UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0580

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.035799	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.039813	-0.84%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1056	✓	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.04356	-0.89%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0660	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.047612	-0.91%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0826	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055353	-1.07%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1314	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064284	-1.25%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1408	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064192	-0.94%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0041	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.241141	-3.87%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.3062	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.057944	-0.27%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4605	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058633	-0.28%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0044	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058883	-0.28%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0066	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059055	-0.25%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0023	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.058943	-0.27%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0055	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061404	-0.32%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0355	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061596	-0.33%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0044	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063132	-0.42%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0270	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061567	-0.54%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0288	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060525	-0.70%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0205	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065511	-0.74%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0680	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064462	-0.37%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0241	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066409	-0.21%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0268	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062834	-0.19%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0605	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063074	-0.20%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0021	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066756	-0.29%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0544	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077252	-0.45%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1457	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075546	-0.47%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0269	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077746	-0.26%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0232	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083351	-0.30%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0678	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088606	-0.44%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0581	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.092842	-0.54%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0479	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096188	-0.48%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0313	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097483	-0.58%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0169	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098329	-0.58%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0032	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098511	-0.79%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0057	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098841	-0.41%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0318	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099441	-0.46%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0007	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.09869	-0.66%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0157	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098721	-0.73%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0099	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099531	-0.37%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0082	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099405	-0.40%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0020	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.099073	-0.43%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0076	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.099099	-0.60%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0080	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099399	-0.45%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0070	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099971	-0.38%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0020	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099815	-0.38%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0021	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099587	-0.36%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0000	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.100018	-0.38%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0019	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099379	-0.37%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0109	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.100082	-0.37%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0103	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121623	-0.59%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1832	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.09983	-0.42%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2032	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.099177	-0.47%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0077	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.100726	-0.37%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0094	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.10035	-0.40%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0064	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100283	-0.41%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0054	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.100472	-0.37%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0017	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.100116	-0.38%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0096	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100539	-0.36%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0006	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100487	-0.31%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0031	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100448	-0.30%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0065	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099589	-0.26%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0133	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.099254	-0.25%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0031	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100065	-0.23%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0106	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100142	-0.11%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0184	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.104744	-0.01%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0200	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.10441	+0.11%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0043	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.131351	+0.00%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2271	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.138999	-0.04%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0570	✓	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.139461	-0.03%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0028	✓	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.154934	-0.17%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1063	✓	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.161081	-0.17%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0371	✓	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180101	-0.22%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1103	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204974	-0.33%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1284	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.212028	-0.36%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0339	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.235614	-0.42%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1021	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.234442	-0.41%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0092	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.242968	-0.42%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0294	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.246809	-0.44%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0126	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.243785	-0.44%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0186	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.251033	-0.46%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0230	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.265318	-0.52%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0508	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.271705	-0.58%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0161	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.276407	-0.79%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0115	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.251741	-0.48%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.0982	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.251494	-0.54%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0078	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.257994	-0.79%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0201	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.216887	-0.92%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.1817	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.285324	-0.93%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2719	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.427436	-0.72%	0.288	-33.11%	0.3930	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.542652	-0.58%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2314	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.673212	-0.12%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2108	✓	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.8964	-0.10%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2887	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0065	-0.08%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1164	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2398	-0.09%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2059	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2974	-0.44%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6170	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3691	-0.50%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0261	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3483	-0.55%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0120	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2303	-0.44%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0569	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2697	-0.48%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0114	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2093	-0.52%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0323	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2349	-0.49%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0130	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.227	-0.52%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0121	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2157	-0.57%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0104	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2134	-0.72%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0076	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.1968	-0.97%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0124	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1937	-0.93%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0086	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1964	-0.80%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0109	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1766	-0.62%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0188	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1677	-0.73%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0092	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1317	-0.59%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0228	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1217	-0.69%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0091	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1053	-0.80%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0119	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0763	-0.93%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0176	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0686	-0.73%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0087	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0635	-0.89%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0146	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0399	-0.99%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0184	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0095	-0.82%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0264	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9953	-0.84%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0156	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9634	-1.14%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0237	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.945	-0.97%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0248	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9337	-0.97%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0205	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8784	-1.02%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0430	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8108	-0.45%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0448	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7954	-0.48%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0159	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7845	-0.53%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0088	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7618	-0.74%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0163	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7778	-0.50%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0028	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7645	-0.43%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0157	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.761	-0.43%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0080	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7556	-0.45%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0058	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7426	-0.52%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0082	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7268	-0.30%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0118	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7131	-0.27%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0110	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7186	-0.22%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0082	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7083	-0.19%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0091	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7239	-0.21%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0025	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6798	-0.17%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0287	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6831	-0.13%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0110	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.686	-0.11%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0004	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6867	-0.15%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0131	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6736	-0.11%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0103	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6094	-0.08%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0565	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7229	-0.25%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0708	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6918	-0.30%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0200	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6935	-0.34%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0019	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6429	-0.33%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0340	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6332	-0.33%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0091	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6351	-0.36%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0015	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6161	-0.37%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0140	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6425	-0.44%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0152	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.61	-0.40%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0250	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6063	-0.39%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0069	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.6019	-0.35%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5956	-0.38%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0350	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6553	-0.43%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6104	-0.40%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6675	-0.45%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5709	-0.42%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0703	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5316	-0.39%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0385	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5264	-0.38%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5127	-0.39%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5284	-0.41%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5166	-0.40%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5063	-0.35%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5093	-0.36%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5714	-0.40%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5454	-0.37%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5212	-0.36%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6166	-0.39%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6641	-0.43%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6346	-0.44%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0090	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7531	-0.52%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0819	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7452	-0.49%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0112	✗	1.00