FOGO

Fogo · native · lstm_s8

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +1d

assessed

271

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0345

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004275	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004246	-0.55%	0.00429	+0.48%	0.0073	✗	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004254	-0.53%	0.004269	-0.18%	0.0134	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003841	-0.24%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0905	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003814	-0.28%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0122	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.00399	-0.32%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0521	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004261	-0.34%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0606	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004311	-0.41%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0014	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004657	-0.72%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0820	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004599	-0.57%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0444	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004507	-0.45%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0043	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004797	-0.51%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0280	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004798	-0.65%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0069	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004717	-0.41%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0181	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.00461	-0.70%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0138	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004956	-0.92%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0409	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005386	-0.45%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0410	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005452	-0.85%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0046	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005173	-0.41%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0721	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005232	-0.93%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0335	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005223	-0.78%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0076	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.00526	-0.33%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0059	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005246	-0.50%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0137	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005313	-0.60%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0065	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005211	-0.90%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0227	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005673	-0.89%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0613	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005987	-0.68%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0457	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006469	-0.84%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0755	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006322	-1.10%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0360	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006255	-0.99%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0216	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.00721	-1.01%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1086	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006869	-0.29%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0636	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006516	-0.58%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0182	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006614	-1.19%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0080	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006844	-0.67%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0274	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006246	-0.53%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0354	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005924	-0.39%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0553	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006008	-0.62%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0179	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006312	-0.49%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0082	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006421	-0.24%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0307	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006505	-0.21%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0043	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006433	-0.25%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0126	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006141	-0.19%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0398	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.00648	-0.13%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0283	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007128	-0.27%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0916	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007162	-0.21%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0071	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007184	-0.11%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0163	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007143	-0.04%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0001	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007175	+0.03%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0062	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007128	+0.13%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0280	✓	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007056	+0.09%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0521	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007107	+0.07%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0067	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007297	+0.15%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0103	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007188	+0.14%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0008	✓	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007517	+0.05%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0387	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007456	-0.09%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0025	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009336	-0.24%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1968	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009187	-0.32%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0047	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008943	-0.30%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0246	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.00916	-0.32%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0159	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009284	-0.74%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0245	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009246	-0.76%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009629	-0.80%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0183	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008849	-1.11%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0347	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008378	-0.58%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0245	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008037	-0.38%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0084	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008245	-0.37%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0239	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008543	-0.41%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0507	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008549	-0.48%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0056	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.00846	-0.47%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0147	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008633	-0.50%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0102	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008656	-0.54%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0022	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008862	-0.81%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0166	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008832	-0.79%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0162	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.00892	-0.57%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0096	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008786	-0.75%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0216	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.00866	-0.78%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0217	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008301	-0.56%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0426	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008146	-0.35%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0287	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008143	-0.34%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0030	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008464	-0.44%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0426	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008343	-0.38%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0192	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008289	-0.27%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0007	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008306	-0.27%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008177	-0.25%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0446	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008045	-0.27%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0076	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008246	-0.28%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0227	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008215	-0.31%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0044	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008754	-0.31%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0389	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008597	-0.27%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0076	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.00846	-0.29%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0159	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008872	-0.37%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0318	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009173	-0.30%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0163	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009187	-0.24%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0069	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008975	-0.25%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0104	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008891	-0.24%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0055	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008952	-0.26%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0031	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008942	-0.29%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0062	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009035	-0.36%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0088	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009479	-0.35%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0341	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009594	-0.38%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0056	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009387	-0.39%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0045	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009617	-0.57%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0040	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009657	-0.42%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0020	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009956	-0.49%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0222	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009246	-0.30%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0683	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009323	-0.33%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0155	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008997	-0.29%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0513	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009881	-0.56%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0835	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009475	-0.26%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0433	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009501	-0.29%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0052	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009869	-0.41%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0417	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009234	-0.42%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0590	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008902	-0.09%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0238	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009126	-0.04%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0405	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009262	-0.06%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0048	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008886	+0.00%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0344	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010381	-0.14%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1505	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011361	-0.23%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0880	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013223	-0.53%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1529	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011725	-0.19%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1426	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.01194	-0.21%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0062	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012601	-0.33%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0344	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.01239	-0.30%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0107	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012792	-0.31%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0167	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.01243	-0.26%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0227	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012794	-0.32%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0337	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012645	-0.34%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0343	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012966	-0.38%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0076	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013039	-0.40%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0064	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012792	-0.39%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0160	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012674	-0.40%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012191	-0.33%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0318	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012365	-0.38%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0105	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010971	-0.13%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0998	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011463	-0.17%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0399	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011372	-0.05%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0255	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011739	-0.07%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0287	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011654	+0.02%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0200	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011215	+0.11%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0403	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012491	-0.06%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0819	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013967	-0.20%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1091	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.01338	-0.18%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0699	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014473	-0.38%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0465	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.01373	-0.36%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0728	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013707	-0.33%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0065	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.01366	-0.31%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0042	✗	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013729	-0.31%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014041	-0.31%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0139	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014694	-0.36%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0327	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015081	-0.42%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0146	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015115	-0.49%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0005	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015344	-0.37%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0114	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015842	-0.43%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0333	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.01647	-0.44%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0263	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.0158	-0.56%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0456	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021581	-1.43%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3098	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.01676	-0.25%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2681	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016713	-0.24%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0077	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017292	-0.26%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0282	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017992	-0.24%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0325	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.01973	-0.34%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0812	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019784	-0.37%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0078	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020347	-0.39%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0189	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020943	-0.45%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0195	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021948	-0.60%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0401	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021712	-0.62%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0095	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021414	-0.62%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0178	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019839	-0.47%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0816	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019845	-0.45%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0145	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019634	-0.49%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0110	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019727	-0.59%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0085	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018987	-0.68%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0327	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018382	-0.20%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0403	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017576	-0.15%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0429	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017406	-0.17%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0070	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017535	-0.18%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0109	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018385	-0.22%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0396	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.01871	-0.23%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0044	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019443	-0.23%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0227	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018351	-0.14%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0497	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018587	-0.16%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0133	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018504	-0.13%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0147	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018699	-0.14%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0100	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019685	-0.30%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0702	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019184	-0.28%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0234	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019951	-0.42%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0611	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019773	-0.37%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0367	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.01983	-0.33%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0173	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019328	-0.37%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0054	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018553	-0.34%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0406	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018741	-0.43%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0148	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017789	-0.29%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0598	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016739	-0.28%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0177	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017336	-0.31%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0029	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017979	-0.27%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0344	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018911	-0.34%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0631	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018702	-0.36%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0054	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018344	-0.36%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0335	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018252	-0.48%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0321	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018979	-0.47%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0322	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017401	-0.32%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0686	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016718	-0.21%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0387	✗	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016858	-0.21%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0071	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016602	-0.18%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0339	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.01674	-0.18%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0050	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016857	-0.15%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0254	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016484	-0.10%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0131	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016643	-0.09%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0036	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.017006	-0.09%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0201	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018261	-0.15%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0380	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019543	-0.20%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0340	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.01842	-0.17%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0517	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.019035	-0.16%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0269	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019115	-0.15%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0421	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019352	-0.15%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0033	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019686	-0.15%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0051	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020855	-0.18%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0638	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021128	-0.18%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0061	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022621	-0.21%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0328	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023708	-0.25%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0332	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023602	-0.28%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0184	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023686	-0.30%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0211	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022987	-0.26%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0292	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023379	-0.28%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0197	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023166	-0.26%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0077	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022873	-0.24%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0121	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023846	-0.30%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0599	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023129	-0.24%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0005	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023477	-0.28%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0055	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022644	-0.22%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0507	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022167	-0.23%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0624	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022683	-0.25%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0036	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.02339	-0.30%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0937	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024155	-0.37%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0215	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.02521	-0.42%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0909	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026439	-0.56%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0229	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.02694	-0.65%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0323	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029842	-1.04%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0681	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027505	-0.93%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.1004	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027906	-1.13%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0782	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027327	-0.53%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0430	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025556	-0.44%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1318	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025579	-0.46%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0101	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026976	-0.61%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0481	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023496	-0.26%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1254	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.025051	-0.38%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0721	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024425	-0.29%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0493	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023907	-0.26%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0510	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022114	-0.11%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0794	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022928	-0.16%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0167	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022166	-0.05%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.02107	+0.11%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020478	+0.20%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.021	+0.16%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022589	+0.05%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023417	-0.03%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023925	+0.09%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026655	-0.06%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0906	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023796	+0.35%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026929	-0.12%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028424	-0.26%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032674	-0.47%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.032951	-0.46%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033464	-0.47%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036986	-0.61%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.035003	-0.56%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.041017	-0.80%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.038622	-0.71%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0677	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.035885	-0.64%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0708	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034904	-0.64%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0149	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.038145	-0.77%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0537	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.