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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
47.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3396
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0650
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.2355-5.45%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2193-4.83%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9747-3.88%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9632-3.64%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11463.0008-3.65%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.0554-3.77%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.9126-3.73%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9667-3.81%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1948-4.57%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2196-4.63%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.6077-5.92%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4425-5.36%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4264-5.51%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4067-5.53%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3719-5.62%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5802-6.17%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7424-6.87%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4438-6.02%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3519-6.02%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3393-5.97%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.556-6.54%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.6616-7.30%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.6454-7.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.063-8.52%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.255-8.59%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4293-8.56%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4403-8.49%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6454-8.43%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.8509-8.81%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6603-8.02%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3758-7.66%3.4219-27.79%0.1798✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.3566-8.75%3.3826-29.15%0.2889✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3882-8.75%3.0947-35.65%0.3614✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.3459-8.87%3.0752-35.51%0.3687✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.3517-9.54%3.1146-35.26%0.4510✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.1648-9.53%3.1752-31.03%0.3943✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.6463-9.29%3.0253-24.73%0.3372✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.9788-9.33%3.0842-29.72%0.3296✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.7386-9.11%3.3476-18.61%0.2476✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.8395-8.93%3.3759-19.92%0.2262✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.9676-8.83%3.8347-11.88%0.1728✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.9173-8.73%3.6372-15.26%0.2130✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.138-8.58%3.6262-19.88%0.2232✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.407-8.75%3.6061-25.33%0.2717✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.3273-8.41%3.5727-24.38%0.2839✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.1658-7.73%3.8154-15.49%0.1976✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.3508-8.50%4.0187-15.48%0.2047✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.3721-9.46%3.6643-24.12%0.3141✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.0899-7.93%3.5667-19.71%0.2104✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.5232-7.07%3.5512-6.34%0.1269✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.2973-6.33%3.8048+8.09%0.0001✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.363-5.70%3.9499+10.75%0.0767✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.3185-5.95%3.9328+11.46%0.1016✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.3556-5.58%4.4413+24.97%0.2206✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.2988-5.65%4.6547+33.14%0.2689✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.5098-5.42%4.844+30.54%0.2770✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.2907-4.67%4.8522+40.57%0.3339✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.1393-4.40%5.0729+54.48%0.4178✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.231-4.97%5.3196+56.46%0.4408✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3144-7.21%5.0667+41.84%0.3238✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18942.9988-5.97%4.7386+48.58%0.3458✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12672.9381-6.03%4.7745+52.70%0.4510✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.534-5.03%4.8092+80.24%0.5538✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4394-6.31%4.7687+83.15%0.5175✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2258-5.64%4.8107+103.95%0.6143✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1962-5.74%4.6035+97.57%0.5771✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1468-5.72%4.0195+76.51%0.4440✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1346-5.63%4.3885+94.01%0.5096✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1145-5.39%4.1132+84.03%0.4699✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1428-5.66%4.2158+85.61%0.4847✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1875-6.34%4.3518+86.32%0.4872✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2452-7.15%4.2923+77.50%0.4606✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2194-6.84%4.5262+89.98%0.5057✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1639-6.06%4.8297+109.67%0.5997✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1426-6.12%4.7248+107.03%0.5786✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1407-6.86%4.5148+96.43%0.5211✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1921-7.68%4.7547+100.25%0.5434✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0571-5.85%4.8289+121.01%0.6261✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9509-5.22%4.4421+115.80%0.5740✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8982-5.35%3.7914+89.05%0.4879✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9145-5.82%3.52+73.16%0.3995✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9035-5.64%3.5664+76.80%0.3956✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9485-5.73%3.5283+70.70%0.3739✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1249-6.80%3.5537+55.87%0.3324✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0359-6.53%3.4962+60.52%0.3560✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1229-7.64%3.7108+61.45%0.3491✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9796-7.00%3.4518+62.16%0.3628✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9904-7.13%3.2837+53.22%0.3380✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9196-6.93%3.3999+64.84%0.3855✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8968-6.65%3.5721+75.80%0.4620✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0068-7.18%3.1894+47.52%0.3185✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1217-7.77%3.1267+35.92%0.2483✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1563-8.06%2.6682+13.77%0.1366✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1791.9995-8.24%2.6037+19.49%0.2190✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0167-8.74%2.3588+6.74%0.1567✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.0606-8.68%2.33+3.26%0.1265✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.0871-8.83%2.2771-0.53%0.1007✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.0843-8.82%2.262-1.05%0.0919✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2076-8.65%2.235-7.51%0.0341✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3687-8.64%2.2713-12.40%0.0228✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.0961-9.03%2.3356+1.36%0.0958✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4025-8.72%2.4181-8.12%0.0084✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.35-8.82%2.3824-7.56%0.0124✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.439-9.32%2.3035-14.36%0.0647✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.1824-8.93%2.2822-4.77%0.0276✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1119-9.36%2.2984-1.35%0.0562✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2167-9.80%2.3744-3.38%0.0590✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3035-10.61%2.1849-15.21%0.0591✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2216-9.62%2.0584-16.26%0.0812✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0016-9.06%2.0055-8.88%0.0019✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9192-9.20%2.0328-3.82%0.0476✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.862-10.00%2.0172-2.50%0.0670✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8538-10.50%2.0669-0.21%0.0783✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6836-8.94%2.28+23.31%0.2474✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.689-9.21%2.1781+17.08%0.2209✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5786-8.61%2.2984+33.05%0.3351✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5705-8.67%2.1286+23.78%0.2702✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6519-9.38%2.1431+17.57%0.2125✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4703-8.63%2.0626+28.18%0.2985✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5376-9.33%2.0319+19.82%0.2523✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.377-8.49%2.162+43.68%0.4247✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4734-8.45%2.3005+42.95%0.4240✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4348-8.47%2.3453+49.61%0.4587✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4266-8.36%2.179+39.98%0.4140✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4167-8.34%2.2098+42.97%0.4319✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4788-8.25%2.2564+39.99%0.4018✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5766-8.37%2.2892+33.04%0.3783✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5948-8.00%2.2859+31.87%0.3779✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5547-7.98%2.4166+43.03%0.4573✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5475-8.26%2.5928+53.72%0.5232✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4915-8.61%2.3042+41.20%0.4580✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3993-8.98%2.6319+71.19%0.6297✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.417-9.06%2.5774+65.42%0.5961✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2613-9.36%2.6896+93.27%0.7343✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.436-9.29%2.3965+51.38%0.4992✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3355-9.43%2.33+58.02%0.5643✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2951-9.65%2.4575+71.44%0.6404✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.296-9.42%2.5769+80.11%0.6570✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3652-9.50%2.458+62.95%0.5617✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3189-9.23%2.201+51.47%0.5203✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.5907-10.90%2.1136+18.38%0.3021✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4385-10.32%2.0689+28.99%0.4412✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2202-9.20%2.0712+54.13%0.7733✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2603-8.44%1.849+34.33%0.7117✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2441-9.13%1.8603+35.89%0.6793✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1388-9.55%1.7274+37.19%0.6991✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0762-8.19%1.7196+46.70%0.7449✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0453-7.81%1.8228+60.77%0.8511✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0886-8.00%1.6091+35.99%0.7192✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2531-9.17%1.6959+22.92%0.5919✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.165-9.78%1.5047+16.53%0.5052✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1204-8.72%1.6094+31.11%0.5772✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.0902-8.43%1.5676+31.67%0.5731✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.2631-11.42%1.5567+9.16%0.4141✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1456-10.24%1.5456+21.09%0.5182✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0321-9.58%1.6118+41.20%0.6614✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.918096-3.45%1.7207+80.95%0.8280✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.847193-1.88%1.7335+100.76%0.9080✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.86229-1.99%1.6896+92.04%0.8635✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.84572-1.43%1.6867+96.59%0.9052✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.900584-1.60%1.6319+78.31%0.8591✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.880061-1.89%1.5373+71.39%0.8268✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.907159-2.09%1.5581+68.16%0.8245✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.96985-2.99%1.3916+39.19%0.6978✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0163-3.83%1.5831+49.80%0.7832✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0088-4.30%1.4745+39.87%0.6731✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0245-5.23%1.4334+32.60%0.6175✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.961604-2.93%1.4307+44.42%0.7220✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.942563-1.18%1.5084+58.14%0.8275✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.949829-1.76%1.4531+50.29%0.6722✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.894583-0.92%1.7854+97.74%0.9080✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.903723-1.99%1.6039+73.94%0.7386✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.89302-1.65%1.3438+48.00%0.5084✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.892753-1.19%1.3765+52.35%0.4953✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.869837-1.57%1.369+54.91%0.4883✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.92246-2.74%1.2591+32.75%0.3442✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.878877-1.92%1.1722+30.81%0.3301✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.852498-1.27%1.1338+31.30%0.3308✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.90797-0.92%1.1832+29.12%0.3070✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.917635-1.29%1.3796+48.41%0.4138✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.932715-1.36%1.2913+36.57%0.3328✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.921145-0.35%1.2275+32.79%0.3123✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.880952+0.20%1.1906+35.42%0.3442✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.885688-1.37%1.426+58.80%0.4575✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.885062-1.56%1.2764+41.96%0.3408✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.868884-2.45%1.1415+28.15%0.2254✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.95361-2.58%0.9509-2.86%0.0218✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0145-3.27%0.86345-17.67%0.1660✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0025-4.15%0.8798-15.88%0.1765✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.99856-4.16%0.858-17.65%0.2174✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.978794-4.58%0.9152-10.78%0.1735✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0693-6.47%0.897-21.54%0.2510✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0191-6.73%0.92655-15.20%0.2501✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1188-7.24%0.99975-17.11%0.2445✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0501-7.63%1.0568-7.04%0.1336✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.96181-5.19%1.0542+3.91%0.0428✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.946699-5.26%1.081+8.18%0.0065✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0016-6.94%0.99065-7.96%0.1336✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.950066-7.29%0.95385-6.92%0.1887✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.939947-6.76%0.96685-4.09%0.1543✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.918961-6.90%0.9029-8.53%0.2142✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.938458-5.14%0.9221-6.80%0.2012✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.906337-4.46%0.908-4.28%0.1842✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.866302-2.73%0.9035+1.45%0.1190✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.853543-2.17%0.88375+1.29%0.0953✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.798059-1.14%0.94845+17.48%0.0280✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.812937-1.67%0.89605+8.38%0.0702✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.842832-1.80%0.8635+0.61%0.1526✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.863992-2.10%0.9164+3.84%0.1368✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.880343-3.43%0.9296+1.97%0.0858✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.951061-4.48%0.94555-5.04%0.1001✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.973951-4.23%0.9244-9.10%0.1713✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.924015-3.24%0.8792-7.94%0.1624✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.908207-3.29%0.898-4.38%0.1485✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0068-4.36%0.8991-14.59%0.2235✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0243-3.67%0.89075-16.24%0.1929✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1355-4.80%0.97885-17.94%0.2423✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1563-4.57%1.0488-13.44%0.1904✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2371-4.55%1.0459-19.30%0.1871✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1369-2.23%1.0419-10.39%0.0864✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0524-3.02%1.0257-5.47%0.0470✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0628-4.06%1.1433+3.20%0.0209✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0544-4.02%1.0926-0.55%0.0387✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0997-4.57%1.2061+4.66%0.0501✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.021-4.73%1.1368+6.07%0.0615✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.011-4.26%1.0145-3.92%0.0270✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.977263-4.22%0.99925-2.07%0.0223✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.966286-5.25%1.0763+5.55%0.0049✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0785-4.51%1.0248-9.27%0.0787✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0913-4.16%1.008-11.47%0.0948✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.17-3.24%0.9871-18.36%0.1088✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3278-3.19%0.98935-27.86%0.2002✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2345-4.91%0.9486-26.93%0.2386✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2877-5.26%0.8906-34.48%0.3565✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2895-5.10%0.8725-35.78%0.4350✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.331-3.95%0.8073-41.74%0.4958✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3033-3.95%0.82675-39.07%0.4569✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3736-3.82%0.85825-39.91%0.4492✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3975-3.96%0.8825-39.35%0.4302✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3644-4.57%0.91165-36.24%0.4942✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3266-4.49%0.9957-28.32%0.4132✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3855-4.20%1.017-29.69%0.3639✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4538-4.63%0.955-37.35%0.4748✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4589-4.77%0.9391-38.70%0.4385✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4079-4.65%1.0527-28.71%0.3194✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3765-4.81%1.0634-26.46%0.3176✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5042-5.32%1.1928-24.92%0.2677✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.5813-6.32%1.2116-28.22%0.3004✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.57-6.38%1.2961-22.71%0.2638✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5346-6.87%1.1627-29.44%0.3480✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.4782-7.45%1.0852-32.06%0.3659✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3346-6.58%1.1078-22.46%0.2594✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3152-7.12%1.0986-22.42%0.2368✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.3718-6.69%1.1523-21.62%0.1991✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4429-6.84%1.0717-30.80%0.2988✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.4852-8.31%1.0559-34.81%0.3366✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.4847-8.70%1.0204-37.25%0.3632✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5039-9.56%1.0198-38.67%0.3216✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3563-5.77%1.1295-21.53%0.2518✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4371-8.78%1.1386-27.72%0.1635✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3609-8.11%1.2091-18.36%0.0531✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4601-8.55%1.3715-14.10%0.0165✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.3962-7.80%1.2982-14.27%0.0453✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.447-7.61%1.3592-13.22%0.0707✓1.00