AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

56.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0362

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.31702	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.3362	-2.04%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0436	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.410488	-2.92%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1850	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.312134	-2.24%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.3046	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.368163	-2.71%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1463	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.289057	-1.51%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2701	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.280204	-1.54%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0505	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.264688	-1.44%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0689	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.236149	-0.49%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1403	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.231467	-0.27%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0147	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227628	-0.27%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0344	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.23188	-0.27%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0218	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.238007	-0.29%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0263	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.2315	-0.24%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0238	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225736	-0.18%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0407	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.23208	-0.20%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0078	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244418	-0.30%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0481	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260713	-0.53%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0557	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264499	-0.70%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0232	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258693	-0.60%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0273	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257049	-0.58%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0152	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244371	-0.50%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0460	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.244011	-0.51%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0071	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241947	-0.52%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0121	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250843	-0.66%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0227	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.24397	-0.66%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0340	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.261291	-1.01%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0646	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.252822	-1.09%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0455	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.249904	-1.22%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0225	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.254147	-1.21%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0105	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245467	-0.96%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0502	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.234667	-1.77%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0053	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.222452	-1.44%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0720	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.230774	-2.05%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0257	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.255171	-3.01%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1402	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155407	-0.22%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5237	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158846	-0.32%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0275	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.16408	-0.41%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0056	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.171312	-0.60%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0578	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.166497	-0.15%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0410	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.153145	-0.10%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0844	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148317	-0.09%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0238	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158292	-0.04%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0409	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165908	-0.03%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0443	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160321	+0.04%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0435	✓	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165778	+0.05%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0165	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.170551	+0.06%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0359	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.172412	+0.07%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0136	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.196222	+0.04%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1096	✗	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.184214	+0.01%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0098	✓	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190177	-0.01%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0307	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.193669	+0.01%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0032	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.191105	+0.03%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199656	-0.02%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0370	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.201934	-0.03%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0160	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.20852	+0.01%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0018	✗	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210602	-0.07%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0254	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.209012	-0.09%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0020	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201765	-0.02%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0419	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206713	-0.16%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0402	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.203075	-0.21%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0106	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204424	-0.23%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0120	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190335	-0.35%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0024	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.179138	-0.42%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0111	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169935	-0.42%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0156	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.173285	-0.50%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0187	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.173104	-0.54%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0226	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.177199	-0.65%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0147	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177392	-0.70%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0046	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178871	-0.76%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183205	-0.89%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0165	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189143	-1.05%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0208	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.20039	-1.29%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0404	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.204491	-1.45%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0093	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.203264	-1.59%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0217	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.206434	-1.82%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0003	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187307	-1.52%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1048	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179144	-1.38%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0657	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.165811	-1.16%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0819	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169252	-1.43%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0189	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.179826	-1.47%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0457	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.169325	-1.30%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0624	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159661	-0.68%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0729	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.151255	-0.49%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0953	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149468	-0.42%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0019	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152649	-0.42%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0177	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153909	-0.42%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0067	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161621	-0.48%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0154	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162901	-0.49%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0219	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153794	-0.36%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0586	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.153128	-0.34%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0254	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157565	-0.34%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0069	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159425	-0.33%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0008	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155437	-0.30%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0058	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153455	-0.29%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0064	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.15431	-0.28%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0006	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157547	-0.29%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0344	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.159095	-0.29%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0092	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163681	-0.29%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0083	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161405	-0.24%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0218	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.157066	-0.21%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0221	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.16243	-0.23%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0031	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166965	-0.23%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0246	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.169186	-0.24%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0042	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167706	-0.20%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0070	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166618	-0.17%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0098	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170804	-0.17%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0019	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178972	-0.21%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0320	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179932	-0.20%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0113	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.183541	-0.22%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0275	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176916	-0.19%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0280	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170748	-0.12%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0173	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174641	-0.06%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0535	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.16147	+0.01%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0500	✓	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.166152	+0.03%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0046	✓	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.167051	+0.06%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0198	✗	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168978	+0.08%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0026	✗	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.173257	+0.09%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0244	✗	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.171051	+0.12%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0058	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.174768	+0.10%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0034	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181923	+0.04%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0082	✗	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187469	-0.04%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190952	-0.08%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0321	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197901	-0.23%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0157	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.189818	-0.28%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0298	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.193288	-0.42%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0271	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.20271	-0.49%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0133	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.198803	-0.50%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0470	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196037	-0.54%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0317	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192449	-0.49%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0131	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.189534	-0.45%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0047	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.189957	-0.55%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.192761	-0.61%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.174615	-0.45%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.174936	-0.46%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0065	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.18249	-0.60%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.182288	-0.66%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0110	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.176486	-0.40%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.176276	-0.35%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0082	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.190979	-0.43%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.209121	-0.32%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.205174	-0.55%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220264	-0.74%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.220679	-0.73%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0367	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.21731	-0.70%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.216356	-0.87%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.213194	-0.84%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220422	-0.89%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.225629	-0.78%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231078	-0.95%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.2288	-1.12%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0159	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.239381	-1.25%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0382	✓	1.00