CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
37.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0819
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0066
actual +0.0136
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.068694 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.068625 | -0.50% | 0.069027 | +0.08% | 0.0071 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068396 | -0.49% | 0.06897 | +0.34% | 0.0158 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066588 | -0.45% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0396 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.070138 | -0.48% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0487 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073555 | -0.51% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0382 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.07239 | -0.49% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0202 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.07805 | -0.56% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0751 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073394 | -0.49% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0714 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087635 | -0.70% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1863 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.096074 | -1.02% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0731 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091682 | -0.74% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0368 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091502 | -0.97% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0178 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085981 | -0.75% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0761 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072629 | -0.70% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1857 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070697 | -0.82% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0159 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086868 | -1.26% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2291 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.07347 | -0.64% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1773 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064914 | -0.56% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1204 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068524 | -0.74% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0259 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.073134 | -1.21% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0546 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.069136 | -1.02% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0640 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068725 | -0.84% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0333 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059421 | -0.70% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1528 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.056066 | -0.60% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0677 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053332 | -0.49% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0416 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051336 | -0.47% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0437 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051846 | -0.54% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049689 | -0.52% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0439 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052783 | -0.61% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0551 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046624 | -0.39% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1067 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045687 | -0.40% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044548 | -0.43% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1108 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047445 | -0.68% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0598 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055501 | -0.56% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1444 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054614 | -0.67% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1024 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059428 | -0.99% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0740 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.05662 | -1.23% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0688 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.063271 | -1.77% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1538 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046918 | -0.32% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3489 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.04476 | -0.24% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0395 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044385 | -0.21% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0121 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045368 | -0.22% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0041 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047303 | -0.31% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0821 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04665 | -0.29% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0130 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046488 | -0.29% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0091 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042877 | -0.18% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0546 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044624 | -0.18% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0263 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045171 | -0.16% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0067 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048689 | -0.19% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1125 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072288 | -0.56% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3244 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070195 | -0.51% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0334 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.068067 | -0.47% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0153 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067834 | -0.48% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0240 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068864 | -0.51% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0205 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069553 | -0.54% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0022 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.06573 | -0.48% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0183 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070219 | -0.56% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0396 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.069048 | -0.56% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0312 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.06843 | -0.57% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0066 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068948 | -0.61% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0204 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069646 | -0.64% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0081 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.06663 | -0.66% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0281 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064311 | -0.68% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1690 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.067267 | -0.78% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0609 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068378 | -0.87% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1633 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069873 | -1.08% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0051 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066422 | -1.06% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1316 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.061357 | -1.23% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0821 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.064072 | -1.92% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0291 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.056078 | -1.17% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1340 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054532 | -1.37% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0403 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053768 | -1.84% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0230 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045441 | -1.50% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1718 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.039048 | -0.86% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1328 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03655 | -0.98% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0726 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035568 | -1.11% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030469 | -1.11% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1896 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027644 | -0.67% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.0960 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025222 | -0.58% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1196 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027405 | -0.70% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0550 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029274 | -0.88% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0602 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.027058 | -0.82% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1173 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.03858 | -1.64% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3491 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.034022 | -1.46% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0679 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025851 | -0.82% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3267 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.027038 | -0.95% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0344 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023907 | -0.72% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1397 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022412 | -0.54% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020893 | -0.45% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026819 | -0.96% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023433 | -0.65% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021089 | -0.41% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.01993 | -0.34% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.02094 | -0.43% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0659 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.01843 | -0.31% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018827 | -0.32% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018609 | -0.31% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.01836 | -0.30% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018296 | -0.31% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016414 | -0.23% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019051 | -0.30% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016967 | -0.23% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015918 | -0.17% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0667 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019562 | -0.28% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1989 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021675 | -0.33% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.02249 | -0.37% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020875 | -0.33% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0955 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021156 | -0.40% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023164 | -0.44% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0933 | ✓ | 1.00 |