ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s9
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 342
Track record at +1d
assessed
113
of 114 predictions shown
direction hit
51.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0432
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0052
actual -0.0013
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2378 | 0.236899 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2364 | 0.235593 | -0.34% | 0.2378 | +0.59% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.229705 | -0.32% | 0.2364 | +2.58% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.226601 | -0.29% | 0.23045 | +1.41% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.231947 | -0.30% | 0.22725 | -2.32% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.236308 | -0.31% | 0.23265 | -1.86% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.238547 | -0.34% | 0.23705 | -0.96% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.229667 | -0.27% | 0.23935 | +3.93% | 0.0461 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.241188 | -0.38% | 0.2303 | -4.87% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.250005 | -0.50% | 0.2421 | -3.64% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.249515 | -0.51% | 0.25125 | +0.18% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.280238 | -0.66% | 0.2508 | -11.10% | 0.1000 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.27655 | -0.66% | 0.2821 | +1.33% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.254719 | -0.52% | 0.2784 | +8.73% | 0.0869 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.26087 | -0.60% | 0.25605 | -2.44% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.269871 | -0.73% | 0.26245 | -3.46% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.267954 | -0.78% | 0.27185 | +0.67% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.289308 | -1.02% | 0.27005 | -7.61% | 0.0677 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.272607 | -0.91% | 0.2923 | +6.25% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.278783 | -1.11% | 0.2751 | -2.41% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.285598 | -1.35% | 0.2819 | -2.63% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.280151 | -1.36% | 0.2895 | +1.94% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.274583 | -1.44% | 0.284 | +1.94% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.266286 | -1.54% | 0.2786 | +3.01% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.254799 | -1.57% | 0.27045 | +4.48% | 0.0586 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.247415 | -1.55% | 0.25885 | +3.00% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.224257 | -1.03% | 0.2513 | +10.90% | 0.1135 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.24614 | -1.31% | 0.2266 | -9.14% | 0.0851 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.247738 | -1.61% | 0.2494 | -0.95% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.227811 | -1.42% | 0.2518 | +8.96% | 0.1001 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.219198 | -1.35% | 0.2311 | +4.01% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.198443 | -1.05% | 0.2222 | +10.80% | 0.1169 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.193965 | -1.37% | 0.20055 | +1.98% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.191682 | -1.42% | 0.19665 | +1.13% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.188777 | -1.37% | 0.19445 | +1.59% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.171146 | -1.13% | 0.1914 | +10.57% | 0.0721 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.167452 | -1.09% | 0.1731 | +2.24% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.160841 | -0.90% | 0.1693 | +4.31% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.161452 | -0.55% | 0.1623 | -0.03% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.153058 | -0.45% | 0.16235 | +5.59% | 0.0467 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153872 | -0.44% | 0.15375 | -0.52% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.13886 | -0.17% | 0.15455 | +11.11% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.134405 | -0.26% | 0.1391 | +3.23% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.146923 | -0.26% | 0.13475 | -8.52% | 0.0720 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.15185 | -0.36% | 0.1473 | -3.35% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.145822 | -0.09% | 0.1524 | +4.42% | 0.0495 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.141401 | +0.07% | 0.14595 | +3.29% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.132255 | +0.12% | 0.1413 | +6.96% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.136524 | +0.16% | 0.1321 | -3.08% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.129221 | +0.17% | 0.1363 | +5.66% | 0.0681 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.126527 | +0.18% | 0.129 | +2.14% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.123486 | +0.23% | 0.1263 | +2.52% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.129178 | +0.25% | 0.1232 | -4.38% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.119728 | +0.23% | 0.12885 | +7.87% | 0.0652 | ✓ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.123421 | +0.22% | 0.11945 | -3.00% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.121942 | +0.20% | 0.12315 | +1.19% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.132178 | +0.13% | 0.1217 | -7.80% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.129324 | +0.10% | 0.132 | +2.17% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.130673 | +0.02% | 0.1292 | -1.11% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133422 | -0.10% | 0.13065 | -2.17% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.146255 | -0.17% | 0.13355 | -8.84% | 0.1018 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.124142 | -0.13% | 0.1465 | +17.86% | 0.1600 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.129213 | -0.14% | 0.1243 | -3.94% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.116237 | -0.65% | 0.1294 | +10.60% | 0.0805 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.115401 | -0.77% | 0.117 | +0.60% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.112721 | -0.60% | 0.1163 | +2.56% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.11221 | -0.52% | 0.1134 | +0.53% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.109338 | -0.33% | 0.1128 | +2.83% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.107294 | -0.24% | 0.1097 | +2.00% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.110949 | -0.27% | 0.10755 | -3.33% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.111134 | -0.24% | 0.11125 | -0.13% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.114022 | -0.24% | 0.1114 | -2.54% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.118516 | -0.28% | 0.1143 | -3.83% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.126415 | -0.38% | 0.11885 | -6.34% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.126156 | -0.35% | 0.1269 | +0.24% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129696 | -0.35% | 0.1266 | -2.73% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.13993 | -0.44% | 0.13015 | -7.40% | 0.0725 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.14538 | -0.49% | 0.14055 | -3.80% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.149422 | -0.55% | 0.1461 | -2.76% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.141157 | -0.42% | 0.15025 | +6.00% | 0.0609 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.147189 | -0.48% | 0.14175 | -4.16% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151584 | -0.54% | 0.1479 | -2.95% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.161114 | -0.70% | 0.1524 | -6.07% | 0.0585 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.157062 | -0.62% | 0.16225 | +2.66% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.15272 | -0.57% | 0.15805 | +2.90% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.155079 | -0.59% | 0.1536 | -1.54% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.151893 | -0.53% | 0.156 | +2.16% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.149504 | -0.46% | 0.1527 | +1.66% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.159016 | -0.61% | 0.1502 | -6.12% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.177727 | -0.99% | 0.16 | -10.86% | 0.1129 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.170083 | -0.83% | 0.1795 | +4.66% | 0.0524 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.171158 | -0.81% | 0.1715 | -0.61% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.166872 | -0.70% | 0.17255 | +2.68% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.150917 | -0.45% | 0.16805 | +10.85% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.153785 | -0.43% | 0.1516 | -1.85% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.147197 | -0.34% | 0.15445 | +4.57% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.1507 | -0.33% | 0.1477 | -2.31% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.161869 | -0.39% | 0.1512 | -6.95% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161583 | -0.38% | 0.1625 | +0.18% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.162091 | -0.34% | 0.1622 | -0.28% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.164969 | -0.35% | 0.16265 | -1.75% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.172021 | -0.34% | 0.16555 | -4.08% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.167324 | -0.34% | 0.1726 | +2.80% | 0.0545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.180695 | -0.39% | 0.1679 | -7.44% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.177615 | -0.38% | 0.1814 | +1.74% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.178537 | -0.34% | 0.1783 | -0.47% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.18023 | -0.29% | 0.17915 | -0.89% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.195704 | -0.35% | 0.18075 | -7.97% | 0.0622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.217444 | -0.44% | 0.1964 | -10.07% | 0.0911 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.237498 | -0.55% | 0.2184 | -8.54% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.205524 | -0.33% | 0.2388 | +15.81% | 0.1422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.213784 | -0.33% | 0.2062 | -3.87% | 0.0451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224832 | -0.34% | 0.2145 | -4.92% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.222186 | -0.28% | 0.2256 | +1.26% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.00 |