MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s8

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1044

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000343971	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000362272	-0.26%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000356675	-0.22%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0048	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000416901	-0.29%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1518	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000434514	-0.31%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000456646	-0.36%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000450822	-0.46%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000450667	-0.67%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000555531	-0.77%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.00066028	-0.93%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000691352	-1.66%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310193	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317084	+0.03%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0561	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319352	+0.05%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0280	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397079	-0.16%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0832	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401838	-0.14%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0011	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397633	-0.19%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0056	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447359	-0.14%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1341	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.00049194	-0.26%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0199	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.00048506	-0.23%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0562	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.00046895	-0.20%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0318	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464742	-0.21%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0176	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.00049964	-0.33%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0208	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000539243	-0.56%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0065	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000516396	-0.83%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0413	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541695	-0.41%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0263	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548708	-0.43%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0063	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000507529	-0.33%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0456	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000498526	-0.33%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0375	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000498064	-0.27%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0097	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000548292	-0.31%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0903	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000540369	-0.30%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0870	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000498032	-0.15%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0297	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000509306	-0.14%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0163	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000501054	-0.09%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0232	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000520689	-0.17%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0146	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000536593	-0.22%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0393	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000490179	-0.05%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0058	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000513988	-0.04%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0304	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000533915	+0.00%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0597	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000486978	+0.24%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0484	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000570508	+0.09%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0913	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.0005901	-0.02%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1490	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000620091	+0.03%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0313	✗	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000630554	+0.01%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0867	✓	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000621525	+0.07%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0359	✓	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000665236	+0.05%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1788	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000628849	+0.09%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0220	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000825812	-0.24%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0320	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000679659	-0.05%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0466	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000709861	-0.02%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0997	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000591549	+0.08%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1935	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000648147	+0.02%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1095	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000590969	+0.06%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2570	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000689802	+0.00%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0523	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000755066	-0.07%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0767	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000789484	-0.07%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0331	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000800733	-0.03%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0280	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000819537	-0.06%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0525	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000680626	+0.09%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1287	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000644917	+0.19%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0183	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000691148	+0.17%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0652	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000741031	+0.14%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0599	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000711233	+0.17%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0900	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000811575	+0.19%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1367	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000891602	+0.18%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1263	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001091	+0.10%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1619	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001409	-0.06%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3315	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001369	-0.08%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0904	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001548	-0.14%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1576	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001568	-0.14%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0114	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001469	-0.08%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0689	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001598	-0.11%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0826	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001439	-0.06%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1087	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.00134	-0.02%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1151	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001758	-0.13%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1429	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001408	-0.12%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0956	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001717	-0.15%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0994	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002046	-0.20%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1165	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002394	-0.26%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0830	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002493	-0.27%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0688	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002335	-0.22%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0083	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002713	-0.24%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1240	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003093	-0.23%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1130	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004096	-0.35%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2154	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004572	-0.40%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1031	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.005001	-0.37%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1127	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.00636	-0.47%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2442	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006595	-0.53%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0418	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004865	-0.30%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2011	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005105	-0.28%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0712	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007263	-0.50%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2704	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009383	-0.71%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2590	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010812	-0.90%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2527	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013556	-1.20%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.2020	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010286	-0.81%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1836	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013043	-0.89%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2901	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016612	-1.00%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2329	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015865	-0.90%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0577	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019675	-1.18%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.2020	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020421	-1.11%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0941	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017821	-0.77%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2329	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022567	-1.11%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1677	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.026025	-1.57%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0325	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022561	-1.39%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0395	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019971	-1.33%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1318	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020479	-1.83%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0140	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016295	-1.24%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2103	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012754	-0.75%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1885	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012708	-0.79%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0179	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013172	-0.89%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0490	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011121	-0.71%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2064	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015312	-1.40%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2961	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.012083	-1.12%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2408	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007883	-0.21%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4541	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.009021	-0.43%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009912	-0.58%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009938	-0.62%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008372	-0.33%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1811	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007514	-0.09%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1338	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006826	+0.09%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007654	-0.08%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1194	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011132	-0.43%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3457	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013632	-0.64%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1402	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.01592	-1.06%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1491	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012313	-0.54%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2518	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010696	-0.41%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1166	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009799	-0.31%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0920	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010946	-0.40%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1214	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011825	-0.47%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009366	-0.26%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1919	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009339	-0.22%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011495	-0.31%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1667	✓	1.00