8=======>

2022-02-15 · +1d

lstm_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1111
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.7%
in alpha space · 80.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CBKCobakEthereum2.4752.4723-0.11%2.452-0.93%0.0089✗1.1020k2022-02-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.087064-0.16%0.0851-2.41%0.0037✓1.23195k2022-02-16
NANOnanopayBase2.33572.332-0.16%2.2584-3.31%0.0124✓1.27436k2022-02-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8872.882-0.17%2.809-2.70%0.0047✓1.341.1M2022-02-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1517840.151518-0.17%0.148737-2.01%0.0027✓1.026.4M2022-02-16
TRXTRONTron0.0668370.066719-0.18%0.066472-0.55%0.0100✗0.88327k2022-02-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,583.5244,503.84-0.18%43,895.56-1.54%0.0018✗1.00642.7M2022-02-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0051.0031-0.19%0.983-2.19%0.0012✓1.382.5M2022-02-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7724.7628-0.19%4.803+0.65%0.0215✗0.84383k2022-02-16
DASHDashDash109.33109.1138-0.20%115.33+5.49%0.0728✗1.122.0M2022-02-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.22641.2239-0.20%1.1915-2.84%0.0106✓1.04211k2022-02-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.47.384-0.22%7.24-2.16%0.0150✓0.301.2M2022-02-16
GTGateEthereum6.93116.9161-0.22%6.8827-0.70%0.0088✗0.883.9M2022-02-16
COMPCompoundEthereum136.04135.7397-0.22%136.01-0.02%0.0225✗1.3258k2022-02-16
XVGVergenative0.011910.011884-0.22%0.01171-1.68%0.0069✗1.391.2M2022-02-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.879.848-0.22%11.78+19.35%0.1999✗1.333.0M2022-02-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2960.295318-0.23%0.288-2.70%0.0103✓0.9577k2022-02-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07470.074525-0.23%0.0757+1.34%0.0329✗1.1117k2022-02-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.86341.8589-0.24%1.8241-2.11%0.0012✓1.1469k2022-02-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,051.4043,941.97-0.25%43,960.80-0.21%0.0156✗0.9851k2022-02-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59570.594212-0.25%0.602+1.06%0.0295✗1.06948k2022-02-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098270.098024-0.25%0.09789-0.39%0.0164✗1.1451k2022-02-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.10780.107529-0.25%0.1052-2.41%0.0024✓1.561.1M2022-02-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.030920.030842-0.25%0.03216+4.01%0.0551✗0.866.2M2022-02-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1210.120695-0.25%0.116-4.13%0.0241✓1.0070k2022-02-16
DIADIAEthereum0.990.987495-0.25%0.97-2.02%0.0023✓1.00270k2022-02-16
SCSiacoinnative0.011070.011042-0.25%0.01078-2.62%0.0079✓1.04483k2022-02-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1716.1289-0.25%15.91-1.61%0.0027✗1.05483k2022-02-16
QNTQuantEthereum132.67132.3261-0.26%129.55-2.35%0.0051✓1.037.8M2022-02-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8897.8685-0.26%8.239+4.44%0.0513✗0.3437k2022-02-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013980.013943-0.26%0.01389-0.64%0.0081✗0.7613k2022-02-16
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.1057-0.27%1.0833-2.29%0.0030✓1.13107.6M2022-02-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055860.05571-0.27%0.05759+3.10%0.0551✗1.411.2M2022-02-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045420.045296-0.27%0.04466-1.67%0.0040✗1.1730k2022-02-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,489.0224,421.66-0.28%23,690.00-3.26%0.0156✓0.957.4M2022-02-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58120.579596-0.28%0.5683-2.22%0.0014✓1.362.4M2022-02-16
XMRMoneroMonero182.65182.1393-0.28%179.36-1.80%0.0004✓1.021.2M2022-02-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.6197.3357-0.28%94.6-3.08%0.0144✓0.911.2M2022-02-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2863.2766-0.29%3.217-2.10%0.0057✓0.81218k2022-02-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17610.175596-0.29%0.1747-0.80%0.0058✗0.70388k2022-02-16
ETHEthereumEthereum3,186.243,177.02-0.29%3,124.45-1.94%0.0010✓1.14581.4M2022-02-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6423940.64053-0.29%0.677091+5.40%0.0737✗1.173.5M2022-02-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.860240.857743-0.29%0.83537-2.89%0.0029✓1.51334k2022-02-16
KCSKuCoinnative20.57720.5171-0.29%20.855+1.35%0.0367✗1.3110.2M2022-02-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22170.221051-0.29%0.2202-0.68%0.0184✗1.433.7M2022-02-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.722-0.29%2.67-2.20%0.0032✓1.03388k2022-02-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97060.967723-0.30%0.9791+0.88%0.0292✗1.1326.7M2022-02-16
XEMNEMnative0.11430.11396-0.30%0.1142-0.09%0.0184✗1.0539k2022-02-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2210860.220423-0.30%0.21874-1.06%0.0083✗1.0321.9M2022-02-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.312954-0.30%0.3067-2.29%0.0025✓1.14538k2022-02-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3517.2972-0.30%17.14-1.21%0.0098✗1.2170.2M2022-02-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.28640.285516-0.31%0.285-0.49%0.0223✗1.554.2M2022-02-16
ZENHorizenBase43.1242.9857-0.31%40.62-5.80%0.0326✓1.55400k2022-02-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8260.823407-0.31%0.787-4.72%0.0279✓1.111.8M2022-02-16
ZECZcashZcash126.04125.6382-0.32%125.58-0.36%0.0184✗1.227.2M2022-02-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.1920.1253-0.32%19.78-2.03%0.0040✗1.3734.9M2022-02-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46690.465394-0.32%0.4482-4.01%0.0102✓1.7624.6M2022-02-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.772.7611-0.32%2.65-4.33%0.0212✓1.27390k2022-02-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89850.895578-0.33%0.8933-0.58%0.0149✗1.1212.4M2022-02-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1156.0951-0.33%6.358+3.97%0.0556✗0.8672k2022-02-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.916.8872-0.33%6.76-2.17%0.0048✓0.89449k2022-02-16
STXStacksnative1.581.5748-0.33%1.55-1.90%0.0003✓1.00997k2022-02-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002220.000002213-0.33%0.00000218-1.80%0.0007✓1.0014.5M2022-02-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6728.5748-0.33%28.63-0.14%0.0262✗1.562.0M2022-02-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.1528-0.33%2.13-1.39%0.0101✗1.332.2M2022-02-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7113.6984-0.34%3.6017-2.95%0.0097✓1.082.5M2022-02-16
XECeCashnative0.000087920.000087618-0.34%0.00008539-2.88%0.0079✓1.154.8M2022-02-16
SOLSolanaSolana105.61105.246-0.34%101.94-3.48%0.0119✓1.29179.7M2022-02-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.3322.253-0.34%23.08+3.36%0.0555✗1.2210.4M2022-02-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006130.006109-0.34%0.00601-1.96%0.0150✗2.0218.1M2022-02-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.74131.2857-0.34%127.84-2.96%0.0071✓1.2634.8M2022-02-16
LUNATerraTerra 256.8556.6513-0.35%56.02-1.46%0.0109✗1.426.9M2022-02-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081320.081035-0.35%0.08117-0.18%0.0136✗0.7786k2022-02-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.233.2186-0.35%3.17-1.86%0.0004✓1.00882k2022-02-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4418.3736-0.36%17.65-4.28%0.0130✓1.753.6M2022-02-16
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4811.4387-0.36%11.22-2.26%0.0016✓1.3412.2M2022-02-16
BANDBandEthereum4.654.6332-0.36%4.87+4.73%0.0695✗1.261.9M2022-02-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.0128.9044-0.36%28.51-1.72%0.0037✗1.1268.5M2022-02-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.96394.9457-0.37%4.8292-2.71%0.0047✓1.23343k2022-02-16
AAVEAaveEthereum172.28171.6483-0.37%170.44-1.07%0.0149✗1.418.0M2022-02-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.98590.982182-0.38%0.9602-2.61%0.0013✓1.54588k2022-02-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7821.6973-0.38%22.08+1.38%0.0355✗1.1624.7M2022-02-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.7932-0.38%1.81+0.56%0.0290✗1.261.3M2022-02-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0173060.01724-0.38%0.016969-1.95%0.0022✓1.16503k2022-02-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.665.6381-0.39%6.07+7.24%0.0906✗1.08682k2022-02-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.852.8387-0.40%3.31+16.14%0.1691✗1.00639k2022-02-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.331.3247-0.40%1.274-4.21%0.0199✓1.233.4M2022-02-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.725.6972-0.40%5.47-4.37%0.0283✓0.80407k2022-02-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27920.278085-0.40%0.2693-3.55%0.0157✓1.061.7M2022-02-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.095.0694-0.40%4.9-3.73%0.0145✓1.262.6M2022-02-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.167-0.41%3.17-0.31%0.0233✗1.4417.3M2022-02-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.482.4698-0.41%2.4-3.23%0.0130✓1.013.2M2022-02-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3163.0486-0.41%63.42+0.17%0.0257✗1.278.8M2022-02-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66050.657724-0.42%0.6989+5.81%0.0845✗1.53709k2022-02-16
KSMKusamaHydration176.23175.4832-0.42%166.77-5.37%0.0323✓1.20930k2022-02-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.30141.2958-0.43%1.2019-7.65%0.0609✓0.921.5M2022-02-16
QTUMQtumQtum7.56347.5309-0.43%7.8678+4.02%0.0669✗1.48145k2022-02-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48640.484309-0.43%0.4754-2.26%0.0048✗1.502.0M2022-02-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.626.5915-0.43%6.52-1.51%0.0020✓0.83482k2022-02-16
UMAUMAEthereum6.396.3624-0.43%6.53+2.19%0.0424✗1.051.9M2022-02-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3880.386286-0.44%0.373-3.87%0.0142✓1.342.3M2022-02-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9711.9622-0.45%1.952-0.96%0.0157✗1.351.1M2022-02-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49320.49099-0.45%0.4872-1.22%0.0140✗1.408.9M2022-02-16
XTZTezosTezos4.14834.1296-0.45%4.0382-2.65%0.0022✓1.302.4M2022-02-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.462.4485-0.47%2.348-4.55%0.0264✓1.0085k2022-02-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.69342.0816-0.47%334.55-2.66%0.0068✓1.008.9M2022-02-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.266.2305-0.47%6.08-2.88%0.0075✓1.09590k2022-02-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5813.564-0.47%3.514-1.87%0.0004✓0.88502k2022-02-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.434.4081-0.49%4.3-2.93%0.0031✓1.408.0M2022-02-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01360.013533-0.50%0.01344-1.18%0.0177✗1.581.8M2022-02-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.981.9699-0.51%1.86-6.06%0.0387✓1.201.4M2022-02-16
HIVEHivenative1.13271.1268-0.52%1.1125-1.78%0.0130✗1.661.9M2022-02-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.4933.3164-0.52%32.25-3.70%0.0161✓1.065.5M2022-02-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.921.91-0.52%1.86-3.12%0.0049✓1.392.9M2022-02-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.723.576-0.52%24.03+1.39%0.0433✗1.56383k2022-02-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.179390.178447-0.53%0.17624-1.76%0.0124✗1.6034k2022-02-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5587.518-0.53%7.454-1.38%0.0067✗0.98407k2022-02-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046680.046431-0.53%0.04583-1.82%0.0003✓0.822.4M2022-02-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16280.16192-0.54%0.1562-4.05%0.0151✓1.343.3M2022-02-16
DODODODOEthereum0.540.537063-0.54%0.539-0.19%0.0260✗1.444.5M2022-02-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034470.034277-0.56%0.03198-7.22%0.0505✓1.2110.4M2022-02-16
MOVRMoonriverBase98.652898.0854-0.58%95.5515-3.14%0.0025✓1.52315k2022-02-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7671.7568-0.58%1.688-4.47%0.0215✓1.192.1M2022-02-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0928.9203-0.58%28.31-2.68%0.0066✓0.951.2M2022-02-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.997.9423-0.60%8.24+3.13%0.0424✗0.361.7M2022-02-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94745.9117-0.60%5.8668-1.36%0.0025✓0.33441k2022-02-16
PROPropyEthereum2.372.3557-0.60%2.34-1.27%0.0237✗1.95870k2022-02-16
FTTFTXEthereum47.1746.8791-0.62%46.38-1.67%0.0074✗1.1730.8M2022-02-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290390.02885-0.65%0.028284-2.60%0.0004✓1.3091k2022-02-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.165511-0.65%0.1678+0.72%0.0297✗1.03470k2022-02-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0549530.054592-0.66%0.056084+2.06%0.0470✗1.297.4M2022-02-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.7763.7512-0.66%3.7402-0.95%0.0110✗0.8930k2022-02-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0792.4462-0.67%95.39+2.49%0.0539✗1.45102.9M2022-02-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223130.02216-0.68%0.021773-2.42%0.0016✓1.232.4M2022-02-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.2013-0.72%1.12-7.44%0.0486✓1.38751k2022-02-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.01373.9843-0.73%3.9514-1.55%0.0069✓0.972.3M2022-02-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.17482.1588-0.74%2.2822+4.94%0.0654✗0.632.9M2022-02-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1795.1399-0.76%5.046-2.57%0.0025✓1.03709k2022-02-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03430.03404-0.76%0.0335-2.33%0.0069✓1.47499k2022-02-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09290.092183-0.77%0.09-3.12%0.0025✓1.38784k2022-02-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1014-0.77%1.05-5.41%0.0164✓2.021.1M2022-02-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.6137-0.78%4.58-1.51%0.0017✓0.361.8M2022-02-16
MANADecentralandEthereum3.3353.3078-0.81%3.2632-2.15%0.0034✓1.103.1M2022-02-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07290.0723-0.82%0.0695-4.66%0.0121✓1.7664.3M2022-02-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1511.0549-0.85%10.78-3.32%0.0145✓0.69760k2022-02-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.33181.3204-0.86%1.4263+7.10%0.0971✗1.282.3M2022-02-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030949-0.87%0.00003095-0.86%0.0219✗1.402.4M2022-02-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38641.3741-0.89%1.6305+17.61%0.1959✗1.60131k2022-02-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3617.1944-0.95%16.75-3.51%0.0156✓0.681.2M2022-02-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63930.632455-1.07%0.625-2.24%0.0182✗1.931.8M2022-02-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.