CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
38.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0841
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0110
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.066215 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068283 | -0.66% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0269 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066458 | -0.64% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0416 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.069949 | -0.75% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0460 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073298 | -0.86% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0347 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072103 | -0.89% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0242 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077661 | -1.06% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0701 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073022 | -0.99% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0765 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.086986 | -1.43% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1789 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095111 | -2.01% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0631 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.090925 | -1.56% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0451 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.0906 | -1.95% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0277 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085259 | -1.59% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0845 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072137 | -1.37% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1925 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070243 | -1.46% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0223 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086082 | -2.15% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2200 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.0731 | -1.14% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1824 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064671 | -0.93% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1241 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068054 | -1.42% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0190 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072541 | -2.01% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0465 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068697 | -1.64% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0704 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.0683 | -1.45% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0395 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059242 | -1.00% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1558 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055979 | -0.76% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0693 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053327 | -0.50% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0417 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051339 | -0.47% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0437 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051818 | -0.59% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049693 | -0.51% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0438 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.05276 | -0.65% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0547 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046677 | -0.28% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1056 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045721 | -0.33% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0185 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044447 | -0.66% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1131 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047339 | -0.90% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0576 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055263 | -0.98% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1401 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054276 | -1.29% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1086 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.058852 | -1.95% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0642 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056202 | -1.96% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0762 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062657 | -2.73% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1441 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046899 | -0.36% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3493 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044757 | -0.25% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0395 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044386 | -0.21% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0121 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045369 | -0.21% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0041 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047299 | -0.31% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0820 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046654 | -0.28% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0129 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046498 | -0.27% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0093 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042869 | -0.20% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0548 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044622 | -0.19% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045188 | -0.12% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0071 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048723 | -0.12% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1132 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072189 | -0.70% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3231 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070139 | -0.59% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0342 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.068063 | -0.47% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0153 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067831 | -0.49% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0241 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068846 | -0.53% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0202 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.06952 | -0.58% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0027 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065752 | -0.44% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0180 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070179 | -0.62% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0391 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.068998 | -0.63% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0319 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068379 | -0.64% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0073 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068848 | -0.75% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0218 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069475 | -0.89% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0105 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.06647 | -0.90% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0305 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064008 | -1.15% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1738 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.066578 | -1.80% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0712 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.067418 | -2.26% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1774 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.068659 | -2.80% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0124 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.065217 | -2.85% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1499 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.060287 | -2.95% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0997 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.062982 | -3.58% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055142 | -2.82% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1508 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.053632 | -3.00% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0569 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.052967 | -3.30% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0380 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.044951 | -2.56% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1827 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038746 | -1.63% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1406 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036266 | -1.75% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0804 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035315 | -1.81% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0448 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030288 | -1.70% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1956 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027499 | -1.19% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.1013 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025082 | -1.13% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1252 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027212 | -1.40% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0480 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029035 | -1.69% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0521 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026831 | -1.65% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1257 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038082 | -2.91% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3361 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033722 | -2.33% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0768 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025712 | -1.35% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3321 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026874 | -1.56% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0283 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023838 | -1.01% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1426 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022392 | -0.63% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0026 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020888 | -0.47% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0597 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026623 | -1.69% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023376 | -0.90% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021076 | -0.47% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019923 | -0.37% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0675 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020917 | -0.54% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018423 | -0.35% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018817 | -0.38% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018604 | -0.34% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018357 | -0.32% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018294 | -0.32% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016409 | -0.26% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019043 | -0.34% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1891 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016957 | -0.29% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1428 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.0159 | -0.28% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0678 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019546 | -0.35% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021646 | -0.47% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022447 | -0.56% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.02084 | -0.50% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0972 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021118 | -0.57% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023119 | -0.63% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 1.00 |