FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
57.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1261
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0297
actual -0.0241
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.047016 | -1.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.047869 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.046907 | -1.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047203 | -1.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.050329 | -1.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051813 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.051989 | -1.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.052924 | -1.68% | 0.04772 | -11.35% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.058849 | -2.27% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.1902 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.058049 | -2.28% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.064712 | -3.14% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.2902 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.063429 | -2.98% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.2039 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.062691 | -2.78% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1659 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.060189 | -2.58% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1332 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.062646 | -2.75% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1398 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.066885 | -3.08% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.0907 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.071047 | -3.59% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.067792 | -3.29% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.070049 | -3.81% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.062299 | -2.92% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.065449 | -3.26% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.06653 | -3.60% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.063803 | -3.37% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.059195 | -3.01% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.2035 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.066309 | -3.94% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.064197 | -4.00% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1242 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.056742 | -3.36% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1207 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.057701 | -3.35% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1566 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.057732 | -3.31% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.1883 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.058425 | -3.15% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1524 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.059156 | -3.12% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.0596 | -3.89% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.1070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.067092 | -4.77% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.063585 | -4.75% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.1187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.060696 | -5.31% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.1166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.052502 | -4.04% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043194 | -1.24% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.2026 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.047781 | -2.66% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047073 | -2.30% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.049286 | -2.49% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.3071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.049929 | -2.28% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.051119 | -2.31% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.050291 | -2.12% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.1119 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.05232 | -2.19% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.054184 | -2.07% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.0872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055073 | -1.78% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.0887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.054201 | -1.69% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.054644 | -1.35% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.05855 | -0.81% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 1.00 |