ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s9
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 342
Track record at +1d
assessed
113
of 114 predictions shown
direction hit
50.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0429
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0071
actual -0.0013
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2378 | 0.236132 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2364 | 0.234741 | -0.70% | 0.2378 | +0.59% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.228908 | -0.67% | 0.2364 | +2.58% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.225805 | -0.64% | 0.23045 | +1.41% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.231074 | -0.68% | 0.22725 | -2.32% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.235362 | -0.71% | 0.23265 | -1.86% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.237586 | -0.74% | 0.23705 | -0.96% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.228786 | -0.66% | 0.23935 | +3.93% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.240317 | -0.74% | 0.2303 | -4.87% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.249193 | -0.82% | 0.2421 | -3.64% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.248554 | -0.90% | 0.25125 | +0.18% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.279595 | -0.89% | 0.2508 | -11.10% | 0.0977 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.275915 | -0.89% | 0.2821 | +1.33% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.254035 | -0.79% | 0.2784 | +8.73% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.260316 | -0.81% | 0.25605 | -2.44% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.26953 | -0.85% | 0.26245 | -3.46% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.267761 | -0.85% | 0.27185 | +0.67% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.289531 | -0.95% | 0.27005 | -7.61% | 0.0685 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.272709 | -0.87% | 0.2923 | +6.25% | 0.0740 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.279346 | -0.91% | 0.2751 | -2.41% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.286687 | -0.97% | 0.2819 | -2.63% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.281256 | -0.97% | 0.2895 | +1.94% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.275861 | -0.98% | 0.284 | +1.94% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.267635 | -1.04% | 0.2786 | +3.01% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.255947 | -1.12% | 0.27045 | +4.48% | 0.0541 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.248152 | -1.25% | 0.25885 | +3.00% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.224611 | -0.88% | 0.2513 | +10.90% | 0.1120 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.246987 | -0.97% | 0.2266 | -9.14% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.24902 | -1.10% | 0.2494 | -0.95% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.228711 | -1.03% | 0.2518 | +8.96% | 0.0961 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.219792 | -1.08% | 0.2311 | +4.01% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.1985 | -1.02% | 0.2222 | +10.80% | 0.1166 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.194625 | -1.03% | 0.20055 | +1.98% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.192288 | -1.11% | 0.19665 | +1.13% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.189268 | -1.11% | 0.19445 | +1.59% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.171383 | -0.99% | 0.1914 | +10.57% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.167576 | -1.02% | 0.1731 | +2.24% | 0.0306 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.160737 | -0.96% | 0.1693 | +4.31% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.161102 | -0.77% | 0.1623 | -0.03% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.152569 | -0.77% | 0.16235 | +5.59% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153408 | -0.74% | 0.15375 | -0.52% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.138415 | -0.49% | 0.15455 | +11.11% | 0.1098 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.133997 | -0.56% | 0.1391 | +3.23% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.146438 | -0.59% | 0.13475 | -8.52% | 0.0687 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151263 | -0.75% | 0.1473 | -3.35% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.145162 | -0.54% | 0.1524 | +4.42% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.14079 | -0.36% | 0.14595 | +3.29% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.131806 | -0.22% | 0.1413 | +6.96% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.135974 | -0.24% | 0.1321 | -3.08% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.128891 | -0.08% | 0.1363 | +5.66% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.125631 | -0.53% | 0.129 | +2.14% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.12249 | -0.58% | 0.1263 | +2.52% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.128411 | -0.34% | 0.1232 | -4.38% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.118738 | -0.60% | 0.12885 | +7.87% | 0.0735 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.12254 | -0.50% | 0.11945 | -3.00% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.120995 | -0.58% | 0.12315 | +1.19% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.131779 | -0.17% | 0.1217 | -7.80% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.128767 | -0.34% | 0.132 | +2.17% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.130103 | -0.42% | 0.1292 | -1.11% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.133013 | -0.40% | 0.13065 | -2.17% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.145656 | -0.58% | 0.13355 | -8.84% | 0.0977 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.123421 | -0.71% | 0.1465 | +17.86% | 0.1658 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.128639 | -0.59% | 0.1243 | -3.94% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.116136 | -0.74% | 0.1294 | +10.60% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.115423 | -0.75% | 0.117 | +0.60% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.112586 | -0.72% | 0.1163 | +2.56% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.112024 | -0.69% | 0.1134 | +0.53% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.10907 | -0.57% | 0.1128 | +2.83% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.107003 | -0.51% | 0.1097 | +2.00% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.110655 | -0.53% | 0.10755 | -3.33% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.110824 | -0.52% | 0.11125 | -0.13% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.1137 | -0.52% | 0.1114 | -2.54% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.118191 | -0.55% | 0.1143 | -3.83% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.126096 | -0.63% | 0.11885 | -6.34% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.125828 | -0.61% | 0.1269 | +0.24% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129346 | -0.62% | 0.1266 | -2.73% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.139575 | -0.69% | 0.13015 | -7.40% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.145005 | -0.75% | 0.14055 | -3.80% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.149066 | -0.79% | 0.1461 | -2.76% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.1408 | -0.67% | 0.15025 | +6.00% | 0.0635 | ✗ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.146825 | -0.73% | 0.14175 | -4.16% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.151227 | -0.77% | 0.1479 | -2.95% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.160775 | -0.91% | 0.1524 | -6.07% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.156713 | -0.85% | 0.16225 | +2.66% | 0.0350 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.152423 | -0.77% | 0.15805 | +2.90% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.154767 | -0.79% | 0.1536 | -1.54% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.151579 | -0.73% | 0.156 | +2.16% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.149173 | -0.68% | 0.1527 | +1.66% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.158799 | -0.75% | 0.1502 | -6.12% | 0.0479 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.177732 | -0.99% | 0.16 | -10.86% | 0.1129 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.16991 | -0.93% | 0.1795 | +4.66% | 0.0534 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.170957 | -0.92% | 0.1715 | -0.61% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.16659 | -0.87% | 0.17255 | +2.68% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.150584 | -0.67% | 0.16805 | +10.85% | 0.1162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.15339 | -0.69% | 0.1516 | -1.85% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.146832 | -0.59% | 0.15445 | +4.57% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.150312 | -0.59% | 0.1477 | -2.31% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.161434 | -0.66% | 0.1512 | -6.95% | 0.0795 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161219 | -0.61% | 0.1625 | +0.18% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.1617 | -0.58% | 0.1622 | -0.28% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.164587 | -0.58% | 0.16265 | -1.75% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.17162 | -0.57% | 0.16555 | -4.08% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.166986 | -0.54% | 0.1726 | +2.80% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.18032 | -0.60% | 0.1679 | -7.44% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.177282 | -0.57% | 0.1814 | +1.74% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.1782 | -0.53% | 0.1783 | -0.47% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.179886 | -0.48% | 0.17915 | -0.89% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.195355 | -0.53% | 0.18075 | -7.97% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.217091 | -0.60% | 0.1964 | -10.07% | 0.0895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.237179 | -0.68% | 0.2184 | -8.54% | 0.0890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.205156 | -0.51% | 0.2388 | +15.81% | 0.1440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.213433 | -0.50% | 0.2062 | -3.87% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224496 | -0.49% | 0.2145 | -4.92% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.221906 | -0.40% | 0.2256 | +1.26% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |