ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s9
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
76.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2863
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0164
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008778 | -2.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.00871 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007244 | -1.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006844 | -0.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005753 | +0.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006904 | +0.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007684 | +0.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008657 | -0.49% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008647 | -0.03% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007543 | +0.38% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008725 | +0.41% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010921 | -1.62% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010555 | -0.98% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012351 | -1.82% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013313 | -2.11% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013695 | -2.25% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013276 | -2.02% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013675 | -2.04% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014024 | -2.04% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.01309 | -1.80% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015162 | -2.12% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1632 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013973 | -1.84% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013806 | -1.67% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014444 | -1.61% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018805 | -2.01% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021017 | -2.24% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023338 | -2.84% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5639 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023932 | -3.33% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4399 | ✓ | 1.00 |