DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

62.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1238

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.9692	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8052	-1.76%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.0997	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0347	-1.12%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5151	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3206	-1.39%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5315	-1.66%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.1214	-4.48%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1290	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.26	-2.14%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6470	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.9065	-2.56%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2367	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.9517	-3.14%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2626	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.3515	-2.82%	4.08	-25.91%	0.2878	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.947	-2.14%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4619	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.9771	-1.58%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6281	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	16.3409	-2.24%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.6236	-3.15%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	23.5391	-3.96%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2966	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	42.5827	-2.21%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5256	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.2683	-1.39%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6577	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372492	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376897	-0.76%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0256	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249375	-0.05%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3643	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268826	-0.06%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0680	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308452	-0.15%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1819	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000270138	-0.02%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1516	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280969	-0.01%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0554	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309755	-0.14%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0738	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000301176	-0.11%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0367	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278971	+0.06%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0221	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302806	-0.03%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0746	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000304144	-0.08%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0385	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000331078	-0.28%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0793	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.00030715	-0.11%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0782	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000326001	-0.24%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0724	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000299277	-0.04%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0805	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000304254	-0.08%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0007	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320289	-0.22%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313914	-0.19%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0213	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000404981	-1.37%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2381	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.00036406	-0.96%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1068	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322427	-0.39%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0975	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326258	-0.50%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0016	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291668	-0.15%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1390	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227202	+0.22%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2677	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239218	+0.22%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0515	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207458	+0.42%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1278	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213416	+0.43%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0164	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213902	+0.66%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1280	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.00022277	+0.48%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1933	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265825	+0.35%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1263	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269538	+0.31%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0454	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254758	+0.46%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0208	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273029	+0.42%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0367	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000310279	+0.22%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0155	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345343	+0.16%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1011	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.00041283	-0.16%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0945	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000352341	+0.01%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1592	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345592	+0.08%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0045	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.00034613	+0.18%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0320	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.00039309	-0.00%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0864	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410452	-0.04%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0364	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404792	-0.00%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0140	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000361243	+0.10%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1122	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406243	+0.11%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1387	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.00044696	-0.05%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0173	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000509772	-0.06%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1101	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000522698	-0.06%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0022	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000541655	-0.05%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0280	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000525635	-0.05%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0319	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000571004	+0.00%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0588	✗	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000581755	-0.04%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0447	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000549776	-0.04%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0271	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000600309	-0.07%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0940	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000650017	-0.14%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0891	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000554681	-0.02%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1631	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000580729	-0.03%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0342	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000578754	-0.03%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0094	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000654527	-0.09%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0697	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000687995	-0.16%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0458	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000666217	-0.16%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0177	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000627703	-0.11%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0416	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000626931	-0.11%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0117	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000588276	-0.04%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0380	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572597	+0.02%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0000	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000620209	-0.05%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0594	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000600624	+0.02%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0041	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000615485	-0.00%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0076	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000589084	+0.05%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0425	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000627927	+0.04%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0738	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612817	+0.08%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0217	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592439	+0.12%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0413	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000616132	+0.14%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0449	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681976	+0.04%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0772	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.00068338	+0.06%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0006	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690282	+0.08%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0179	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706359	+0.11%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0293	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617618	+0.36%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0740	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000626849	+0.38%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0013	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742009	+0.24%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1361	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816218	+0.27%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1301	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000886446	+0.16%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0458	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001043	-0.01%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1193	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001028	+0.02%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0147	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.05%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0173	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001226	-0.04%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1214	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001321	-0.06%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0602	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001345	-0.02%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0606	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001314	+0.00%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0179	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001435	-0.00%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1131	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001481	-0.01%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0297	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001499	-0.04%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0500	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001577	-0.07%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0197	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001594	-0.07%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0582	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001584	-0.01%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1175	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001536	-0.02%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1456	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001556	-0.04%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0007	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001533	-0.03%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0178	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001597	-0.07%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0296	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001617	-0.07%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0348	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001625	-0.02%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0936	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001519	+0.05%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0952	✓	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001479	+0.13%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0162	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001587	+0.13%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1371	✗	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001777	-0.05%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1024	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.0017	+0.02%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0910	✓	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002022	-0.84%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0208	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002369	-1.98%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1073	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.00163	-0.02%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3723	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001674	-0.11%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0308	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001294	+0.22%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.2986	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001513	+0.13%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1899	✗	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001377	+0.13%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2875	✓	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001551	+0.01%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0457	✗	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.00148	+0.04%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.0985	✓	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001587	-0.08%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0442	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001694	-0.15%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1143	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001557	+0.04%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0056	✗	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001933	-0.59%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1789	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001653	-0.00%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0904	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001828	-0.38%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0052	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001749	-0.15%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0393	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.00165	-0.17%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3035	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002359	-1.88%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1846	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001519	-0.09%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4395	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001661	-0.22%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1094	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001691	-0.20%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0665	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001766	-0.33%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0322	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001661	-0.24%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0905	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001839	-0.44%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001993	-0.64%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0721	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001812	-0.33%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001767	-0.25%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0231	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.00205	-0.49%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1547	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001541	+0.05%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2672	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001367	+0.09%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1262	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001891	-0.08%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3053	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002286	-0.18%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2058	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002261	-0.15%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002696	-0.28%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1817	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002862	-0.36%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002675	-0.35%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0950	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004749	-0.93%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5503	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.00496	-1.08%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006371	-1.70%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2413	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005125	-1.58%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1967	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001531	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001316	-0.59%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1400	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.00131	-0.66%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001713	-0.52%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2588	✓	1.00