DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · lstm_s9

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1012

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0002

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001303	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000945047	-0.42%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3272	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001394	-0.24%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3976	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001839	-0.29%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2729	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.00203	-0.34%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.1035	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002791	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002389	-0.01%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1323	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002307	+0.10%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0156	✗	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002376	+0.10%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0094	✗	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002517	+0.05%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0193	✓	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002593	+0.04%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0343	✓	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.00286	+0.01%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0956	✗	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.00315	-0.08%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0928	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003054	-0.01%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0724	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002947	+0.01%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0065	✗	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003034	-0.02%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0388	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003065	-0.02%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0117	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.00323	-0.10%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0406	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003306	-0.11%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0116	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003187	-0.16%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0350	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002796	-0.03%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1280	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.00274	-0.02%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0410	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.00285	-0.04%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0352	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002937	-0.02%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0130	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002997	-0.07%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0398	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002943	-0.10%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0118	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002693	-0.02%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1629	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002895	-0.06%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0977	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003093	-0.16%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1245	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003348	-0.30%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0737	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002996	-0.21%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0588	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002721	-0.10%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0780	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002578	-0.00%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0338	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002644	+0.00%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0520	✗	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002812	-0.08%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0247	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002657	+0.00%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0198	✓	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002587	+0.04%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0182	✓	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002753	-0.05%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0001	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002884	-0.04%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0748	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002578	+0.20%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0121	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003277	-0.02%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1855	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003167	+0.01%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0815	✓	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002962	+0.17%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0270	✓	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003526	+0.07%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1852	✗	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.004012	-0.03%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1331	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004035	-0.02%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0089	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004265	-0.04%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.1047	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004367	-0.02%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0518	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.004013	+0.22%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0985	✗	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003992	+0.24%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0526	✓	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004451	+0.14%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0623	✗	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004911	+0.01%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0433	✗	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005084	-0.03%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0246	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005042	+0.02%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0048	✗	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005276	-0.10%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0498	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005897	-0.34%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1634	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006188	-0.47%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0504	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.005016	+0.09%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2431	✓	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005307	+0.06%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0745	✗	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006595	-0.58%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0923	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005881	-0.22%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1920	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006082	-0.27%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0313	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005928	-0.02%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1835	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005998	+0.01%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0194	✗	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005898	+0.12%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0423	✗	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005257	+0.36%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0239	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006319	+0.14%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0310	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007655	-0.19%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1602	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007134	-0.02%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0945	✗	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007396	-0.03%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0458	✓	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006708	+0.18%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0473	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006605	+0.27%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0159	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007925	+0.08%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1118	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009453	-0.08%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0726	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010918	-0.12%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0907	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011415	-0.05%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0213	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011271	-0.06%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0057	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.012077	-0.06%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1263	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012386	-0.05%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0462	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.01538	-0.09%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0089	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012428	+0.04%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1227	✓	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.01175	-0.07%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0746	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012115	-0.09%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0897	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011656	-0.06%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0816	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011373	-0.09%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1451	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011635	-0.07%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012231	-0.03%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013643	+0.06%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1113	✗	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016652	+0.11%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1942	✗	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018846	-0.03%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1378	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017507	+0.05%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016785	+0.06%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013414	-0.05%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015825	+0.04%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1623	✗	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011031	-0.19%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2987	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014127	-0.16%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2477	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015966	-0.19%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1427	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.017017	-0.21%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016999	-0.18%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.023173	-0.06%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2969	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016284	-0.10%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3492	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020342	-0.09%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2461	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024306	-0.07%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025711	-0.03%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030508	-0.26%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1841	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.034286	-0.39%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.1047	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000009018	+0.20%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015754	+0.35%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5436	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000014974	+0.49%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0688	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016286	+0.41%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1217	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025692	-0.03%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4580	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000025008	-0.13%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0858	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026684	-0.17%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0736	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033417	-0.16%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.2071	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028646	-0.05%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1320	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028814	-0.12%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.0959	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032552	-0.18%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1222	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031556	-0.14%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0262	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031967	-0.10%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0118	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033467	-0.07%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0022	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033685	-0.05%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0891	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031645	-0.05%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0932	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031675	+0.02%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0896	✓	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031693	+0.04%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0063	✓	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.00003797	-0.03%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1774	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000038083	-0.04%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0278	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029305	+0.05%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2272	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000039051	+0.05%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2558	✗	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045638	+0.15%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.2010	✗	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051488	+0.07%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0995	✗	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000047358	+0.19%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0562	✓	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037701	+0.13%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2327	✓	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041872	+0.20%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1094	✗	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.00004513	+0.25%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0815	✗	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.00005007	+0.14%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1391	✗	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000056097	+0.17%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.1060	✗	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050922	-0.09%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0641	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044949	-0.11%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1470	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000048283	-0.20%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0776	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043365	+0.20%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045999	+0.26%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000061004	+0.19%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3183	✗	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000061184	+0.15%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0108	✗	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061798	+0.27%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000057118	+0.17%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0744	✓	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057536	+0.05%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000060097	+0.01%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.00005792	+0.03%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055697	+0.03%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.00006004	+0.05%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1241	✗	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069795	-0.25%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1999	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063719	-0.25%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0808	✗	1.00