AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0655

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0155

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.018938	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019101	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.019909	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.018872	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.019874	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021196	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019774	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018205	-2.37%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0511	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.018887	-2.52%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0441	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018399	-2.22%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1154	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.02016	-2.43%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0141	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021878	-2.64%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0416	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019642	-1.51%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1353	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019661	-1.37%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0381	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021979	-1.59%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1435	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021513	-1.09%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0724	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022228	-1.27%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1136	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022568	-1.38%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0514	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022526	-1.35%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0222	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02244	-1.52%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0915	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022701	-1.09%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0873	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023337	-1.29%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0400	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022344	-0.84%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0533	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.0217	-0.68%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0051	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024606	-1.28%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0981	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025124	-1.53%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0997	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024434	-1.43%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0748	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023828	-1.12%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023043	-1.01%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024348	-1.04%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023122	-0.86%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020815	-1.52%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1403	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021054	-1.48%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1537	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021286	-1.45%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1133	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020044	-1.81%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020183	-1.91%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020824	-2.26%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020066	-1.84%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019845	-2.06%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021059	-2.36%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.02011	-1.65%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018368	-1.44%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1080	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019812	-1.53%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0655	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020196	-1.50%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020504	-1.30%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020421	-0.88%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020394	-0.96%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0887	✗	1.00