MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s8
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0815
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0073
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.714157 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.753844 | -0.75% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.768009 | -0.80% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0633 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.774473 | -0.85% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.740103 | -0.81% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.642284 | -0.61% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1557 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.621953 | -0.55% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.605736 | -0.48% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.596475 | -0.44% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.594399 | -0.40% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.60615 | -0.45% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0873 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.608551 | -0.44% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.561824 | -0.26% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.511131 | -0.08% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.547338 | -0.19% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.685727 | -0.56% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.649549 | -0.46% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.66829 | -0.51% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.700028 | -0.61% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.705238 | -0.65% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.717896 | -0.70% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.739586 | -0.79% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.789031 | -0.91% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.773504 | -0.91% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.768408 | -0.92% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.758763 | -0.92% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.76986 | -0.97% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.725111 | -0.93% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.820142 | -1.18% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.896781 | -1.48% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0561 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.713771 | -1.12% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.513574 | -0.75% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.814748 | -1.73% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4531 | ✓ | 1.00 |