MON

Monad · native · lstm_s8

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +7d

assessed

317

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0934

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0296

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.021539	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.021404	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021421	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020328	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020501	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021127	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022167	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022262	-2.95%	0.022257	-2.97%	0.0401	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023345	-3.11%	0.022069	-8.40%	0.1033	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023638	-3.13%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0648	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023486	-3.20%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1185	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026498	-3.81%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.1990	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024278	-3.39%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0828	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023598	-3.35%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0139	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023173	-3.35%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0179	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024569	-3.39%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0104	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027375	-3.70%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0751	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.030158	-4.14%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1515	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.031865	-4.42%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1001	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032348	-4.50%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2219	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.030836	-4.57%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2005	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.031835	-5.43%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2304	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030268	-4.69%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1695	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025956	-3.36%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0598	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027337	-4.21%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.1021	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027063	-3.73%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1746	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025882	-3.20%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2635	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025548	-3.23%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2280	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024314	-2.67%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3175	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023416	-2.42%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3188	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026413	-3.28%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0582	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025009	-2.42%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1829	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024267	-2.89%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0878	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024116	-2.80%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0463	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.023991	-2.76%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0386	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022638	-2.65%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0515	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021622	-2.35%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0487	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021201	-2.23%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0583	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022371	-2.37%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0171	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022108	-2.37%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0403	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022598	-2.33%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0190	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022792	-2.23%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0103	✓	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022434	-2.13%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0396	✗	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024414	-2.26%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0574	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025039	-2.32%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.0906	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026318	-2.55%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1219	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.026492	-2.26%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.0942	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024599	-1.34%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0157	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.024717	-1.28%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0148	✓	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.026639	-1.71%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.0690	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.024849	-2.03%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0112	✓	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.025869	-2.30%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0266	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.025935	-1.98%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0321	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.025966	-2.20%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0001	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026176	-2.04%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.0745	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.026709	-2.29%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.0945	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028014	-2.08%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0486	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.027914	-2.34%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0676	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027087	-2.40%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0043	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.030494	-3.46%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1352	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029349	-3.55%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.0992	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027111	-3.63%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0338	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.027514	-3.97%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0014	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025375	-5.02%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0025	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021864	-3.12%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1137	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020568	-3.11%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0617	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020994	-3.55%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1564	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019715	-2.79%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1780	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020255	-3.00%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0860	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020476	-3.05%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0733	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020841	-3.16%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0789	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021089	-3.28%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0407	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020736	-3.13%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0022	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021032	-3.29%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0239	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020405	-2.70%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0328	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020324	-2.59%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0638	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.02037	-2.51%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0734	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019967	-2.31%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0914	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020482	-2.41%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0858	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020077	-2.21%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0741	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020961	-2.63%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0280	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020469	-2.34%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0027	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020025	-2.13%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0016	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020262	-2.16%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0103	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021177	-2.41%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0266	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.02033	-2.07%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0174	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020774	-2.17%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0159	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019738	-1.85%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0915	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020913	-2.07%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0397	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020201	-1.94%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0444	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021359	-2.29%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0045	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.0218	-2.40%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0022	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022325	-2.59%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0275	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.02235	-2.55%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0036	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022254	-2.69%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0694	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020757	-2.18%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0148	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021074	-2.30%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0122	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021387	-2.52%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0177	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021037	-2.42%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0315	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.0217	-2.64%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0252	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022025	-2.80%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0080	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.02166	-2.83%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0134	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022126	-2.98%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0635	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021646	-2.80%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0276	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022253	-3.08%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0085	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022331	-3.24%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0498	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022295	-3.45%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0623	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023362	-4.17%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0718	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.023746	-4.90%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0199	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021049	-2.51%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0762	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020641	-2.27%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0586	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020073	-2.08%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0938	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019608	-1.88%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1197	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019673	-1.83%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0992	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.01812	-1.14%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1738	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018672	-1.31%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1936	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018436	-1.20%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0496	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018607	-1.18%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0436	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019104	-1.22%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0037	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018944	-1.08%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0057	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.01945	-1.14%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0579	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019847	-1.24%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0359	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020342	-1.40%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0336	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020465	-1.37%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0142	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020299	-1.39%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0435	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020382	-1.35%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0449	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020793	-1.36%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0082	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021422	-1.60%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0119	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022569	-2.04%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0350	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022186	-1.87%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0113	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022082	-1.81%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0041	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021476	-1.58%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0368	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020795	-1.35%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0048	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021292	-1.47%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0089	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020793	-1.22%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0390	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020999	-1.27%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0171	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020609	-1.20%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0027	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021843	-1.48%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0375	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020861	-1.04%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0570	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.02084	-1.04%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0609	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021263	-1.24%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0233	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020305	-0.66%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1099	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.02031	-0.69%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1903	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022201	-1.37%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1702	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023329	-1.90%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2348	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022835	-1.72%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2703	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022901	-1.63%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2494	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023262	-1.76%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1783	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022904	-1.74%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1539	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024415	-2.46%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0524	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025557	-2.72%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0112	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.02462	-2.57%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0434	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025083	-2.67%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0150	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025445	-2.70%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0435	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027761	-3.10%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0738	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026152	-2.80%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0486	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025217	-2.67%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0122	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026213	-2.84%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0042	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026976	-2.96%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0562	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026933	-2.94%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0135	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.027447	-2.95%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0271	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.028898	-2.93%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0630	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.02926	-3.11%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0450	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029892	-3.10%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0645	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032422	-3.56%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0855	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034076	-3.98%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1096	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033284	-4.00%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1314	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.032863	-4.05%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1281	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031163	-3.76%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0663	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031086	-3.73%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0066	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030175	-3.63%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0285	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.02846	-3.36%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1404	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028133	-3.42%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1806	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029019	-3.62%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1497	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028972	-3.68%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1392	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026362	-2.94%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1511	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026238	-2.82%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1242	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028168	-3.37%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0386	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.029493	-3.68%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0376	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.030848	-3.87%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0556	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030098	-3.84%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0149	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.029539	-3.75%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0065	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031212	-3.90%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1092	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032353	-4.04%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1436	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031377	-4.16%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0731	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.030575	-4.14%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0215	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.028835	-4.14%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0305	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031126	-4.08%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0242	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033407	-3.98%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.0904	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.032883	-4.13%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0609	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.033674	-4.17%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0515	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033035	-4.25%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0436	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.034444	-4.40%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.0992	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031262	-4.43%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.0882	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.033982	-4.44%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.0870	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.033403	-4.86%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0219	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.03138	-4.79%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0369	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.029611	-4.91%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.1130	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028987	-4.65%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1388	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025911	-4.39%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2419	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.026978	-4.60%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1644	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.02599	-4.66%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2220	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025928	-4.92%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.2078	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023939	-4.21%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2417	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022907	-3.87%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2582	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023845	-4.12%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1824	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021527	-3.51%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1951	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021295	-3.38%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2325	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.02241	-3.74%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1794	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021631	-3.39%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2214	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023365	-3.93%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0979	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.02523	-4.50%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0071	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022541	-3.40%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1341	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021007	-2.57%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1252	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.02008	-2.19%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1235	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020859	-2.57%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1509	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021777	-2.95%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0926	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021374	-2.76%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1468	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022325	-3.15%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1675	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.022856	-3.15%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0729	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.023887	-3.52%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0404	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022669	-3.37%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0186	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021522	-2.97%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0322	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021308	-2.77%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0591	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.02072	-2.26%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0691	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020891	-2.42%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0812	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021026	-2.52%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0509	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020734	-2.34%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0717	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020033	-1.90%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0433	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021139	-2.50%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0184	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021205	-2.46%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0137	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021231	-2.34%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0044	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.021909	-2.89%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0170	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020018	-1.78%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0478	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020758	-2.13%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0290	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020445	-1.94%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020684	-2.11%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0426	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020279	-1.89%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0350	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020596	-2.11%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0035	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021042	-2.40%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0008	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019727	-1.51%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0314	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020176	-1.72%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0122	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019528	-1.65%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0930	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020212	-1.98%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0589	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020572	-2.22%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0362	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020048	-1.92%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0407	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019798	-1.80%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0622	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021469	-2.99%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0192	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022534	-4.15%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0321	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022887	-4.72%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1256	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.02231	-4.62%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0530	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021799	-4.31%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0237	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019731	-2.08%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0248	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018722	-1.72%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0824	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019243	-2.27%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1579	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017707	-1.41%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.3004	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017855	-1.46%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3169	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018317	-1.58%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2370	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018247	-1.68%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2455	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017149	-0.53%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.1063	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019281	-2.27%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0861	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017316	-1.28%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2543	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018072	-2.16%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1471	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017599	-1.29%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1481	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017762	-1.54%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2171	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019388	-3.97%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1838	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019247	-3.81%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2746	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020402	-4.12%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2321	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021179	-4.51%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0290	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018195	-3.27%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1595	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017397	-2.21%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1692	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018469	-3.25%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1238	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017802	-2.80%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.1998	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017641	-2.53%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.1940	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018239	-2.78%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1569	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017543	-1.94%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2239	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019449	-3.33%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0157	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020959	-3.68%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0863	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021293	-3.70%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021458	-3.73%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021295	-3.77%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022285	-3.88%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0927	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.023694	-4.26%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.2009	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022069	-4.34%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.1067	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.02277	-4.49%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0741	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.023139	-4.58%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0948	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.024894	-4.69%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1617	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026464	-4.81%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2245	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.02552	-4.81%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1528	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.028302	-5.15%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1480	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.026889	-4.99%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1299	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.027217	-5.33%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1266	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.027599	-5.87%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1272	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026227	-6.16%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0094	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022517	-4.99%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.1929	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021638	-4.68%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1866	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021556	-4.62%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.2859	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.0206	-4.05%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2718	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021462	-4.36%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2684	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022059	-4.51%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2660	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.022266	-4.56%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2094	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022124	-4.43%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0582	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020903	-3.63%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0833	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019304	-2.31%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1466	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018831	-1.97%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1476	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019936	-2.75%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1270	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018462	-1.64%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2300	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018743	-1.61%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2280	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016877	-0.20%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2962	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018582	-0.79%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1386	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021052	-2.31%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019627	-1.22%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020282	-1.74%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.022789	-3.07%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1724	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023323	-3.10%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1779	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025287	-3.63%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3228	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.025904	-3.74%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2589	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.02633	-3.80%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1467	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026997	-3.96%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024686	-3.49%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026199	-3.65%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026262	-3.56%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026724	-3.49%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029451	-3.57%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0749	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.