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2022-08-30 · +1d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0231
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 48.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.3651+0.25%19.03-14.70%0.1700✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0743+0.21%2.03-1.93%0.0276✗0.5197k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8694+0.19%4.86+0.00%0.0120✗0.861.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.884661+0.15%0.89656+1.50%0.0013✓1.0214k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002997+0.12%0.002994+0.03%0.0117✗0.921.1M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0793+0.12%2.1594+3.98%0.0247✓1.1113k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024769+0.12%0.02455-0.77%0.0240✗1.283,3752022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081581+0.10%0.0821+0.74%0.0048✗0.9513k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.043005+0.09%0.043128+0.38%0.0032✗0.5228k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.038022+0.09%0.03845+1.21%0.0016✓0.812,8422022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.334339+0.07%0.3462+3.62%0.0202✓1.24176k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.497346+0.07%0.475-4.43%0.0604✗1.222,7102022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.54051+0.06%0.55118+2.03%0.0040✓1.3237k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.181201+0.06%0.1824+0.72%0.0097✗1.382,2912022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.036019+0.05%0.0357-0.83%0.0183✗0.809,5472022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002921+0.04%0.00335+14.73%0.1252✓1.00486k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.097033+0.03%0.1003+3.40%0.0246✓0.722,7842022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.669224+0.03%0.673+0.60%0.0085✗1.204.3M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0509+0.03%1.0347-1.51%0.0300✗1.23973k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001486+0.03%0.00156+4.98%0.0401✓0.699,0932022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.656753+0.02%0.6723+2.39%0.0070✓1.39226k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.90067+0.02%0.894603-0.66%0.0165✗0.8363k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.6469+0.02%96.47+0.88%0.0016✗0.863.5M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014222+0.02%0.01358-4.50%0.0541✗0.67174k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066526+0.01%0.06618-0.51%0.0148✗0.829142022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.1487-0.00%0.1531+2.96%0.0161✗1.111,5282022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.770623-0.00%0.77191+0.16%0.0088✓0.88509k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.0062-0.00%0.00619-0.16%0.0091✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.447056-0.01%0.4594+2.75%0.0138✗1.14364k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153771-0.01%0.15568+1.23%0.0117✓2.046042022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061412-0.01%0.061277-0.23%0.0147✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035293-0.02%0.0349-1.13%0.0220✓0.9287k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.24415-0.02%0.2447+0.20%0.0093✓0.9881k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,865.14-0.02%19,990.40+0.61%0.0048✓0.9413k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.309729-0.02%0.3041-1.84%0.0310✓1.07111k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,806.90-0.03%20,048.26+1.19%0.0003✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0483-0.03%2.012-1.81%0.0313✓1.1444k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062477-0.04%0.0595-4.80%0.0591✓0.87105k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195522-0.04%0.201+2.76%0.0158✗1.00121k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.32507-0.04%0.3203-1.51%0.0286✓1.17138k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.071058-0.04%0.07274+2.32%0.0096✗1.1726k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088856-0.05%0.0899+1.12%0.0004✓0.95393k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2324-0.05%1.275+3.41%0.0200✗1.19460k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7912-0.06%15.53-1.71%0.0298✓1.1193k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.114-0.06%3.149+1.06%0.0008✓1.0125k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8889-0.06%1.915+1.32%0.0060✓1.6890k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8061-0.06%4.761-1.00%0.0253✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6309-0.07%1.65+1.10%0.0007✗0.93579k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.83-0.07%59.88+0.02%0.0128✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4576-0.07%31.5+0.06%0.0124✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208751-0.07%0.2112+1.10%0.0006✓1.0459k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146292-0.07%0.1445-1.30%0.0245✓1.03138k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.135097-0.08%0.13698+1.32%0.0003✓1.20200k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.424665-0.08%0.418-1.65%0.0279✓1.028,1172022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.5408-0.08%51.915+0.65%0.0016✓0.75322k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.336192-0.08%0.33416-0.69%0.0178✓1.0046k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042864-0.08%0.044+2.56%0.0148✗0.97156k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020361-0.09%0.02026-0.59%0.0149✓0.8411.4M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.4686-0.09%44.55-2.11%0.0318✓0.97438k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050651-0.10%0.0503-0.79%0.0185✓0.98237k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0679-0.10%2.15+3.86%0.0254✗1.14232k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021439-0.10%0.02152+0.27%0.0058✓0.8114k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1676-0.10%6.142-0.52%0.0196✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.3036-0.11%12.38+0.51%0.0052✓0.9732k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2503-0.11%4.3008+1.08%0.0027✗0.77775k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.22575-0.11%0.2291+1.37%0.0040✗0.91501k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7046-0.11%5.746+0.61%0.0029✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.292977-0.12%0.31172+6.27%0.0497✗1.0412k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.9444-0.12%47.14+0.30%0.0105✓1.2411k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.950166-0.12%0.9427-0.90%0.0222✓1.21963k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.00863-0.12%0.00858-0.69%0.0143✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057529-0.12%0.0577+0.17%0.0104✓1.13258k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.04834-0.12%0.0484+0.00%0.0105✓0.99796k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.375959-0.13%0.3717-1.26%0.0227✓0.9640k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102275-0.13%0.104365+1.91%0.0106✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.6642-0.14%149.22+0.24%0.0083✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0444-0.14%1.0708+2.39%0.0147✗0.8748k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046543-0.14%0.04593-1.46%0.0217✓0.7116k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.04335-0.15%0.043941+1.21%0.0035✗0.8530k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.15%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0193✓0.8016k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.10284-0.16%0.1026-0.39%0.0150✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319316-0.16%0.31794-0.59%0.0144✓0.85350k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.9256-0.16%53.84+1.57%0.0056✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.514177-0.16%0.515+0.00%0.0119✓1.1483k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004014-0.16%0.00404+0.50%0.0052✓1.00152k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,522.30-0.16%1,554.00+1.91%0.0044✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3478-0.17%19.13-1.29%0.0267✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001545-0.17%0.001503-2.91%0.0393✓0.98433k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4622-0.17%4.79+7.16%0.0647✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7701-0.18%2.728-1.69%0.0257✓0.88706k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.452176-0.18%0.4458-1.59%0.0254✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132258-0.18%0.1324-0.08%0.0052✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.669772-0.18%0.663-1.19%0.0203✓0.86228k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.383-0.18%47.42-0.11%0.0109✓0.99543k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168689-0.18%0.168-0.59%0.0157✓0.98340k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5459-0.18%6.628+1.07%0.0000✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.287349-0.19%0.2809-2.43%0.0341✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9944-0.19%7.033+0.36%0.0068✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.07-0.20%10.1+0.10%0.0114✓1.22318k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.360578-0.20%0.365+1.02%0.0016✓1.17393k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.429214-0.21%0.439+2.07%0.0089✗1.1596k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.813-0.21%1.7939-1.26%0.0234✓1.0833k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.961288-0.21%0.9535-1.02%0.0141✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0807-0.21%1.129+4.25%0.0230✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260252-0.21%0.247-5.29%0.0524✓0.0191k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.291066-0.22%0.2885-1.10%0.0195✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.650539-0.22%0.663+1.69%0.0076✗0.97207k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127312-0.23%0.1276+0.00%0.0099✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9526-0.23%9.001+0.31%0.0059✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,854.10-0.23%9,021.07+1.65%0.0025✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1718-0.23%12.5+2.46%0.0141✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4938-0.23%1.5108+0.90%0.0020✓1.12296k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013117-0.23%0.013176+0.21%0.0029✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063118-0.24%0.06211-1.83%0.0287✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006521-0.24%0.006495-0.64%0.0090✓0.4258k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220567-0.24%0.2184-1.22%0.0253✓1.31135k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138565-0.24%0.1395+0.43%0.0052✓1.01510k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1771-0.25%5.61+8.09%0.0751✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0608-0.25%1.1463+7.79%0.0596✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005773-0.25%0.005668-2.05%0.0264✓0.692,3002022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.2281-0.25%32.41+0.31%0.0121✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.517682-0.25%0.528+1.73%0.0072✗1.0677k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.1643-0.26%84.85+0.56%0.0099✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102434-0.26%0.1033+0.58%0.0017✓0.86192k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.824-0.26%14.14+2.02%0.0096✗1.10909k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.9691-0.26%31.03-0.06%0.0205✓1.90288k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0545-0.27%2.13+3.40%0.0272✗0.76329k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064526-0.28%0.063428-1.97%0.0244✓0.61129k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.830055-0.28%0.8327+0.04%0.0091✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5516-0.28%1.522-2.19%0.0331✓1.1877k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057733-0.29%0.0574-0.86%0.0168✓0.9398k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2388-0.29%6.25-0.11%0.0088✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.298072-0.30%0.29809-0.29%0.0128✓1.09549k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.355029-0.30%0.3513-1.35%0.0234✓1.09131k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4257-0.30%1.43+0.00%0.0108✓1.17123k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9679-0.30%2.959-0.60%0.0212✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.3314-0.31%115.16+0.41%0.0062✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283091-0.32%0.282-0.70%0.0124✓0.72686k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122297-0.33%0.1236+0.73%0.0019✓1.0625k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245278-0.33%0.2325-5.53%0.0642✓0.9176k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2802-0.36%8.84+6.38%0.0597✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737295-0.37%0.73-1.35%0.0134✓0.2979k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8157-0.40%1.818-0.27%0.0095✓0.91121k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9477-0.41%7.66-4.01%0.0497✓1.09462k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3146-0.41%1.31-0.76%0.0143✓0.91121k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0037-0.41%2.072+2.98%0.0176✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1829-0.43%1.205+1.43%0.0068✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.510092-0.43%0.5054-1.35%0.0182✓0.76579k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.4799-0.45%26.73+0.49%0.0021✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.081994-0.46%0.08149-1.07%0.0068✓0.05478k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0801-0.46%4.337+5.81%0.0556✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.06141-0.47%0.0622+0.81%0.0022✓1.27908k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0896-0.50%4.449+8.25%0.0816✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.75e-7-0.52%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0041✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.546033-0.52%0.5573+1.53%0.0103✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012116-0.53%0.00001208-0.82%0.0142✓0.95828k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2387-0.53%17.27-0.35%0.0064✓0.69880k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7203-0.53%6.047+5.15%0.0500✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2953-0.54%4.8276+11.79%0.1050✗1.00147k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1817-0.54%1.1394-4.10%0.0469✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008016-0.55%0.00799-0.87%0.0165✓1.12477k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3614-0.56%5.8014+7.60%0.0777✗0.10115k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.195487-0.62%0.2179+10.78%0.0987✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.00134-0.62%0.001342-0.46%0.0077✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035065-0.64%0.03519-0.28%0.0084✓1.0240k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023892-0.66%0.02304-4.20%0.0459✓0.81459k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110765-0.66%0.1161+4.13%0.0386✗0.71220k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7185-0.67%1.7276-0.14%0.0061✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7693-0.68%3.743-1.37%0.0186✓0.98252k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1117-0.68%2.922-6.73%0.0689✓0.51650k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.097-0.70%6.7+9.12%0.0888✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9877-0.70%6.4+6.14%0.0609✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8159-0.70%4.0516+5.43%0.0529✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3818-0.79%13.005+4.20%0.0429✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.574-0.80%6.6294+17.98%0.1709✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022582-0.89%0.030314+33.04%0.2933✗0.10266k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8202-0.90%11.825-0.86%0.0127✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.342433-0.98%0.35+1.21%0.0108✗0.93347k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5933-1.03%1.52-5.59%0.0458✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9378-1.07%7.8611+30.97%0.2769✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.983311-1.08%0.91-8.45%0.0820✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045321-1.24%0.00004452-2.99%0.0281✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0063-1.25%1.078+5.79%0.0541✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.905855-1.45%0.9023-1.84%0.0210✓1.45167k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.00015576-1.65%0.00022156+39.90%0.3441✗0.70429k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001068-1.89%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1534✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.