KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · lstm_s8

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,082

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0616

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0217

actual -0.0018

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03884	0.037654	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-21	oos	0.03856	0.03739	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036256	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034167	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.034492	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.034345	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035109	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.034953	-2.76%	0.03884	+8.05%	0.0756	✗	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.035989	-2.79%	0.03856	+4.16%	0.0337	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.037401	-3.12%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0015	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.03726	-3.03%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0611	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.039824	-3.75%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.0937	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.03927	-3.69%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.0865	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.039793	-3.88%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.0826	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.037856	-3.36%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0575	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039023	-3.73%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0306	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.041404	-4.21%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0401	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.041595	-4.33%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0304	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.040875	-4.22%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0467	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.04121	-4.42%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0124	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.040266	-4.32%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0524	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.039682	-4.23%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0269	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.041513	-4.51%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0202	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.041001	-4.48%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0290	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.043261	-4.84%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0240	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.044587	-4.97%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0695	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.045189	-5.48%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0512	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.040283	-4.45%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0385	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.03825	-4.13%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0740	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.036988	-3.95%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1724	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.039779	-4.33%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.1080	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.041167	-4.78%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1381	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038062	-4.69%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1681	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.037248	-4.79%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.2100	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.036275	-4.64%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.1100	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.032555	-3.68%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.1105	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.031761	-3.49%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0979	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.031755	-3.55%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1455	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.033499	-3.97%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1614	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.032084	-3.61%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1691	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.033736	-4.19%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.1033	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.03428	-4.69%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0623	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.033638	-4.83%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0070	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.03477	-4.82%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0303	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.033724	-4.88%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0090	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.034432	-5.69%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0233	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.031857	-1.37%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0882	✗	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030484	-0.28%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1759	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029552	+0.38%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2272	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.030158	+1.15%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2181	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.027959	-0.06%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2569	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.0276	+0.34%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2390	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028212	+1.14%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2533	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027343	+0.93%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1428	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.028005	+1.25%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0737	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028348	+1.10%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0217	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.030087	+1.82%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0172	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028462	+1.54%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0030	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.028019	+1.34%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0090	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029497	+1.24%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0524	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029485	+0.63%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0842	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.02916	+0.22%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0629	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029838	+0.48%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0580	✗	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027584	-1.52%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0094	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026536	-1.72%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0288	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024834	-1.72%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0045	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025203	-1.78%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0248	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025056	-1.82%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0288	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025317	-1.85%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0192	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.024972	-1.76%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0436	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024858	-1.75%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0346	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.02508	-1.80%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0167	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025459	-1.89%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0190	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.02538	-1.89%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0053	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025455	-1.91%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0237	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026123	-2.05%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0070	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.025885	-2.12%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0024	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025112	-1.98%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0164	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025569	-1.92%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0115	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.025885	-1.99%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0082	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025561	-1.91%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0070	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026321	-1.86%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0295	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.026283	-1.82%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0095	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026718	-1.79%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0335	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027153	-1.76%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0530	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.026917	-1.73%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0398	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027441	-1.80%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0406	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.02761	-1.83%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0552	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028721	-1.94%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0484	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027576	-1.76%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0132	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.02726	-1.71%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0115	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027514	-1.70%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0080	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.027814	-1.65%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0078	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028133	-1.67%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0214	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.027881	-1.71%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0246	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.027841	-1.73%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0439	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027328	-1.64%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0320	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027419	-1.65%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0095	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.02772	-1.56%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0040	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028439	-1.60%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0207	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028173	-1.51%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0014	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.027954	-1.57%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0209	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028043	-1.50%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0013	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028825	-1.60%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0494	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029014	-1.62%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0369	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.02902	-1.66%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0378	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028769	-1.64%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0281	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028769	-1.61%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0276	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029667	-1.76%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0205	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030337	-1.95%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0656	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031132	-2.22%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0703	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.030685	-2.22%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0615	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030274	-2.22%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0489	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030144	-2.22%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0626	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028719	-1.80%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0494	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.029703	-2.04%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0356	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027334	-1.50%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0693	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.02737	-1.53%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.1101	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027669	-1.57%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0926	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027163	-1.44%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.1072	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027514	-1.56%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1277	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028406	-1.57%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0872	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028866	-1.62%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.1025	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028702	-1.57%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0196	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029282	-1.66%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0013	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.02943	-1.64%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.029906	-1.66%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0404	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031306	-1.95%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0702	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.031808	-2.10%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0601	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032264	-2.29%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0704	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031679	-2.23%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0575	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.030746	-2.04%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0298	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030377	-1.98%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0145	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030457	-2.04%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0060	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.029836	-1.74%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0346	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.02966	-1.72%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0480	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031319	-2.28%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0195	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030574	-2.19%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0331	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029474	-1.72%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0260	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.03027	-2.04%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0021	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029021	-1.79%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0716	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031242	-2.25%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0006	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.027954	-1.71%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1429	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.02967	-2.53%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1701	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.029881	-2.67%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1605	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030039	-2.60%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1449	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030231	-2.54%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1631	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030313	-2.51%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0822	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031272	-2.55%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1354	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.031772	-2.59%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0130	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.032759	-2.65%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0116	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.03247	-2.61%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0210	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.032892	-2.69%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0351	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.032824	-2.72%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0350	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.03423	-2.89%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0557	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.033864	-2.82%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0220	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.032747	-2.65%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0052	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.033866	-2.82%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0094	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033066	-2.63%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0125	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033298	-2.60%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0292	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034185	-2.70%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0226	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.036433	-3.05%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0000	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036058	-3.17%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0171	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.036806	-3.32%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0552	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.038778	-4.04%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0650	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.037442	-3.18%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0554	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036198	-2.93%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0347	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035477	-2.75%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0005	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034493	-2.51%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0761	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.035607	-2.71%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0684	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.033744	-2.01%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1253	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.032716	-1.99%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1907	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.032975	-2.01%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1191	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032614	-1.77%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1116	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032094	-1.67%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1055	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.031916	-1.80%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0573	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.031959	-1.83%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0655	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032216	-1.78%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0107	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032814	-1.76%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0132	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.033346	-1.66%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.033058	-1.73%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0083	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.0331	-1.75%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0235	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033696	-1.75%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0117	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.03369	-1.74%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0037	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033581	-1.94%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0231	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034095	-2.14%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0395	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033447	-2.23%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0485	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033613	-2.00%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0237	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035303	-2.37%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0514	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033385	-2.07%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0125	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.03255	-1.93%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0093	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031743	-1.86%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0480	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032448	-2.00%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0529	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030837	-2.07%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0630	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032227	-2.12%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0282	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032647	-2.28%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0498	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.0315	-2.14%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0353	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031244	-2.19%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0114	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032021	-2.32%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0195	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030507	-2.30%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0074	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030674	-2.38%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0024	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.0304	-2.46%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0004	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.03021	-2.48%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0168	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.03045	-2.59%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0131	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031192	-2.77%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0177	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.031712	-2.78%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0184	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031028	-2.70%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0242	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.031893	-3.00%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0595	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.033562	-3.48%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.0884	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.033332	-3.33%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.0821	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.034706	-3.65%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.0775	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.036923	-4.27%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.0963	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.034976	-3.54%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0377	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.033911	-3.07%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0036	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035055	-3.75%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0355	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.034508	-3.50%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0465	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.036399	-4.31%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0070	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.035602	-4.53%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0284	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.037215	-5.69%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0350	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.035068	-3.34%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0838	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033	-2.19%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.1185	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030507	-1.59%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2534	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030163	-1.62%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.2060	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030001	-1.60%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2443	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030044	-1.62%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2256	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.02987	-1.61%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2624	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.029765	-1.60%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1379	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029574	-1.62%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0332	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029119	-1.53%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0445	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029116	-1.53%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0108	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.029676	-1.61%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0173	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.029944	-1.60%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0253	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030262	-1.59%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0419	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030047	-1.61%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0207	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.029839	-1.58%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0142	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029026	-1.37%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0150	✗	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.029691	-1.49%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0093	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.029842	-1.41%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0298	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.030854	-1.58%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0728	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030466	-1.45%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0709	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.028839	-0.86%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0206	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029443	-0.90%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0500	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030094	-1.04%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0128	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.030761	-1.10%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0015	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.030829	-1.08%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0229	✗	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.029863	-0.85%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0386	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.030766	-0.90%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0257	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031577	-1.05%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0153	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.03187	-1.18%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0120	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031688	-1.16%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0189	✓	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.032965	-1.44%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0238	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031754	-1.20%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0031	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031083	-0.99%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0464	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031162	-1.01%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0082	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030738	-1.00%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0634	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031131	-1.12%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0590	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033366	-1.46%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0114	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031017	-1.03%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0651	✗	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.03159	-1.25%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0495	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.027247	+0.69%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0738	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.030733	-0.81%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1503	✗	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.031699	-1.13%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.1151	✗	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.032636	-1.46%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1330	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.030513	-0.58%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2325	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.032812	-1.05%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1390	✗	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.036673	-1.84%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.1119	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.037738	-1.88%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0863	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039022	-1.88%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0606	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039043	-1.88%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0450	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039033	-1.90%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0010	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.038831	-1.89%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0634	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040742	-2.11%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0258	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039386	-2.07%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0345	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039037	-2.09%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0666	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040155	-2.18%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0064	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.03938	-1.99%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0028	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041821	-1.99%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0198	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041892	-1.87%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0594	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043382	-1.87%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0556	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.044286	-1.91%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0009	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044665	-1.94%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0154	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046953	-2.16%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0141	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047096	-2.43%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0428	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045194	-2.37%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0808	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.045554	-2.50%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1122	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045313	-2.53%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1057	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045754	-2.69%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.0993	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.045714	-2.71%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0806	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047347	-3.06%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.0992	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.049576	-3.68%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0595	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.049084	-3.61%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0050	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.047711	-3.48%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0083	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.044649	-2.34%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0450	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.044901	-2.45%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0347	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043728	-2.26%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0252	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042012	-2.02%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0739	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.042976	-2.04%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0747	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042645	-1.92%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0426	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043635	-2.01%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0520	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.044571	-2.15%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0303	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.043975	-2.06%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0075	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.042795	-1.89%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0130	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043661	-1.95%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0158	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044218	-2.00%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0272	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.045597	-2.17%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0188	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.045833	-2.19%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0138	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044075	-1.90%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0431	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.042519	-1.69%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0702	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.04004	-1.31%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0515	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041388	-1.39%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0454	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044064	-1.66%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0320	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042353	-1.41%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0541	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043575	-1.59%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0636	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.045947	-1.86%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0145	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045459	-1.80%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0080	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.046831	-1.93%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0072	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.04762	-2.02%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0138	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.048846	-2.23%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0063	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.050757	-2.65%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0823	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050159	-2.62%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0806	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.049707	-2.59%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0793	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.05098	-2.91%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1149	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.053189	-3.45%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1165	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.054484	-3.98%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.0871	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.052552	-3.57%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0773	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.050389	-3.02%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0576	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.054925	-4.12%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0649	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.054084	-4.00%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0264	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.055079	-4.76%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0161	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.055342	-5.09%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0201	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.054921	-5.52%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0267	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.049076	-3.01%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0267	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.044373	-1.70%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1983	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039625	-0.97%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.2985	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037849	-0.63%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2757	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.038361	-0.61%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2955	✗	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.039755	-0.64%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2899	✗	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.041813	-1.02%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3493	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.042778	-1.11%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2808	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.04229	-0.93%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1432	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.042991	-1.03%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0790	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.044606	-1.19%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0652	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044038	-1.02%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0628	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.047525	-1.54%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0925	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.048641	-1.70%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0582	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.04851	-1.72%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0825	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.051424	-2.08%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0789	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051055	-2.02%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0412	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.050792	-1.98%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0147	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051073	-2.06%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0311	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050156	-1.79%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0064	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046115	-1.42%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1138	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043592	-0.95%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0944	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046131	-1.26%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1407	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051297	-1.64%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1253	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052324	-1.70%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1393	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.051942	-1.66%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1241	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.052723	-1.69%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.1056	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057209	-2.14%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0846	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.055336	-2.00%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0036	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056082	-2.11%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0383	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.056798	-2.28%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0100	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.057445	-2.25%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0444	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052062	-1.85%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0440	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.050536	-1.76%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0955	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048507	-1.51%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1378	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.050821	-1.70%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0162	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.053851	-2.02%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0063	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.051781	-1.84%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0036	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.049745	-1.59%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0800	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.051015	-1.59%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0508	✓	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.052621	-1.70%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0602	✓	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.055796	-2.00%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0621	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.05932	-2.19%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0476	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.063365	-2.31%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0541	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.060232	-2.33%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0141	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.055893	-2.17%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0328	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.054145	-2.11%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0830	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072446	-1.89%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1053	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.073602	-1.85%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0789	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.073431	-1.97%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0731	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.076554	-2.00%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0329	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073454	-1.97%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0556	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.07491	-1.90%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1007	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.078857	-2.00%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2196	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.079696	-2.21%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0919	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078058	-2.24%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1072	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.073572	-2.17%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0907	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075176	-2.29%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1131	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.075778	-2.48%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1827	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.074652	-2.20%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1779	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.076329	-2.35%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1451	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.073903	-2.08%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0854	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.076976	-2.25%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0491	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.076347	-2.32%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0494	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.076787	-2.61%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0253	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.079721	-2.05%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0263	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.082266	-2.23%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0337	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082145	-2.24%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0578	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.085762	-2.63%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0162	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.