KAIA

Kaia · native · lstm_s8

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1579

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0558

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.036947	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.038107	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.037109	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.037641	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.039691	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.037941	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.038084	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.038467	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.041229	-12.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.040342	-10.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.045434	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.048085	-15.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.050352	-16.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.033675	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.034386	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.03592	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.036098	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.034134	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.034049	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.032696	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.033383	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.031701	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.031261	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.03036	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.030797	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.032395	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.031968	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.030115	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.029298	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030372	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.030881	-5.55%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3291	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.02835	-6.57%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3603	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.028491	-6.59%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3504	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.027819	-7.18%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3787	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.026278	-8.76%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.4248	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026198	-5.86%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3760	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.025685	-5.24%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3799	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.02745	-5.25%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3904	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.027692	-5.38%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.4157	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.027644	-5.33%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.4104	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.027602	-5.64%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.5138	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026	-4.94%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6671	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.028368	-5.66%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6857	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.029553	-7.09%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1699	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.028966	-6.70%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.2053	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.029945	-4.85%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1906	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.029716	-3.74%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.2064	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.029563	-2.98%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1280	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030545	+0.73%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1452	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.027714	-1.22%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1424	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028255	-2.16%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1391	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029447	+0.07%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0781	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027649	+0.32%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1085	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029193	+1.26%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0320	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.02943	+1.68%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0266	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032718	+3.18%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0134	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032796	+0.19%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0132	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.03224	+0.59%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0593	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031931	+3.05%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0840	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031534	-0.05%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1086	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.03121	-2.36%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.0928	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.030661	+2.17%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0540	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.025256	-4.01%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0694	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.022804	-4.56%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.1132	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.02044	-4.95%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1874	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.021746	-4.98%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0869	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.02156	-5.71%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0483	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022523	-5.64%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0414	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023301	-5.40%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0395	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024394	-5.54%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0059	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.024716	-5.63%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0175	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025258	-5.93%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.0953	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.024993	-6.36%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0043	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025205	-6.72%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0541	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025539	-6.21%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0096	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025297	-6.62%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0150	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.024991	-6.40%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0070	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025322	-5.83%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0138	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025265	-5.85%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0407	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.024876	-5.52%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0634	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.024986	-4.99%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0405	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024391	-4.65%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0209	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024077	-4.44%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0616	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025196	-4.03%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0396	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024851	-4.12%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0254	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024807	-4.92%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0400	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024551	-4.90%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0939	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028374	-6.25%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0237	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028223	-5.36%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0685	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029659	-5.33%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0904	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.029866	-4.57%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0670	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030664	-4.40%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1558	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031238	-4.85%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2452	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030576	-5.32%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.2929	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030417	-5.71%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3467	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.030966	-5.96%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.2986	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.030878	-6.44%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.2872	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.031669	-6.53%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2731	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.031644	-6.45%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2271	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.031954	-6.29%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.1919	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.031564	-6.96%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2032	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.032387	-7.48%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.1845	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.032354	-6.96%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.1944	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.032301	-7.45%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.1883	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.031134	-7.37%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1572	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.030915	-6.95%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1678	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.031161	-7.97%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.1672	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.03151	-6.94%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1666	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.032946	-6.59%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2114	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.032766	-7.10%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2238	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.032502	-8.24%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2247	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.032282	-6.29%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2496	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031575	-6.17%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2638	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.032402	-7.18%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.2946	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.032601	-6.81%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2808	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.031713	-7.29%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2566	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.031638	-6.23%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2561	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.031877	-6.34%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1255	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.030888	-6.03%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.0987	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.031835	-5.29%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0598	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.034274	-6.39%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1226	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.034618	-6.73%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1037	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033357	-6.60%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0575	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.033982	-5.89%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0632	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.034126	-5.91%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0713	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034189	-5.83%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0616	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.035203	-6.17%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0577	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.035413	-6.14%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0212	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.035297	-6.33%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0232	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.03508	-6.72%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0194	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.033735	-6.86%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0330	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.033577	-6.59%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0391	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.033868	-6.44%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0238	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.032061	-5.57%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0525	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.033425	-5.31%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0125	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.035572	-5.22%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0586	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.034598	-5.08%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0218	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.03491	-4.75%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.0714	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.035987	-4.87%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0543	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.038327	-5.53%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0742	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.041056	-6.07%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1291	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.041734	-6.20%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1283	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.045087	-6.67%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1737	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.043642	-6.20%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0525	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.045171	-6.99%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1092	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.045491	-6.78%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1342	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.04543	-6.90%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1516	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.044485	-6.25%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1128	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.045572	-6.51%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1548	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.046844	-6.78%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1525	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.047643	-6.97%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1070	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.04816	-7.90%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1225	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.047984	-8.44%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.1595	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.049276	-8.43%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.1664	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.047473	-7.94%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1163	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.045966	-7.88%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.0844	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.046792	-8.31%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.0864	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.046329	-9.53%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.0804	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.043391	-5.45%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0122	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.043331	-6.47%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0070	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.045618	-4.55%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0435	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.044426	-6.11%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0333	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.045486	-3.90%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0393	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048353	-0.35%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1349	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049637	+0.37%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1212	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.046781	-2.25%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0341	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.047122	-3.71%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.0775	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.045992	-2.35%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0179	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047981	+2.00%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0128	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047456	+0.67%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0589	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.045787	-0.98%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1517	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.044387	-2.60%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1522	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.044601	-2.30%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1734	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.044461	-2.26%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.1038	✗	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.043905	-3.36%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1326	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.044157	-3.90%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1301	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.045474	-3.71%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.1073	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.046267	-3.24%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0647	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.047353	-2.29%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0653	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.047113	-3.51%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0695	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.046832	-3.33%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0958	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.047298	-2.63%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.1216	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.046732	-2.18%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1512	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.045932	-5.02%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.1423	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.046524	-4.43%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0813	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.044519	-5.52%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0733	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.047239	-3.94%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0608	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.049271	-4.34%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0344	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.046638	-3.36%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0558	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046126	-2.62%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0521	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.045683	-2.80%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0469	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.046542	-3.09%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0483	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.044776	-3.82%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0796	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.045728	-3.67%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0580	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.045694	-3.92%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0455	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045252	-4.04%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0662	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045168	-3.58%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0465	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046126	-3.77%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0912	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.044932	-4.31%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1333	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.045075	-4.17%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1252	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045441	-4.58%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1703	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046518	-5.17%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1975	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046429	-5.53%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1966	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045676	-4.74%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1590	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044663	-4.21%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1083	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042926	-4.10%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0732	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.043138	-4.02%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0723	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043019	-4.00%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0663	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044234	-4.21%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.0988	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046773	-4.60%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0921	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048244	-4.90%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0881	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.048819	-5.45%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1217	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.048676	-4.59%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1289	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.047659	-5.22%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1201	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.04795	-5.34%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.0947	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.048786	-5.41%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.0874	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.048812	-5.31%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0840	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.050606	-5.66%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0739	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.052544	-5.39%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1044	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.053015	-5.37%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1119	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.051064	-6.74%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1048	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.051056	-6.08%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1142	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.051016	-5.67%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.0883	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.051461	-6.05%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1235	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.051586	-6.38%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1281	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.051292	-6.83%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1153	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.04766	-5.83%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0623	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.046628	-5.89%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0751	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.049971	-6.23%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.0899	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.049631	-6.06%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0692	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.050565	-6.19%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0023	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.05094	-7.30%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0608	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.050221	-6.83%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0049	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.051576	-6.73%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0598	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.051182	-6.38%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1392	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.051893	-6.58%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1436	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.051876	-6.76%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1452	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.052481	-7.25%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1361	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.052739	-7.57%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1022	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.048982	-7.66%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.0877	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.048889	-8.43%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.0840	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.050604	-8.71%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0322	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.051905	-8.79%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.0694	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.051646	-8.56%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0242	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.051265	-8.28%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0474	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.051892	-8.24%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.0806	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.05263	-8.41%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.0647	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.053671	-7.71%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0426	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.05304	-7.18%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0430	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.055815	-8.29%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.0829	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.053249	-7.46%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0413	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.052522	-7.26%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0560	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.051639	-6.91%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0246	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.050502	-6.96%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0498	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.051246	-7.21%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0706	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.051666	-6.95%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0693	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.051495	-6.67%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0022	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.052641	-7.50%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0240	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.047185	-5.18%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0331	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.0537	-7.56%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0852	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.054383	-7.93%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0875	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.057562	-9.15%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0713	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.050227	-7.09%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2388	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.051124	-7.60%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2753	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.053237	-7.71%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.4129	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.053021	-8.09%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.4126	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.059291	-9.67%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3946	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.065414	-11.84%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2804	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.063094	-12.67%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2927	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.0662	-15.01%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.2513	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.078206	-17.97%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0866	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.061989	-14.12%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2985	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.049691	-5.01%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5315	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049853	-4.81%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5182	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.048222	-4.51%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5442	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.052028	-4.61%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5571	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.05282	-4.55%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5495	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056228	-5.09%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4856	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056543	-5.26%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4718	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.057051	-5.62%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5072	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.059475	-6.35%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4479	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.059998	-7.10%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4606	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056374	-7.12%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4196	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.058442	-8.15%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3244	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.058491	-8.48%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.3089	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.059789	-9.05%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2916	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.059333	-11.32%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.3159	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.060279	-10.34%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3924	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.061752	-11.98%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4845	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.061358	-8.60%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3827	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.056086	-10.00%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3790	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.054615	-7.23%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3895	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.054463	-7.09%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2596	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.052942	-6.36%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2484	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.05221	-5.56%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1661	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.05264	-5.95%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1667	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.052324	-5.70%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1884	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.053089	-6.07%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.3117	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.054252	-6.33%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2782	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.05233	-5.96%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.4114	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.052375	-5.68%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5640	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.054509	-5.72%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2467	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.055134	-5.60%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.0888	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.056437	-5.63%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.0890	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.056444	-4.93%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1054	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.057009	-5.12%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1185	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.057457	-4.48%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1341	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.053226	-3.79%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0590	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.059819	-4.87%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1597	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.066826	-6.06%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2272	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.066137	-7.22%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2148	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.068305	-7.52%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.1754	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.070729	-6.91%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.1686	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.070491	-5.67%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1125	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.073039	-4.49%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.0972	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.073387	-3.60%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0846	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.075974	-3.82%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.0995	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.075039	-3.82%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1203	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.075038	-4.15%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1220	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.074959	-3.97%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.1874	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.074205	-3.59%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2111	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.07717	-3.88%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2454	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.077978	-3.70%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2264	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.076468	-3.64%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2575	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.07304	-3.26%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3010	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.07545	-3.58%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2622	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.075907	-3.64%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2445	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.076564	-3.64%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2478	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.078079	-3.88%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2341	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.078986	-3.69%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.2913	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.078737	-3.68%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3462	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.078325	-3.58%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.2908	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.076987	-3.34%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.2884	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.074892	-2.88%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3018	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.07394	-2.71%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.2901	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.077629	-2.93%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.2911	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.080557	-3.30%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2251	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.082762	-3.57%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2537	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.081741	-3.46%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1441	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.083901	-3.79%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0397	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.084526	-3.86%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0111	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.083697	-3.46%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0005	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.089464	-4.12%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0188	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.093386	-4.65%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0046	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.094206	-4.77%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0187	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.098617	-5.48%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0094	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.095745	-5.07%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0235	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.095826	-5.03%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0121	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.094245	-4.71%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0500	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.086735	-3.64%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.1132	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.087875	-3.70%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1306	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.082538	-3.19%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1397	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.089137	-3.89%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1313	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.099266	-4.69%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0971	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.099999	-4.76%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1311	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.099093	-4.28%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0875	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.09774	-4.13%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0808	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.10234	-4.42%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0670	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.1034	-4.37%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.1231	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.1052	-4.59%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1494	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.105913	-4.72%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.2071	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.103484	-4.34%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1674	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.104092	-4.48%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1616	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.103599	-4.51%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1635	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.100266	-4.30%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1326	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.10119	-4.36%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1575	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.102544	-4.57%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1304	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.101522	-4.49%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1117	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.098792	-4.17%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1162	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.098121	-3.99%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0992	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.101924	-4.14%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0720	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.105316	-4.44%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0852	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.108232	-4.61%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0763	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.113366	-4.71%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0761	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106094	-4.51%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1234	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.100679	-4.32%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1133	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.098319	-4.70%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1616	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.134103	-3.62%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0746	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.138274	-3.45%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1249	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.136606	-3.83%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2039	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.145342	-3.64%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2589	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.143807	-3.81%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3014	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.144495	-4.21%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2860	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.147441	-4.55%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2329	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.147652	-5.06%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2360	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.146709	-5.57%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2536	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.142131	-5.88%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2689	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.143747	-6.27%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2467	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.144258	-6.77%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.2963	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.141235	-6.93%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.2991	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.141836	-7.52%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3004	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.137809	-7.72%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2731	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.141501	-6.31%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2328	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.141033	-6.48%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2383	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.141248	-6.64%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2354	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.150021	-7.61%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2683	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.146264	-6.74%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2424	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.146268	-6.69%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2308	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.148452	-6.77%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2377	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.148716	-7.07%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2498	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.