ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s8
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
58.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1543
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0093
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042112 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041503 | -1.58% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021371 | -0.27% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6487 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020799 | -0.25% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027572 | -0.35% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2982 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032966 | -0.67% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1716 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029292 | -0.29% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033522 | -0.40% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1493 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.03605 | -0.53% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036351 | -0.49% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053245 | -1.00% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3316 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.06055 | -1.14% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059111 | -1.14% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042091 | -0.78% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3316 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.0499 | -0.96% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1315 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052868 | -0.99% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.067016 | -1.00% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2239 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092518 | -1.25% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.104332 | -1.64% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1342 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.07709 | -1.15% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3155 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.085075 | -1.37% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.088579 | -1.52% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.066119 | -1.13% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.070075 | -1.25% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0489 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.090205 | -1.81% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.072115 | -1.48% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2416 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074542 | -1.70% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.06041 | -1.44% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.065004 | -1.68% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059939 | -1.69% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.077586 | -2.54% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2364 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.05419 | -2.09% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.054398 | -2.44% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038674 | -1.97% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.04883 | -3.21% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027929 | -2.16% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015903 | -1.09% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014077 | -0.96% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1666 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015193 | -1.03% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0843 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017038 | -1.15% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019405 | -1.37% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001606 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001086 | -3.93% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4169 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.99e-7 | -9.18% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4648 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001381 | -6.36% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.5762 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010479 | -0.34% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9617 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009378 | -0.23% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1074 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010095 | -0.30% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0731 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010515 | -0.33% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010882 | -0.35% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010974 | -0.37% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0107 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011163 | -0.37% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012619 | -0.52% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1233 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011627 | -0.45% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0839 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009541 | -0.19% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1734 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.00001035 | -0.19% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0711 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011673 | -0.28% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011679 | -0.14% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012651 | -0.15% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013531 | -0.22% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014635 | -0.24% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015353 | -0.31% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015391 | -0.25% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015633 | -0.24% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014958 | -0.08% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015247 | -0.02% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016558 | +0.05% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0928 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016608 | +0.11% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0028 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017463 | +0.07% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017935 | +0.08% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0149 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017271 | +0.18% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019749 | +0.25% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2081 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.00002394 | +0.08% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1477 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027668 | -0.12% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029444 | -0.19% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032938 | -0.37% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031695 | -0.24% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033336 | -0.19% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035786 | -0.32% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038075 | -0.33% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040176 | -0.31% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040085 | -0.29% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042125 | -0.41% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044119 | -0.63% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045871 | -0.71% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042852 | -0.58% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041864 | -0.56% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040493 | -0.51% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0533 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039348 | -0.39% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040792 | -0.51% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041972 | -0.54% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036842 | -0.43% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046617 | -0.60% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055332 | -0.66% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1775 | ✓ | 1.00 |