PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s8
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
43
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
53.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1149
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0047
actual -0.0441
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.001404 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001991 | +0.14% | 0.001409 | -29.10% | 0.3351 | ✗ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003271 | +0.15% | 0.001988 | -39.13% | 0.5495 | ✗ | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003639 | +0.05% | 0.003266 | -10.21% | 0.1003 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003952 | -0.01% | 0.003638 | -7.96% | 0.1126 | ✓ | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004812 | -0.35% | 0.003952 | -18.17% | 0.1914 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005048 | -0.45% | 0.004829 | -4.76% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004842 | -0.25% | 0.005071 | +4.47% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004327 | +0.00% | 0.004854 | +12.18% | 0.1910 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004927 | -0.16% | 0.004327 | -12.32% | 0.1999 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005674 | -0.56% | 0.004935 | -13.50% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004832 | -0.04% | 0.005705 | +18.04% | 0.1282 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004974 | -0.02% | 0.004834 | -2.84% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.00543 | -0.14% | 0.004975 | -8.51% | 0.1311 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005446 | -0.17% | 0.005437 | -0.33% | 0.0812 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005919 | -0.38% | 0.005456 | -8.18% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005706 | -0.26% | 0.005941 | +3.85% | 0.0512 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005943 | -0.30% | 0.005721 | -4.03% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005945 | -0.24% | 0.005961 | +0.04% | 0.0908 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006917 | -0.39% | 0.005959 | -14.18% | 0.1618 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007477 | -0.42% | 0.006944 | -7.52% | 0.0557 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008045 | -0.46% | 0.007509 | -7.10% | 0.1403 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007201 | -0.38% | 0.008083 | +11.82% | 0.1202 | ✗ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008233 | -0.45% | 0.007228 | -12.59% | 0.1323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008481 | -0.45% | 0.00827 | -2.93% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008886 | -0.49% | 0.00852 | -4.60% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010852 | -0.82% | 0.00893 | -18.38% | 0.1987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012903 | -1.20% | 0.010942 | -16.22% | 0.1614 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010988 | -0.94% | 0.01306 | +17.73% | 0.1726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010081 | -0.78% | 0.011093 | +9.17% | 0.1170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010104 | -0.82% | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008929 | -0.72% | 0.010187 | +13.26% | 0.0670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008797 | -0.72% | 0.008994 | +1.50% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009882 | -0.98% | 0.008861 | -11.21% | 0.1135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.008028 | -0.72% | 0.00998 | +23.42% | 0.1601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007478 | -0.65% | 0.008086 | +7.43% | 0.0755 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007421 | -0.65% | 0.007527 | +0.76% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.009126 | -0.90% | 0.00747 | -18.88% | 0.1666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007876 | -0.74% | 0.009209 | +16.06% | 0.1386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008327 | -0.82% | 0.007935 | -5.49% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008118 | -0.80% | 0.008396 | +2.59% | 0.0329 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006698 | -0.62% | 0.008184 | +21.42% | 0.1916 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.00698 | -0.59% | 0.00674 | -4.01% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009146 | -0.79% | 0.007021 | -23.84% | 0.2623 | ✓ | 1.00 |