2022-02-24 · +1d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2598

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

30.5%

in alpha space · 23.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.32%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.1866	+0.30%	2.39	+9.63%	0.0577	✓	1.36	579k	2022-02-25
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.016953	+0.14%	0.01819	+7.44%	0.0338	✓	1.59	11.9M	2022-02-25
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.801704	+0.11%	0.8833	+10.30%	0.0850	✓	0.52	1.5M	2022-02-25
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.06467	+0.11%	0.0689	+6.66%	0.0394	✓	1.04	176k	2022-02-25
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.195759	+0.08%	0.2121	+8.44%	0.0456	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-02-25
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1309	+0.08%	1.21	+7.08%	0.0386	✓	1.26	934k	2022-02-25
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.345466	+0.08%	0.3727	+7.97%	0.0425	✓	1.45	1.3M	2022-02-25
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.749	+0.07%	2.9	+5.57%	0.0321	✓	0.93	477k	2022-02-25
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.431616	+0.07%	0.4634	+7.44%	0.0374	✓	1.47	572k	2022-02-25
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.1423	+0.07%	3.3	+5.10%	0.0181	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-02-25
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.2087	+0.06%	1.315	+8.86%	0.0532	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-25
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.814757	+0.06%	0.9019	+10.76%	0.0725	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-25
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.1031	+0.05%	6.33	+3.77%	0.0274	✓	0.40	1.3M	2022-02-25
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	125.3508	+0.04%	139.7	+11.49%	0.0756	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-02-25
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.1185	+0.04%	2.1201	+0.11%	0.0194	✗	0.88	27k	2022-02-25
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.7249	+0.04%	14.87	+8.38%	0.0445	✓	1.55	2.7M	2022-02-25
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.219077	+0.03%	0.229	+4.57%	0.0245	✓	0.86	59k	2022-02-25
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	117.9625	+0.03%	124.6	+5.66%	0.0270	✓	1.21	930k	2022-02-25
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	3.0395	+0.02%	3.2131	+5.73%	0.0250	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-02-25
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	5.0168	+0.02%	5.635	+12.34%	0.0942	✓	0.96	241k	2022-02-25
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.151344	+0.02%	0.15869	+4.87%	0.0160	✓	1.37	29k	2022-02-25
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4813	+0.01%	2.571	+3.63%	0.0166	✓	0.82	205k	2022-02-25
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.660294	+0.01%	0.7023	+6.37%	0.0273	✓	1.50	246k	2022-02-25
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.274019	+0.01%	0.297	+8.39%	0.0489	✓	1.38	2.2M	2022-02-25
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.2411	+0.01%	2.365	+5.53%	0.0191	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-02-25
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.695333	+0.00%	0.7386	+6.23%	0.0354	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-02-25
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.000071143	+0.00%	0.00007523	+5.75%	0.0289	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-02-25
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1901	+0.00%	2.23	+1.83%	0.0049	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-25
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.2703	+0.00%	14.39	+8.44%	0.0530	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-02-25
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.00834	-0.00%	0.0088	+5.52%	0.0243	✗	1.28	546k	2022-02-25
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	5.0299	-0.00%	5.3	+5.37%	0.0328	✗	0.85	398k	2022-02-25
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.509748	-0.00%	0.539539	+5.84%	0.0296	✗	1.18	3.2M	2022-02-25
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.639964	-0.01%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0742	✗	1.90	1.0M	2022-02-25
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.00413	-0.01%	0.00434	+5.08%	0.0074	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-02-25
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.457954	-0.01%	0.4821	+5.26%	0.0209	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-25
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.182384	-0.01%	0.191142	+4.79%	0.0216	✗	1.10	21.4M	2022-02-25
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.130374	-0.02%	0.1468	+12.58%	0.0949	✗	1.03	446k	2022-02-25
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.164054	-0.03%	0.1741	+6.09%	0.0273	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-02-25
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6196	-0.03%	2.7299	+4.18%	0.0190	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-02-25
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	18.4143	-0.03%	18.94	+2.82%	0.0012	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-02-25
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.06071	-0.03%	0.0649	+6.87%	0.0388	✗	1.22	77k	2022-02-25
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3436	-0.03%	1.453	+8.11%	0.0513	✗	1.18	1.1M	2022-02-25
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.5938	-0.04%	17.68	+6.51%	0.0369	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-02-25
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	2.0023	-0.04%	2.187	+9.19%	0.0644	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-25
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.5034	-0.04%	1.536	+2.13%	0.0037	✓	1.09	3.5M	2022-02-25
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.082024	-0.04%	0.08597	+4.76%	0.0216	✗	1.11	47k	2022-02-25
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7904	-0.05%	6.282	+8.44%	0.0514	✗	1.31	29k	2022-02-25
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.3995	-0.05%	25.27	+12.76%	0.0868	✗	1.47	1.8M	2022-02-25
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.1643	-0.05%	19.466	+7.11%	0.0450	✗	1.05	9.6M	2022-02-25
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.5172	-0.05%	28.01	+5.58%	0.0294	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-02-25
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.969	-0.05%	2.09	+6.09%	0.0316	✗	1.22	343k	2022-02-25
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5591	-0.06%	1.66	+6.41%	0.0321	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-25
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3592	-0.06%	1.45	+6.62%	0.0301	✗	1.50	970k	2022-02-25
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.6238	-0.06%	2.7311	+4.03%	0.0190	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-02-25
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.32999	-0.06%	0.3513	+6.39%	0.0236	✗	1.70	16.0M	2022-02-25
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.9823	-0.06%	12.83	+7.01%	0.0448	✗	1.03	369k	2022-02-25
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.061058	-0.06%	0.059479	-2.65%	0.0455	✓	0.84	286k	2022-02-25
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	34.1974	-0.07%	34.73	+1.49%	0.0190	✓	1.50	309k	2022-02-25
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.8372	-0.07%	6.1326	+4.99%	0.0163	✗	1.44	172k	2022-02-25
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7437	-0.07%	4.933	+3.92%	0.0203	✗	0.82	65k	2022-02-25
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068451	-0.07%	0.0734	+7.15%	0.0380	✗	1.39	1.1M	2022-02-25
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.422695	-0.07%	0.447	+5.67%	0.0243	✗	1.38	4.7M	2022-02-25
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.213941	-0.07%	0.2233	+4.30%	0.0197	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-25
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.852659	-0.08%	0.8997	+5.44%	0.0272	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-02-25
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.236915	-0.08%	0.2632	+11.01%	0.0736	✗	1.38	469k	2022-02-25
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001809	-0.08%	0.0000019	+4.97%	0.0339	✗	0.67	14.4M	2022-02-25
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.393189	-0.08%	0.419	+6.48%	0.0165	✗	2.05	2.1M	2022-02-25
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1863	-0.08%	2.336	+6.76%	0.0379	✗	1.24	772k	2022-02-25
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.06085	-0.08%	0.0646	+6.08%	0.0356	✗	1.05	14k	2022-02-25
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.026138	-0.09%	0.02922	+11.70%	0.0936	✗	0.78	4.4M	2022-02-25
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	102.6287	-0.09%	106.72	+3.89%	0.0135	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-25
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.416	-0.09%	4.61	+4.30%	0.0253	✗	0.77	459k	2022-02-25
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.017164	-0.09%	0.01813	+5.53%	0.0293	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-25
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	38,310.45	-0.10%	39,238.48	+2.32%	0.0010	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-02-25
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.123996	-0.10%	0.127781	+2.95%	0.0072	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-25
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.078923	-0.10%	0.082	+3.80%	0.0028	✗	1.54	668k	2022-02-25
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.028072	-0.10%	0.0277	-1.42%	0.0473	✓	1.48	513k	2022-02-25
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011868	-0.10%	0.01202	+1.18%	0.0048	✓	0.76	15k	2022-02-25
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	16.1638	-0.10%	17.28	+6.80%	0.0365	✗	1.32	27.9M	2022-02-25
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.2357	-0.10%	4.62	+8.96%	0.0524	✗	1.50	456k	2022-02-25
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.7311	-0.11%	3.9392	+5.46%	0.0269	✗	1.19	291k	2022-02-25
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	48.7671	-0.11%	51.16	+4.79%	0.0171	✗	1.34	7.5M	2022-02-25
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3365	-0.11%	1.445	+8.00%	0.0509	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-25
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.82607	-0.11%	0.882	+6.65%	0.0341	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-25
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.82	-0.11%	9.25	+4.76%	0.0170	✗	1.33	11.0M	2022-02-25
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.9365	-0.11%	4.017	+1.93%	0.0099	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-25
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.4137	-0.12%	5.65	+4.24%	0.0236	✗	0.83	430k	2022-02-25
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	108.6428	-0.12%	112.66	+3.58%	0.0065	✗	1.30	64k	2022-02-25
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.9591	-0.12%	9.37	+4.46%	0.0294	✗	0.67	853k	2022-02-25
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.9529	-0.12%	14.74	+5.51%	0.0387	✗	0.70	1.9M	2022-02-25
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	300.559	-0.13%	309.04	+2.69%	0.0049	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-02-25
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,594.06	-0.13%	2,769.52	+6.63%	0.0409	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-02-25
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008928	-0.13%	0.00953	+6.60%	0.0358	✗	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-25
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	146.7956	-0.14%	153.74	+4.59%	0.0234	✗	0.99	966k	2022-02-25
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.361294	-0.14%	0.3611	-0.19%	0.0344	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-02-25
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	108.5739	-0.14%	112.52	+3.49%	0.0122	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-25
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1024	-0.15%	1.145	+3.71%	0.0082	✗	1.29	2.8M	2022-02-25
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	41.239	-0.15%	43.09	+4.33%	0.0177	✗	1.14	26.3M	2022-02-25
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	62.9156	-0.15%	67.1249	+6.53%	0.0307	✗	1.48	243k	2022-02-25
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021632	-0.15%	0.022712	+4.83%	0.0251	✗	1.03	114k	2022-02-25
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.139681	-0.16%	0.1469	+5.00%	0.0317	✗	0.81	345k	2022-02-25
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.120311	-0.16%	0.1292	+7.22%	0.0413	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-25
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.776619	-0.16%	0.8312	+6.85%	0.0400	✗	1.21	22.9M	2022-02-25
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.5519	-0.17%	3.679	+3.40%	0.0047	✗	1.32	1.9M	2022-02-25
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.043525	-0.17%	0.04609	+5.71%	0.0283	✗	1.26	768k	2022-02-25
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.4461	-0.17%	21.16	+8.62%	0.0482	✗	1.58	334k	2022-02-25
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.938	-0.18%	4.091	+3.70%	0.0191	✗	0.83	414k	2022-02-25
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.8793	-0.18%	6.32	+7.30%	0.0413	✗	1.35	1.3M	2022-02-25
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.03679	-0.19%	0.0389	+5.53%	0.0310	✗	1.08	31k	2022-02-25
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.638789	-0.19%	0.654	+2.19%	0.0030	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-02-25
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.7137	-0.19%	1.834	+6.81%	0.0449	✗	1.00	84k	2022-02-25
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1858	-0.19%	2.28	+4.11%	0.0191	✗	1.01	275k	2022-02-25
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	104.0395	-0.19%	109.33	+4.88%	0.0225	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-02-25
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.2227	-0.20%	6.3134	+1.26%	0.0036	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-02-25
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.6746	-0.20%	2.73	+1.87%	0.0025	✓	1.00	608k	2022-02-25
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1177	-0.21%	1.15	+2.68%	0.0013	✓	1.30	725k	2022-02-25
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.6978	-0.21%	92.9	+5.71%	0.0320	✗	1.12	1.5M	2022-02-25
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5338	-0.22%	1.6127	+4.92%	0.0272	✗	1.00	72k	2022-02-25
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.092789	-0.23%	0.0985	+5.91%	0.0359	✗	1.04	38k	2022-02-25
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009748	-0.23%	0.01016	+3.99%	0.0075	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-02-25
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.033153	-0.23%	0.03546	+6.71%	0.0481	✗	0.83	1.6M	2022-02-25
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.893515	-0.23%	0.95596	+6.74%	0.0354	✗	1.40	165k	2022-02-25
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.686	-0.24%	1.96	+15.98%	0.1145	✗	1.57	539k	2022-02-25
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.4295	-0.24%	4.51	+1.58%	0.0051	✓	1.01	696k	2022-02-25
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7695	-0.24%	1.8773	+5.84%	0.0312	✗	1.21	206k	2022-02-25
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.738139	-0.25%	0.7733	+4.50%	0.0114	✗	1.53	317k	2022-02-25
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.6796	-0.26%	84.8	+3.55%	0.0173	✗	0.88	946k	2022-02-25
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.8081	-0.27%	1.8595	+2.56%	0.0125	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-02-25
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5754	-0.27%	2.7367	+5.97%	0.0310	✗	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-25
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.053044	-0.29%	0.0696	+30.83%	0.2299	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-02-25
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.011436	-0.29%	0.011713	+2.12%	0.0016	✓	1.11	37k	2022-02-25
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7704	-0.30%	4.938	+3.20%	0.0124	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-02-25
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	89.1333	-0.31%	92.84	+3.84%	0.0113	✗	1.28	132.7M	2022-02-25
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	76.1689	-0.32%	81.05	+6.07%	0.0276	✗	1.50	106.7M	2022-02-25
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9211	-0.32%	9.2	+2.79%	0.0010	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-25
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.478653	-0.38%	0.533	+10.93%	0.0867	✗	0.91	643k	2022-02-25
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023798	-0.39%	0.00002483	+3.93%	0.0115	✗	1.35	3.7M	2022-02-25
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1534	-0.39%	1.2474	+7.73%	0.0451	✗	1.45	2.6M	2022-02-25
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	24.7509	-0.44%	27.3	+9.81%	0.0730	✗	1.09	52.8M	2022-02-25
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.6921	-0.45%	5.9173	+3.49%	0.0295	✗	0.41	433k	2022-02-25
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,333.07	-0.47%	20,170.96	+3.84%	0.0196	✗	0.99	5.7M	2022-02-25
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.12524	-0.60%	0.138	+9.52%	0.0760	✗	0.91	53k	2022-02-25
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	38,068.46	-0.63%	39,386.50	+2.81%	0.0120	✗	0.96	39k	2022-02-25
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.045534	-0.70%	0.048666	+6.13%	0.0384	✗	1.22	8.6M	2022-02-25
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	30.4145	-1.12%	30.26	-1.63%	0.0290	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-25
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.4064	-1.35%	1.6442	+15.33%	0.1240	✗	1.40	238k	2022-02-25
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0055	-1.42%	1.02	+0.00%	0.0137	✓	0.03	286k	2022-02-25
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	64.2656	-1.49%	73.2	+12.20%	0.0990	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-02-25
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1645	-1.90%	1.168	-1.60%	0.0256	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-02-25
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.88e-7	-1.97%	7.00e-7	-0.31%	0.0062	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-25
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.8068	-2.77%	7.09	+1.27%	0.0322	✗	0.37	2.0M	2022-02-25

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.