LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +7d

assessed

265

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

48.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1303

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0432

actual +0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	3.8075	3.5668	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-21	oos	3.763	3.5188	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.1552	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	2.9085	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	2.9042	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	2.9473	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.0124	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9055	-3.97%	3.8075	+25.85%	0.2374	✗	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	2.9626	-3.97%	3.763	+21.98%	0.2002	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.1863	-4.90%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0622	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.2116	-4.83%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0385	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.6072	-6.01%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1334	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.4452	-5.27%	3.116	-14.32%	0.0747	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.4531	-4.82%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0661	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.4446	-4.50%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1371	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.4232	-4.22%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0741	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.6235	-5.09%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0372	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.7835	-5.86%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0459	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.518	-4.01%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1363	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.4457	-3.40%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0865	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4396	-2.97%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0885	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.6541	-3.99%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0434	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.7549	-4.89%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0443	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.7296	-5.00%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0099	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.1452	-6.75%	4.019	-9.58%	0.0721	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.328	-7.03%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2016	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.5043	-7.02%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2390	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.5209	-6.87%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2504	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.7224	-6.88%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2238	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	4.9403	-6.94%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2097	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.7117	-7.02%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1358	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.4042	-7.09%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0622	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.4224	-7.44%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0149	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.4563	-7.44%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0198	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.416	-7.47%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0304	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.4457	-7.69%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0518	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.256	-7.58%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0346	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.7511	-6.68%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0618	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.0685	-7.27%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0284	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	3.8311	-6.82%	4.778	+16.21%	0.1245	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	3.9295	-6.82%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.1161	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.0611	-6.71%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0812	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.011	-6.52%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1872	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.2352	-6.46%	4.605	+1.71%	0.1315	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.4942	-6.87%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0462	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.4178	-6.45%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0140	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.2895	-5.02%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0364	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.4673	-6.03%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0003	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.5196	-6.29%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0151	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.2982	-3.22%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.1036	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.691	-2.66%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1850	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4514	-1.95%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3140	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5089	-1.57%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2877	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4774	-1.52%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2299	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5092	-1.26%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2847	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4576	-1.13%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3110	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6556	-1.49%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1834	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.396	-1.65%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1299	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2239	-1.86%	3.52	+7.15%	0.1005	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3177	-2.45%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0766	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4599	-3.30%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0212	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.0876	-3.12%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1259	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0227	-3.37%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1519	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.5757	-3.50%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2861	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.4816	-4.63%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1972	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2518	-4.54%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1886	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2227	-4.69%	3.401	+45.84%	0.2196	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.169	-4.70%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2824	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.1624	-4.57%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1842	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1386	-4.27%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1582	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.1723	-4.35%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0643	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2243	-4.74%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0634	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.2893	-5.32%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0114	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.2612	-5.11%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0216	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2006	-4.49%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0683	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.1821	-4.38%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0704	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.1979	-4.34%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0489	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.2565	-4.83%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0209	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1065	-3.64%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1238	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	1.9927	-3.08%	2.418	+17.61%	0.2022	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9464	-2.85%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1949	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9783	-2.93%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1295	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9607	-2.84%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1159	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0068	-2.96%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.1007	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.1981	-3.63%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0827	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1081	-3.25%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0256	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2138	-3.79%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0769	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0636	-3.07%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0262	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0794	-3.06%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0061	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0037	-2.92%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0296	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9741	-2.82%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0645	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.0909	-3.13%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0915	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2194	-3.71%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0101	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.249	-4.05%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0575	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1061	-3.34%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0289	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1322	-3.48%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0019	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1727	-3.73%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0455	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.1902	-4.27%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0777	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.1811	-4.55%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0278	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.2825	-5.45%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0076	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.4237	-6.60%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0525	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.1645	-6.10%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0262	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.4384	-7.28%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1080	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.3883	-7.32%	2.257	-12.42%	0.0665	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.4864	-7.50%	2.288	-14.88%	0.0806	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.221	-7.30%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0222	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.1582	-7.31%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0844	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.2776	-7.38%	2.595	+5.53%	0.1128	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.3835	-7.54%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0145	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.2756	-7.57%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1431	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.0379	-7.33%	2.577	+17.19%	0.2275	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	1.9635	-7.30%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2974	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.915	-7.35%	2.396	+15.92%	0.2064	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9112	-7.85%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1723	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7194	-7.06%	2.459	+32.92%	0.3124	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7241	-7.35%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3667	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.616	-6.64%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3815	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6052	-6.67%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2852	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.6875	-7.53%	2.118	+16.05%	0.2033	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5162	-5.77%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2934	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.5782	-7.00%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2825	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4205	-5.55%	1.85	+23.01%	0.3132	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5038	-6.65%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2544	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.4638	-6.59%	1.731	+10.47%	0.2085	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.4535	-6.71%	1.72	+10.40%	0.2129	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4399	-6.74%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2758	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5001	-7.00%	1.609	-0.25%	0.1067	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.5952	-7.26%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0972	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.607	-7.32%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0364	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.5644	-7.32%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0542	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.558	-7.48%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0312	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5068	-7.50%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0356	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.426	-7.22%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0802	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4446	-7.28%	1.613	+3.53%	0.1173	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3056	-6.20%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2491	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.4689	-7.26%	1.734	+9.47%	0.1314	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.3655	-6.92%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1818	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3345	-6.88%	1.684	+17.52%	0.2096	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3304	-6.64%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1671	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.3952	-7.17%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0701	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.3603	-7.21%	1.558	+6.28%	0.1385	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6368	-8.10%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1312	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.4836	-7.62%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1400	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2479	-6.59%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3362	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.2845	-6.72%	1.433	+4.07%	0.3259	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.2765	-6.79%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3720	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.178	-6.65%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4913	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1026	-6.08%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4762	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0609	-5.95%	1.781	+57.89%	0.7234	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1116	-6.11%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5446	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.294	-6.50%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1294	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2106	-6.52%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1832	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1487	-6.35%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.2212	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1088	-6.51%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1625	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3219	-7.62%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0610	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.1812	-7.57%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0008	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0565	-6.84%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1272	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.91538	-4.05%	1.384	+45.07%	0.4090	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.840226	-2.70%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4390	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.854155	-2.66%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3835	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.836078	-2.44%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4034	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.890204	-2.71%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5254	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.874286	-2.64%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4075	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.901022	-2.75%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2864	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.965963	-3.36%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0582	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0163	-4.03%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.0924	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0103	-4.06%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1029	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.03	-4.36%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1672	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.959308	-3.00%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0629	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.930998	-2.41%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0031	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.941764	-2.51%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0109	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.887537	-2.04%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0959	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.902481	-2.22%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1144	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.889462	-2.04%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1436	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.885712	-1.91%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1705	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.867285	-1.95%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0824	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.926031	-2.27%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0453	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.880057	-1.89%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0273	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.84945	-1.63%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0285	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.898151	-1.63%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0290	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.913588	-1.76%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0215	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.930659	-1.78%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0420	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.909357	-1.64%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0029	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.866204	-1.62%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1279	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.881018	-1.84%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0185	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.883136	-1.93%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0463	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.871728	-2.05%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0301	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.955432	-2.11%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0567	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0269	-2.15%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0861	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.017	-2.49%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1439	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.015	-2.64%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.1948	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	0.995262	-2.76%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1378	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1053	-3.34%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2274	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0518	-3.86%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2180	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1554	-4.19%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2109	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.0945	-3.65%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1064	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.985444	-3.01%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0038	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.969308	-2.97%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0134	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0375	-3.31%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0493	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	0.989772	-3.39%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0545	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.976996	-3.22%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0843	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.954371	-3.21%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1389	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.957747	-3.16%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0713	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.923313	-2.71%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0144	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.870281	-2.11%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0882	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.853517	-2.01%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1676	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.792755	-1.83%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2207	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.812263	-1.72%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1654	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.843602	-1.62%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1392	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.868791	-1.55%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1191	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.897421	-1.60%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0879	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.977416	-1.72%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0426	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.990828	-1.75%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0907	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.938805	-1.59%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0818	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.92687	-1.45%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0817	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0334	-1.76%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1424	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0452	-1.77%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.0991	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1708	-1.99%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2303	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.189	-1.98%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1796	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.268	-2.16%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1738	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1457	-1.62%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1178	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0713	-1.44%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0474	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0921	-1.34%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0017	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0853	-1.29%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0124	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1366	-1.38%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0601	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0586	-1.20%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1188	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0433	-1.11%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1518	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0113	-0.95%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0352	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0105	-0.83%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0455	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1182	-1.05%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0780	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1282	-1.03%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0741	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1932	-1.26%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0288	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3503	-1.65%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1914	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2848	-1.25%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2246	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3384	-1.37%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2639	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3433	-1.15%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2801	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3629	-1.24%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1927	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3432	-1.09%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2051	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4108	-1.31%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2146	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4359	-1.38%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1260	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4155	-1.05%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1677	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3724	-0.98%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0928	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4264	-1.39%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0124	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4901	-1.58%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0577	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.507	-1.63%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0627	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4556	-1.38%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0281	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.427	-1.25%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0103	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5623	-1.80%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0214	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6435	-2.58%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0891	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.635	-2.68%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1004	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.5966	-2.94%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0189	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.556	-2.66%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4084	-1.24%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.3979	-1.42%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0422	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4356	-2.40%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1224	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.4916	-3.58%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1410	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5474	-4.48%	1.68	+3.70%	0.1036	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5552	-4.59%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.5745	-5.38%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4418	+0.40%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.4889	-5.53%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4051	-5.19%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1408	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.4964	-6.06%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1485	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4302	-5.41%	1.62	+7.14%	0.2146	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.4754	-5.66%	1.63	+4.22%	0.2270	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6155	-6.24%	1.664	-3.42%	0.2057	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.524	-5.46%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2376	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.8581	-6.63%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8136	-6.47%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6154	-5.42%	1.593	-6.73%	0.1010	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5026	-4.75%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1246	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7108	-5.27%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0349	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.