XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · lstm_s8

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1128

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0447

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.291773	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.289942	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.278356	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.279118	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.279792	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.29162	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.289215	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.28597	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.296475	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.279929	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.296097	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.27687	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.275199	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.267446	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.287219	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.305329	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.308268	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.302902	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.295089	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.289491	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.297827	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.288739	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.284721	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.285588	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.293231	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.299688	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.302739	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.302162	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.296674	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.317164	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.309633	-8.86%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0660	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.313986	-10.21%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0293	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.320898	-12.55%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.0744	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.267894	-9.35%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0986	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.235179	-7.66%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1792	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.234494	-7.54%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.2250	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.231165	-7.33%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.2111	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.250052	-8.35%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1688	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.256009	-9.76%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1489	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.244721	-7.92%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1532	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.23338	-6.95%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.2401	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.234821	-7.27%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1613	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.241469	-8.42%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.1560	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.236521	-5.25%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1572	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.230993	-1.78%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2458	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.238418	-1.02%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2662	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.236961	-0.78%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2733	✗	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.230996	+0.31%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2706	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.232345	+1.62%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2821	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.217443	-0.18%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2683	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.215615	+0.58%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3037	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.2174	+2.14%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3054	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.216617	+2.70%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2811	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.227879	+3.74%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2458	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.228927	+3.73%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2480	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.243027	+5.28%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2458	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.239747	+5.18%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2564	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.237192	+6.07%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2525	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.244989	+6.45%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2071	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.247656	+5.35%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2219	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.243967	+4.97%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1992	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.255554	+5.95%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2738	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.218928	-1.20%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3983	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.208434	-2.92%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1713	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.193243	-3.43%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0827	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.192488	-3.46%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0811	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.187839	-3.57%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0668	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.190751	-3.63%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1053	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.189536	-3.57%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1693	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.18989	-3.48%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1028	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.187803	-3.34%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0567	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.188083	-3.31%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0796	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.191806	-3.39%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0809	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.195674	-3.25%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0198	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.200898	-3.43%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0749	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.195137	-3.13%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0425	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.194245	-3.24%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0494	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.190698	-3.04%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0612	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.19183	-3.15%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1086	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.196135	-3.57%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1343	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.192811	-3.68%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1361	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.191227	-3.77%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1652	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.193239	-3.91%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1697	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.198561	-3.36%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1321	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.196989	-3.47%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1252	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.199542	-3.57%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1301	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.199921	-3.61%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1296	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.214916	-3.72%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1741	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.214824	-4.00%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1683	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.218477	-4.29%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1492	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.224697	-4.47%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1603	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.219131	-3.62%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1028	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.220989	-3.34%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1065	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.219849	-3.66%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.0951	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.21553	-3.49%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0742	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.217479	-3.47%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0811	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.21459	-3.46%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0772	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.212913	-3.43%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0589	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.219385	-3.59%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0782	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.222953	-3.85%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.0967	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.211879	-3.96%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1081	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.218362	-3.75%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1117	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.22197	-3.85%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1140	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.226215	-4.06%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1247	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.225715	-4.12%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1126	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.230133	-4.74%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.1818	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.240115	-5.53%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.1961	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.238188	-4.95%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2023	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.238804	-5.88%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.1957	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.228891	-4.28%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1250	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.233023	-5.02%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1696	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.208257	-2.87%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0691	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.204083	-2.70%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0653	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.197167	-2.57%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0669	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.205753	-2.82%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0724	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.204851	-2.63%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0654	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.207042	-2.63%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0633	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.210417	-2.58%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0321	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.207533	-2.45%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.209653	-2.51%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0310	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.215338	-2.56%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0468	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.221923	-2.79%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0115	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.223029	-2.60%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0302	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.230754	-2.67%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0276	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.237256	-2.97%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0810	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.225255	-2.51%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0323	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.238389	-2.74%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0607	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.238404	-2.61%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0475	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.235282	-2.50%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0084	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.233727	-2.43%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0036	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.233111	-2.15%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0188	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.229629	-1.88%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0154	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.229889	-1.93%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0007	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.223335	-1.75%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0088	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.233478	-1.81%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0172	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.240968	-1.92%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0165	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.240818	-1.90%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0537	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.240385	-1.67%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.239365	-1.60%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0150	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.271494	-2.35%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1161	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.288555	-2.65%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1396	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.286149	-2.77%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2087	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.3075	-3.30%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2201	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.316377	-3.53%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2328	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.319597	-3.76%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2281	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.295226	-3.09%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1500	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.300038	-3.15%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1616	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.308502	-3.17%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1665	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.321069	-3.22%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2019	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.323388	-3.13%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1890	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.324503	-3.19%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1936	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333471	-3.40%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2145	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.323413	-3.33%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1858	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.337832	-3.38%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1859	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.329941	-3.24%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1208	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.323364	-3.17%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1579	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.331162	-3.15%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1422	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.329784	-3.05%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1506	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.345709	-3.27%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2146	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.352925	-3.29%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2216	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.365768	-3.21%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2218	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.362008	-3.44%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2390	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.371781	-3.42%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2544	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.383534	-3.48%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2757	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.386716	-3.45%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2370	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.373896	-3.34%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2083	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.379707	-3.75%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2347	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.363961	-3.06%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1649	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.372546	-2.74%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.1854	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.365177	-2.62%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0547	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.352928	-2.48%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0246	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.352433	-2.86%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0336	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.355677	-2.90%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0237	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.355453	-2.91%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0256	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.353284	-3.29%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0310	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.358141	-3.48%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1325	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.369754	-3.94%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1427	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.366185	-3.23%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1023	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.361875	-2.38%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0528	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.35964	-2.66%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0696	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.362158	-2.74%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0715	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.365284	-2.45%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0370	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.363567	-2.36%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0498	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.356252	-2.84%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0332	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.355886	-2.87%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0624	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.343481	-3.00%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0657	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.355589	-2.61%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0542	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.370275	-2.52%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0887	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.365033	-3.08%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0578	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.35151	-2.60%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0148	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.338113	-2.34%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0271	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.346357	-2.43%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0201	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.331544	-3.03%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0261	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.344087	-2.75%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0373	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.348085	-2.96%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0273	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.34227	-3.14%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0115	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.340623	-3.20%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0320	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.349277	-3.30%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0292	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.330148	-3.37%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0108	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.333062	-3.40%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0327	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.335659	-3.77%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0898	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.335973	-3.94%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0777	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.329565	-3.78%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0511	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.338379	-3.81%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0558	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.338648	-3.90%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0332	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.332812	-4.03%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0150	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.326934	-3.79%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0198	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.332563	-3.91%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0223	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.335116	-4.17%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0668	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.352835	-4.64%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0728	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.369883	-4.89%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0742	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.37668	-5.85%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1082	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.371355	-5.64%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.0940	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.357961	-5.45%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.0921	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.365554	-5.91%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.0920	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.376617	-6.63%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1066	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.364894	-6.29%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.0772	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.368538	-6.32%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0466	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.373754	-5.81%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0085	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.377656	-5.75%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0447	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.362983	-6.18%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.0654	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.354112	-6.34%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0411	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.350186	-6.19%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0213	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.346246	-5.94%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0138	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.34504	-5.47%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0001	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.34514	-4.97%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.3454	-4.93%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.343731	-4.28%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0376	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.346122	-4.31%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0368	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.352807	-4.88%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0362	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.361532	-5.95%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0169	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.366401	-6.20%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0369	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.357858	-4.88%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0217	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.357781	-4.79%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0059	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.355188	-4.29%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0461	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.363863	-5.37%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0445	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.363334	-5.21%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0685	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.369006	-5.87%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0460	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.372367	-5.97%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0375	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.352208	-3.79%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0229	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.354126	-4.02%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.360392	-4.92%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0618	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.367967	-5.32%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0246	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.371567	-5.31%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0208	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.364032	-4.89%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0364	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.366043	-4.87%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0370	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.373799	-5.37%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.377792	-5.37%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0062	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.377429	-5.17%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0227	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.397391	-6.10%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0627	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.385002	-5.27%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.382642	-4.38%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.0866	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.378832	-3.89%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0717	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.384573	-4.44%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0687	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.393243	-4.25%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0761	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.396037	-3.94%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0819	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.405932	-3.75%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0989	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.411628	-4.24%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.380222	-3.37%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1226	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.439136	-6.10%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.0938	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.443637	-6.23%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0761	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.446471	-6.75%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0500	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.434376	-5.94%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0226	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.438199	-6.01%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0110	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.470988	-6.85%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0202	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.473424	-6.92%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0361	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.499849	-6.74%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0547	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.526361	-7.77%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0032	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.519882	-8.05%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0040	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.514829	-8.43%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0188	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.534235	-8.65%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0289	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.53648	-8.95%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0528	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.530072	-8.58%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0217	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.541155	-8.94%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0333	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.506976	-8.21%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0030	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.554398	-9.17%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0467	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.537344	-8.00%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0120	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.554935	-7.80%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0189	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.570737	-7.78%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0455	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.542082	-6.87%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0548	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.541329	-6.34%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0476	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.549225	-7.26%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0461	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.514407	-7.28%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0339	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.524905	-7.75%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0106	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.534158	-8.17%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.531206	-8.40%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0131	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.537955	-8.36%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0384	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.524852	-7.48%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.1141	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.551172	-7.95%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1447	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.520747	-6.94%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1930	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.504936	-7.15%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1649	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.494365	-7.09%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1381	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.490079	-7.25%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1305	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.471073	-6.96%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1340	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.456814	-7.68%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1485	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.474495	-8.31%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.1225	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.457767	-6.81%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1305	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.46457	-7.05%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1894	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.451729	-6.82%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.2187	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.439499	-7.55%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2558	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.420452	-5.30%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.3054	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.420869	-5.12%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.3125	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.421186	-5.16%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2932	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.420815	-4.99%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3348	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.417871	-4.77%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2832	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.428917	-5.02%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2980	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.422313	-4.76%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2530	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.411357	-4.49%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2552	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.419498	-4.90%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2684	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.435164	-5.58%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1922	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.4358	-5.65%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1467	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.450148	-5.81%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1817	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.470254	-6.25%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1533	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.463699	-5.79%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1970	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.475094	-6.15%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2302	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.465688	-5.67%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2388	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.469326	-5.85%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2450	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.463249	-5.98%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1945	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.446981	-5.58%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2500	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.454131	-5.43%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1490	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.45323	-5.14%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1539	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.470448	-5.09%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1426	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.476497	-5.23%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1488	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.463582	-4.55%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1221	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.44865	-4.52%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0806	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.460989	-4.71%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1438	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.471003	-4.40%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0950	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.482231	-4.46%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0788	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.48844	-4.32%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0423	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.489035	-4.09%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0177	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.487778	-4.04%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0917	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.484786	-3.86%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0789	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.471809	-3.46%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0699	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.469533	-3.45%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1190	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.479724	-3.68%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1450	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.487497	-4.01%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1042	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.510384	-4.51%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0871	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.519443	-4.79%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0678	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.505975	-4.44%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0424	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.524128	-4.94%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0288	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.540853	-5.58%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0137	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.527952	-5.04%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0004	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.536955	-5.36%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0814	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.54967	-5.81%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0691	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.557773	-5.96%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0652	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.583859	-6.87%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0429	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.584774	-6.81%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0249	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.59664	-8.32%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0015	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.621588	-10.78%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.0706	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.555854	-7.16%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0356	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.513173	-4.12%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1604	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.499258	-3.74%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1426	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.510432	-4.16%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1980	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.552798	-4.70%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1759	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.551231	-4.68%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2306	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.554116	-4.50%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1740	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.539633	-4.52%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1919	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.561221	-4.85%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1984	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.566099	-4.29%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2463	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.574666	-4.27%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2631	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.586031	-4.63%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.3050	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.57741	-4.69%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2592	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.576925	-4.39%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2458	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.568112	-4.40%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2833	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.556066	-4.58%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2836	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.558103	-4.79%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2832	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.569668	-4.79%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2614	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.567372	-4.94%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2244	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.558351	-4.82%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.2019	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.550903	-4.65%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2054	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.567784	-4.79%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2164	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.578797	-4.87%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2248	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.598092	-4.90%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1586	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.624753	-5.05%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1406	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.600667	-4.83%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1674	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.551513	-4.94%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1984	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.535474	-5.01%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2835	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.649985	-4.11%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2475	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.660515	-3.71%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3045	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.652367	-3.99%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1708	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.690713	-3.69%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0029	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.687313	-3.83%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0028	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.670011	-3.40%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0331	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.691448	-3.87%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0331	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.683231	-4.09%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0370	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.672372	-4.37%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0326	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.637908	-4.60%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0459	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.638575	-4.65%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0224	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.639125	-5.14%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0870	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.633853	-5.47%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1159	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.642455	-5.56%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1124	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.621319	-5.49%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0625	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.659479	-5.54%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0568	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.659748	-5.69%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0776	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.658345	-5.82%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0493	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.704724	-6.09%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0911	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.713521	-6.22%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1065	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.708172	-6.31%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0758	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.739787	-6.57%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0990	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.736179	-6.68%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1058	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.