0.1597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.8934	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6837	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9161	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.1583	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.3197	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	9.5121	-18.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.0691	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.6133	-12.39%	1.9885	-33.34%	0.2870	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.4648	-15.08%	1.8375	-54.96%	0.6323	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.7549	-13.66%	3.069	-44.27%	0.4390	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.2029	-10.28%	3.3675	-63.17%	0.8701	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.983	-7.35%	3.591	-79.18%	1.4745	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.9376	-10.63%	11.643	-30.34%	0.2364	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	14.5326	-15.33%	2.3095	-86.54%	1.8446	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	19.7852	-19.27%	2.983	-87.83%	1.8713	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	38.8392	-10.81%	4.08	-90.63%	2.2244	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	79.8394	-6.58%	5.507	-93.56%	2.6261	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000364591	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000368743	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.00024763	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000267045	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000305861	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.00026856	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000279444	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000307153	-0.98%	0.000375	+20.89%	0.1522	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.00029889	-0.87%	0.0003798	+25.97%	0.1750	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277967	-0.30%	0.0002495	-10.51%	0.1683	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000300977	-0.63%	0.000269	-11.19%	0.1703	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000301913	-0.82%	0.0003089	+1.48%	0.0489	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000327016	-1.50%	0.0002702	-18.61%	0.1770	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000304681	-0.92%	0.000281	-8.62%	0.0519	✓	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000322222	-1.40%	0.0003102	-5.08%	0.0452	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297367	-0.68%	0.0003015	+0.70%	0.0073	✓	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000301993	-0.82%	0.0002788	-8.44%	0.0292	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000316787	-1.31%	0.0003029	-5.64%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000310825	-1.17%	0.0003044	-3.21%	0.0026	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000390103	-4.99%	0.000332	-19.14%	0.1340	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000354029	-3.69%	0.0003075	-16.35%	0.1293	✓	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000317911	-1.79%	0.0003268	+0.96%	0.0176	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000321019	-2.10%	0.0002994	-8.69%	0.0627	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000289705	-0.82%	0.0003045	+4.25%	0.0662	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000228022	+0.58%	0.000321	+41.60%	0.3578	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000240118	+0.59%	0.0003145	+31.76%	0.2889	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000209815	+1.56%	0.0004106	+98.74%	0.6648	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000215982	+1.64%	0.0003676	+72.99%	0.5533	✓	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000219488	+3.29%	0.0003237	+52.33%	0.3331	✓	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000225986	+1.93%	0.0003279	+47.90%	0.5086	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000267966	+1.16%	0.0002921	+10.27%	0.2327	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000271175	+0.92%	0.0002267	-15.63%	0.0067	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000257969	+1.72%	0.0002387	-5.88%	0.0507	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000275832	+1.45%	0.0002066	-24.02%	0.0791	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000310821	+0.39%	0.0002125	-31.36%	0.0747	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345367	+0.16%	0.0002125	-38.37%	0.0237	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000409319	-1.01%	0.0002217	-46.38%	0.2935	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000350535	-0.50%	0.0002649	-24.81%	0.0202	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000344495	-0.23%	0.0002687	-22.18%	0.0750	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000346183	+0.20%	0.0002536	-26.60%	0.1296	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000390907	-0.56%	0.0002719	-30.83%	0.1780	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000407791	-0.68%	0.0003096	-24.60%	0.1802	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000402323	-0.61%	0.0003448	-14.82%	0.0663	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000359686	-0.34%	0.0004135	+14.57%	0.1428	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404895	-0.22%	0.0003523	-13.18%	0.1548	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000443346	-0.86%	0.0003453	-22.79%	0.1694	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000506191	-0.77%	0.0003455	-32.27%	0.2402	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000519373	-0.69%	0.0003931	-24.84%	0.1672	✓	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000538666	-0.60%	0.0004106	-24.23%	0.1605	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000522426	-0.66%	0.0004048	-23.03%	0.1451	✓	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569407	-0.28%	0.0003609	-36.80%	0.3212	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579022	-0.51%	0.0004058	-30.27%	0.2326	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000546295	-0.67%	0.0004472	-18.69%	0.2280	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000596576	-0.69%	0.0005101	-15.08%	0.2127	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000645047	-0.90%	0.000523	-19.65%	0.3048	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000551385	-0.62%	0.0005419	-2.33%	0.1269	✓	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577369	-0.61%	0.0005259	-9.47%	0.1932	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000575432	-0.60%	0.000571	-1.36%	0.1309	✓	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000650753	-0.66%	0.000582	-11.16%	0.1470	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000683078	-0.87%	0.00055	-20.19%	0.1585	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000661081	-0.93%	0.0006007	-9.98%	0.0821	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.00062341	-0.79%	0.0006509	+3.58%	0.0481	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000622633	-0.79%	0.0005548	-11.60%	0.1276	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000584935	-0.61%	0.0005809	-1.29%	0.0568	✓	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000570055	-0.43%	0.0005789	+1.12%	0.0670	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000616704	-0.61%	0.0006551	+5.58%	0.0575	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000598136	-0.39%	0.0006891	+14.75%	0.0034	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000612581	-0.47%	0.0006673	+8.42%	0.0071	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000586916	-0.32%	0.0006284	+6.73%	0.0159	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000625622	-0.33%	0.0006276	-0.02%	0.0456	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000611244	-0.17%	0.0005885	-3.89%	0.0669	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.00059139	-0.05%	0.0005725	-3.24%	0.0304	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.0006153	-0.00%	0.0006205	+0.85%	0.0155	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000679251	-0.36%	0.0006005	-11.91%	0.0903	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000680858	-0.31%	0.0006155	-9.88%	0.0836	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000688299	-0.20%	0.0005888	-14.63%	0.1442	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000704709	-0.13%	0.0006277	-11.04%	0.0970	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.00062205	+1.08%	0.0006123	-0.50%	0.0545	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000631621	+1.14%	0.0005917	-5.25%	0.0968	✗	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.00074317	+0.40%	0.0006153	-16.87%	0.1795	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000818552	+0.56%	0.0006817	-16.25%	0.2310	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000884992	-0.00%	0.000683	-22.82%	0.2695	✓	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001036	-0.68%	0.0006897	-33.87%	0.3652	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001022	-0.60%	0.0007056	-31.36%	0.3232	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001088	-0.87%	0.0006154	-43.95%	0.4158	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001218	-0.75%	0.0006245	-49.10%	0.5399	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001312	-0.73%	0.0007402	-44.01%	0.4680	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001337	-0.63%	0.000814	-39.48%	0.4019	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001306	-0.58%	0.000885	-32.65%	0.3407	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001428	-0.51%	0.001043	-27.32%	0.3357	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001473	-0.52%	0.001028	-30.59%	0.3804	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001491	-0.58%	0.001098	-26.80%	0.3161	✓	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001568	-0.64%	0.001227	-22.24%	0.2136	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001584	-0.69%	0.001322	-17.12%	0.2120	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001576	-0.50%	0.001345	-15.09%	0.2672	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001527	-0.56%	0.001314	-14.45%	0.1514	✓	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001548	-0.60%	0.001435	-7.84%	0.0326	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001524	-0.57%	0.001481	-3.39%	0.0140	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001587	-0.69%	0.0015	-6.13%	0.0773	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001606	-0.72%	0.001578	-2.47%	0.0981	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001616	-0.56%	0.001595	-1.85%	0.1258	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001513	-0.33%	0.001584	+4.35%	0.1043	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001476	-0.04%	0.001536	+3.99%	0.0626	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001585	+0.02%	0.001557	-1.77%	0.2023	✗	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001765	-0.71%	0.001533	-13.78%	0.3156	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001693	-0.42%	0.001598	-6.00%	0.2031	✓	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.001969	-3.41%	0.001618	-20.65%	0.1665	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.00225	-6.92%	0.001625	-32.77%	0.1570	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001622	-0.52%	0.001518	-6.87%	0.0398	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001662	-0.83%	0.001477	-11.87%	0.0916	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001296	+0.37%	0.001585	+22.77%	0.5361	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001512	+0.06%	0.001778	+17.67%	0.4615	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001375	-0.01%	0.0017	+23.64%	0.7322	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001544	-0.47%	0.002039	+31.46%	0.6710	✗	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001473	-0.39%	0.002417	+63.42%	0.8913	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001575	-0.84%	0.00163	+2.64%	0.6000	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001679	-1.08%	0.001676	-1.24%	0.4273	✗	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.00155	-0.39%	0.001291	-17.03%	0.0864	✗	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001892	-2.66%	0.001511	-22.27%	0.1209	✗	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001644	-0.55%	0.001375	-16.82%	0.1171	✓	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001799	-1.94%	0.001551	-15.48%	0.0662	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001733	-1.09%	0.001479	-15.58%	0.2146	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001633	-1.21%	0.001588	-3.93%	0.0009	✓	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002244	-6.66%	0.001697	-29.41%	0.0261	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001504	-1.03%	0.001556	+2.37%	0.3637	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.00164	-1.49%	0.001944	+16.76%	0.4357	✗	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.00167	-1.42%	0.001653	-2.42%	0.2892	✗	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001738	-1.93%	0.001835	+3.56%	0.3242	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001637	-1.67%	0.001752	+5.23%	0.1746	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001803	-2.36%	0.001653	-10.50%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001945	-3.06%	0.002404	+19.84%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001781	-2.05%	0.00152	-16.39%	0.1437	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.00174	-1.75%	0.001665	-5.99%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002004	-2.70%	0.001694	-17.77%	0.1516	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001531	-0.61%	0.001772	+15.06%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001359	-0.48%	0.001665	+21.89%	0.1617	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.00187	-1.19%	0.001847	-2.43%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002254	-1.57%	0.002006	-12.40%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002231	-1.46%	0.001818	-19.70%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002651	-1.98%	0.001771	-34.50%	0.4453	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002806	-2.29%	0.00206	-28.27%	0.3267	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002624	-2.25%	0.00154	-42.62%	0.5033	✓	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004598	-4.06%	0.001366	-71.50%	1.1713	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004787	-4.52%	0.001893	-62.25%	0.8861	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.00605	-6.65%	0.00229	-64.67%	0.9144	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.004883	-6.23%	0.002264	-56.52%	0.7359	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001493	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.00128	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.00127	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.00167	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.00