AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

152

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0362

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual +0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37325	0.370125	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-10-21	oos	0.3753	0.371084	-1.12%	0.37325	-0.55%	0.0049	✓	0.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339422	-1.10%	0.3753	+9.35%	0.0956	✗	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.413968	-2.10%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1935	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.314168	-1.61%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2981	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.370971	-1.96%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1539	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.290347	-1.07%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2657	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.280975	-1.27%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0477	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.263764	-1.78%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0724	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235012	-0.96%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1451	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230686	-0.61%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0180	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227113	-0.50%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0367	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.231227	-0.55%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0190	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237249	-0.61%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0232	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.23078	-0.55%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0269	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.22526	-0.39%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0428	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231731	-0.35%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0063	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244006	-0.47%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0464	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260377	-0.66%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0544	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264296	-0.77%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0224	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258379	-0.72%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0285	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.256714	-0.71%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0165	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.243979	-0.66%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0476	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243667	-0.65%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0085	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241744	-0.60%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0129	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250863	-0.65%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0228	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244149	-0.59%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0333	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.262015	-0.73%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0673	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253741	-0.73%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0419	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251051	-0.77%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0179	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.255198	-0.80%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0064	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246379	-0.59%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0465	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236436	-1.03%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0022	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223865	-0.81%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0657	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.232123	-1.48%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0315	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.256876	-2.37%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1469	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.15533	-0.27%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5242	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158824	-0.33%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0273	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163931	-0.50%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0065	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.170793	-0.90%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0547	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.166253	-0.30%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0424	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.152975	-0.21%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0855	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148202	-0.17%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0246	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158053	-0.19%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0394	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165585	-0.22%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0424	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160101	-0.09%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0449	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165575	-0.08%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0153	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.170298	-0.09%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0344	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.172132	-0.10%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0120	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.195861	-0.15%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1077	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183881	-0.17%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0116	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.189797	-0.21%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0287	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.193303	-0.18%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190674	-0.20%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0040	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199178	-0.26%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0346	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.201317	-0.34%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0130	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208057	-0.21%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0004	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210014	-0.35%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0226	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.208488	-0.34%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0045	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201462	-0.17%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0434	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206376	-0.33%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0386	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202747	-0.37%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0122	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.20426	-0.31%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0128	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.189621	-0.72%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0062	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.178718	-0.66%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0135	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169577	-0.63%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0135	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.173011	-0.65%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0172	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172916	-0.65%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0215	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.177142	-0.68%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0144	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177442	-0.68%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0043	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.179042	-0.67%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0058	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183575	-0.69%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0185	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189757	-0.73%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0240	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.201347	-0.81%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0451	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205647	-0.89%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0037	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204542	-0.97%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0154	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207814	-1.16%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0064	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.188368	-0.96%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.0992	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.180007	-0.90%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0609	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.166373	-0.82%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0786	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.16991	-1.04%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0228	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.180594	-1.04%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0499	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.169453	-1.22%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0617	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159454	-0.81%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0742	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.151003	-0.66%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0970	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149151	-0.63%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152305	-0.65%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0155	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153533	-0.66%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0043	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161266	-0.70%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0133	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162454	-0.76%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0191	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153361	-0.64%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0614	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152765	-0.58%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0277	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157184	-0.58%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0044	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.15903	-0.58%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0016	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155035	-0.56%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0084	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153118	-0.51%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0086	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.154001	-0.48%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0014	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157217	-0.50%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0323	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158785	-0.48%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0072	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163383	-0.47%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0065	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161121	-0.42%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0235	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156786	-0.39%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0204	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.162183	-0.38%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0016	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.16673	-0.37%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0232	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.16899	-0.36%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0030	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167501	-0.33%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0058	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166414	-0.29%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0086	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170613	-0.28%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0008	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178823	-0.29%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0312	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179792	-0.28%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0105	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.183438	-0.28%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0270	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176797	-0.26%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0287	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170615	-0.20%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0181	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174535	-0.12%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0529	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.161426	-0.01%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0502	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.166041	-0.04%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0053	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166967	+0.01%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0193	✗	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168877	+0.02%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0020	✗	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.173151	+0.03%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0238	✗	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170964	+0.07%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0063	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.174684	+0.05%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0039	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181885	+0.02%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0080	✗	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187544	-0.00%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0057	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.191136	+0.02%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0330	✗	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.198285	-0.03%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0176	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.190241	-0.06%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0275	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.193636	-0.24%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0289	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.203145	-0.27%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0154	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.199344	-0.23%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0442	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196698	-0.20%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0283	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.193195	-0.11%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0092	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.190338	-0.03%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0089	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.190832	-0.09%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.193717	-0.12%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.175502	+0.06%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.175909	+0.09%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.183638	+0.02%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.183477	-0.01%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.177492	+0.16%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.177236	+0.19%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.192015	+0.11%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.210093	+0.14%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.206299	-0.00%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0569	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.221272	-0.28%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221146	-0.52%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0346	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217737	-0.51%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0234	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.21699	-0.58%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.213766	-0.57%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220879	-0.68%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.226113	-0.57%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231821	-0.63%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229788	-0.70%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240669	-0.71%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0435	✓	1.00