ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s8

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0650

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0019

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.306632	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.30749	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.342546	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.317835	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.31356	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.32064	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.307162	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.319904	-1.29%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0719	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.293254	-0.79%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0117	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.307365	-1.17%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1253	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.316394	-1.59%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0106	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.32066	-1.71%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0106	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.32025	-1.82%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0359	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.290686	-1.19%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0801	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.302642	-1.61%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0617	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.293702	-1.38%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0340	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.315801	-1.67%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0218	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.309182	-1.47%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1000	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.31955	-1.51%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0628	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.301775	-1.44%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1052	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.319447	-1.86%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0530	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.32316	-1.91%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0021	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.324335	-2.13%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0811	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.328571	-2.18%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0509	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.316952	-2.05%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0444	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.324436	-2.01%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0308	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.321151	-2.03%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0526	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.331116	-2.25%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0234	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.332133	-2.20%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0152	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.339856	-2.28%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0126	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.335036	-1.55%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0424	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319653	-1.17%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0607	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.272219	-1.69%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1493	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.276594	-1.80%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1251	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.280469	-1.99%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1437	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.249807	-1.34%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2009	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.246392	-1.09%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2359	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.240453	-0.66%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2083	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.264509	-1.52%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1001	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.256512	-1.23%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0219	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.257675	-1.12%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0392	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.252804	-0.82%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0778	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.254055	-0.76%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0009	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.248583	-0.33%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0306	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.251575	-0.25%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0001	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.222452	+0.43%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2012	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.265162	+0.21%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0230	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.260614	+0.51%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0317	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.256029	+0.88%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0253	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.267658	+1.62%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0116	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.262946	+0.92%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0655	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.254827	+1.28%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0241	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.263175	+1.85%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1794	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.25121	+1.75%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0172	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.256174	+2.18%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0083	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.261948	+2.20%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0552	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.265973	+2.85%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0224	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.269335	+2.60%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0102	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.268919	+2.48%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0513	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.273564	+2.34%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0514	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.272176	+2.05%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0966	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.275424	+1.67%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.1101	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.272198	+1.76%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0535	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.243773	+0.36%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0376	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.216519	+0.47%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0766	✓	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.202205	+0.40%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.0939	✓	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.20337	+0.38%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.0988	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.20571	+0.30%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0698	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.203202	+0.35%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1084	✓	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.207628	+0.30%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0579	✓	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.20963	+0.30%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0194	✓	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.216348	+0.21%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0838	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.221861	+0.12%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1126	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.237698	-0.21%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1675	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.235559	-0.10%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.1103	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.238357	-0.19%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1367	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.23531	-0.12%	0.207	-12.14%	0.1016	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.23376	-0.15%	0.209	-10.72%	0.1003	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.225437	+0.06%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0267	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.222172	+0.08%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0047	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.216528	+0.15%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.0893	✓	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.214536	+0.20%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0755	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.202723	+0.36%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1344	✓	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.205327	+0.36%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1092	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.208191	+0.43%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1235	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.209231	+0.40%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0642	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.208285	+0.43%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0609	✓	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.201705	+0.50%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0726	✓	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.209559	+0.51%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0464	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.216202	+0.42%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0461	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.217202	+0.42%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0421	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.221244	+0.43%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0606	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.219182	+0.50%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0200	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.224517	+0.46%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0424	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.220762	+0.44%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0742	✗	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.221506	+0.41%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0696	✗	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.222006	+0.41%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0240	✗	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.221923	+0.37%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0282	✗	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.220839	+0.38%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0196	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.220921	+0.42%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0312	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.213948	+0.49%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0232	✓	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.211264	+0.46%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.222354	+0.39%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0211	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.221075	+0.40%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0136	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.219821	+0.42%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0090	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.219093	+0.41%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0041	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.22246	+0.39%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0462	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.222342	+0.38%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0668	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.223895	+0.36%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0379	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.216774	+0.40%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0195	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.213815	+0.43%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0203	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.213716	+0.43%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.209037	+0.55%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0204	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.204902	+0.74%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0476	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.192188	+0.94%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0798	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.203998	+0.74%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0426	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.204332	+0.81%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0041	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.206303	+0.73%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0078	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.206569	+0.72%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0019	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.213874	+0.69%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0511	✗	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.220954	+0.39%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0701	✗	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.222113	+0.28%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.1031	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.221617	+0.28%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0439	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.218365	+0.31%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0280	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.218257	+0.30%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0104	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.214995	+0.32%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0040	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.214216	+0.34%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0307	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.220402	+0.27%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0396	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.226099	+0.22%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0144	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.233611	+0.13%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0283	✗	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.226782	+0.17%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0119	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.222501	+0.18%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0198	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.222483	+0.17%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0367	✗	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.221012	+0.19%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0262	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.210998	+0.33%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0052	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.216845	+0.30%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0066	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.213114	+0.34%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0524	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.213473	+0.36%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0304	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.210638	+0.50%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0102	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.21569	+0.51%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0003	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.22816	+0.38%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0310	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.237556	+0.32%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0948	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.253476	+0.11%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1111	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.270908	-0.14%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1854	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.275261	-0.16%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1863	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.271836	-0.10%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1781	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.263455	+0.02%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1259	✗	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.259603	+0.08%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0705	✗	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.270004	-0.04%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0663	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.283402	-0.18%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0591	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.27825	-0.02%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0214	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.284832	-0.09%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0070	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.284877	-0.08%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0257	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.283192	-0.07%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0576	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.281999	+0.07%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0543	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.288911	+0.00%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0449	✗	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.287673	+0.03%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0066	✗	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.28531	+0.11%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0270	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.284048	+0.19%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0067	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.289883	+0.20%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0066	✗	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.304699	+0.10%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0463	✗	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.307865	+0.18%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0632	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.307651	+0.15%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0496	✗	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.310351	+0.21%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0491	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.322413	+0.13%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0882	✗	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.313024	+0.33%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0637	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.309935	+0.33%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0499	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.310454	+0.34%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0114	✗	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.309271	+0.38%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0142	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.317157	+0.40%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0126	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.319588	+0.37%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0285	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.302424	+0.54%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0503	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.300205	+0.54%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0152	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.302871	+0.55%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0068	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.304194	+0.56%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0039	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.298369	+0.56%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0058	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.298734	+0.58%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0156	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.3063	+0.59%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0061	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.306869	+0.68%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0377	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.31403	+0.72%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0496	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.31905	+0.65%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0650	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.315049	+0.69%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0462	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.31706	+0.72%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0521	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.321775	+0.68%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0624	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.317579	+0.63%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0418	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.318176	+0.59%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0539	✗	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.320832	+0.45%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0653	✗	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.326676	+0.48%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0445	✗	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.33235	+0.50%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0630	✗	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.324142	+0.45%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0527	✗	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.317715	+0.48%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0194	✗	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.312807	+0.48%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0077	✗	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.308688	+0.52%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0131	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.302006	+0.37%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0304	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.316023	+0.39%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0072	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.306845	+0.44%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0425	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.301108	+0.40%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0423	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.301848	+0.35%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0162	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.300356	+0.39%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0174	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.299891	+0.20%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0241	✗	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.296974	+0.23%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0022	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.296925	+0.14%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0075	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.286474	+0.24%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0112	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.288759	+0.23%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0056	✗	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.294829	+0.25%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0063	✗	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.280444	+0.37%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0321	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.275983	+0.39%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0617	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.272112	+0.45%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0568	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.281474	+0.45%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0429	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.287261	+0.48%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0109	✗	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.291445	+0.53%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0061	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.296333	+0.59%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0218	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.294967	+0.60%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0328	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.298254	+0.63%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0430	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.287507	+0.70%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0415	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.29038	+0.72%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0112	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.291645	+0.74%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0188	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.301767	+0.76%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0294	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.317104	+0.73%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0741	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.331532	+0.71%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0921	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.337419	+0.69%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0940	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.328401	+0.71%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0944	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.318501	+0.76%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0783	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.32564	+0.76%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1136	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.318965	+0.78%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0574	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.321172	+0.78%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0295	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.324375	+0.77%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0206	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.323832	+0.82%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0238	✗	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.324099	+0.90%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0580	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.32173	+0.89%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0550	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.322683	+0.87%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0251	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.317154	+0.75%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0013	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.3255	+0.56%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0021	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.333343	+0.80%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0519	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.340064	+0.73%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0530	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.348528	+0.82%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0840	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.358025	+0.71%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1191	✗	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.350035	+0.79%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1164	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.357756	+0.63%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1663	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.361665	+0.49%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1631	✗	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.319623	+0.99%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0113	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.300204	+1.04%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0737	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.296873	+0.91%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1721	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.306639	+0.83%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1582	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.307617	+0.82%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1454	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.313676	+0.93%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1193	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.32383	+0.94%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0878	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.331755	+0.75%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0077	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.330743	+0.38%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0581	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.333377	+0.35%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1116	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.374931	+0.03%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1891	✗	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.371167	+0.10%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1868	✗	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.364074	+0.55%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1670	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.361881	+0.36%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1133	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.379985	+0.05%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1276	✗	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.38421	-0.05%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1394	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.394899	-0.15%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1560	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.400479	-0.13%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0724	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.406332	-0.24%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0722	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.36219	+1.68%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0371	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.365665	+0.26%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0719	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.365925	+0.28%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1364	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.358586	+0.36%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2035	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.347444	+0.48%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2264	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.364118	+0.45%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2363	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.391538	+0.37%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2324	✓	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.409761	+0.31%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1850	✓	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.425472	+0.35%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0696	✓	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.433102	+0.32%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0088	✓	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.427486	+0.35%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0558	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.429869	+0.32%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0856	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.435342	+0.38%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0421	✗	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.434887	+0.41%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0357	✗	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.439549	+0.42%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0062	✗	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.450708	+0.38%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0584	✗	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.434489	+0.44%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0174	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.456394	+0.48%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0105	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.465189	+0.49%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0150	✓	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.476399	+0.51%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0140	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.481901	+0.50%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0255	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.492938	+0.46%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0362	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.51279	+0.41%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0317	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.461058	+0.56%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0293	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.449668	+0.48%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0086	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.454737	+0.47%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0197	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.456132	+0.47%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0256	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.462737	+0.46%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0370	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.454932	+0.52%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0112	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.461003	+0.50%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0175	✓	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.486753	+0.49%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0845	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.501562	+0.41%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0735	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.49319	+0.34%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0762	✗	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.488094	+0.31%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0689	✗	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.493491	+0.24%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0778	✗	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.484412	+0.25%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.1041	✗	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.467845	+0.31%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0789	✗	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.496846	+0.19%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.1068	✗	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.477325	+0.28%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0582	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.479566	+0.29%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0314	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.433554	+0.48%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0731	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.430533	+0.52%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.0935	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.433592	+0.53%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0843	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.44489	+0.49%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0489	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.447979	+0.49%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0868	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.467406	+0.41%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0404	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.477695	+0.36%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0128	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.49731	+0.26%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1339	✗	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.488583	+0.30%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1193	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.455193	+0.53%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0805	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.464991	+0.45%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0707	✗	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.457189	+0.44%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0186	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.452698	+0.49%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0055	✗	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.477544	+0.39%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0104	✗	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.478693	+0.40%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0649	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.483497	+0.39%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0407	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.497055	+0.37%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0152	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.516285	+0.29%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0195	✗	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.522239	+0.26%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0640	✗	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.525472	+0.22%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0880	✗	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.535453	+0.20%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0838	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.526849	+0.28%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1150	✗	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.50623	+0.40%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0642	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.511778	+0.35%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0398	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.520908	+0.31%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0097	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.539948	+0.27%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0577	✗	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.504078	+0.69%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0326	✗	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.54302	+0.30%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0165	✗	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.549346	+0.23%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0196	✗	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.584152	-0.04%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1222	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.601257	-0.27%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1768	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.614829	-0.50%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2153	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.621251	-0.58%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2091	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.601345	-0.46%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1494	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.616331	-0.59%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1906	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.533426	+0.49%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0746	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.456201	+0.97%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1518	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.455419	+0.89%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2020	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.474443	+0.45%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2810	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.512127	+0.34%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.2937	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.503069	+0.41%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2479	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.5159	+0.37%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3104	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.522264	+0.38%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2038	✓	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.523832	+0.45%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0162	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.569508	+0.28%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0127	✗	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.598105	+0.19%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0723	✗	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.62195	+0.09%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0381	✗	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.623641	+0.13%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0034	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.641684	-0.00%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0522	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.640234	-0.06%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0964	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.643564	-0.05%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0653	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.615914	+0.10%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0541	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.643801	-0.02%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0404	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.573444	+0.32%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0572	✓	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.563724	+0.36%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1089	✓	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.611265	+0.24%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1403	✓	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.629563	+0.14%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1419	✓	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.62555	+0.14%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1293	✓	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.631235	+0.15%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.0892	✓	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.610861	+0.31%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1538	✓	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.605293	+0.38%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1317	✓	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.691244	+0.18%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0895	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.741462	-0.06%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1341	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.67935	+0.08%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0530	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.683161	+0.04%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0670	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.664043	+0.08%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0246	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.616553	+0.22%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0487	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.633754	+0.20%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1161	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.666897	+0.12%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0172	✗	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.673446	+0.05%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0108	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.624069	+0.22%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0189	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.61424	+0.27%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0389	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.626858	+0.27%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0287	✓	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.655788	+0.17%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0175	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.676512	+0.06%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0001	✓	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.698638	-0.07%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0193	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.705007	-0.20%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0465	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.614373	-0.36%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0630	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.58552	-0.18%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1411	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.68001	-0.25%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.0937	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.711262	-0.17%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0754	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.702316	-0.34%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0652	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.735088	-0.12%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0637	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.712557	-0.22%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0931	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.719429	-0.29%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0111	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.730545	-0.31%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.1052	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.742521	-0.44%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0986	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.723774	-0.58%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0723	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.682216	-0.67%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0577	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.688433	-0.66%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0663	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.704712	-0.67%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1445	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.690989	-0.56%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1392	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.679634	-0.43%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.1048	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.692276	-0.41%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0948	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.733432	-0.54%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0852	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.71307	-0.37%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0684	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.744298	-0.38%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0968	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.781311	-0.39%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0476	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.80105	-0.42%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0500	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.798659	-0.39%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0647	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.810283	-0.33%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0295	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.