DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1242

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.9822	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8313	-0.34%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0575	-0.37%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5226	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3497	-0.53%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0855	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5639	-0.75%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.3311	-2.68%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1477	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.255	-2.36%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6492	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.9007	-2.76%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2347	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.9636	-2.85%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2656	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.3537	-2.78%	4.08	-25.91%	0.2882	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	9.0014	-1.55%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4680	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	17.1017	-0.86%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6354	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	16.4422	-1.63%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.6367	-3.07%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	23.8651	-2.63%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.3104	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	43.0873	-1.06%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5374	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.7633	-0.81%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6636	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372679	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.00037706	-0.72%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0252	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249133	-0.15%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3653	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268525	-0.18%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0669	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308116	-0.25%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1808	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269801	-0.15%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1528	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280585	-0.15%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0541	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.00030945	-0.24%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0729	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300862	-0.21%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0377	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278526	-0.10%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0237	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302444	-0.15%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0734	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303845	-0.18%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0394	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000331052	-0.29%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0792	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306924	-0.19%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0789	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000326021	-0.24%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0724	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298995	-0.14%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0815	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000304037	-0.15%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0000	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320302	-0.22%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0302	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313886	-0.20%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0214	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000406898	-0.90%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2429	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000365599	-0.54%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1026	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322907	-0.24%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0960	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.00032697	-0.28%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0005	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291657	-0.15%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1390	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226816	+0.05%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2694	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238809	+0.05%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0498	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207143	+0.26%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1293	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213093	+0.28%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0149	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213369	+0.41%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1255	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222422	+0.33%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1949	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265261	+0.14%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1242	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269059	+0.13%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0472	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254327	+0.29%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0225	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272521	+0.23%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0348	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309659	+0.02%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0135	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344489	-0.09%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0986	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412136	-0.33%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0928	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000351617	-0.19%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1613	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.00034493	-0.11%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0064	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345476	-0.01%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0301	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392177	-0.23%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0841	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000409559	-0.25%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0342	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000403875	-0.23%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0163	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360788	-0.03%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1134	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000405161	-0.16%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1360	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446224	-0.22%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0156	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508949	-0.23%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1085	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521834	-0.22%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0039	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540655	-0.23%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0262	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524737	-0.22%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0336	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569636	-0.24%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0564	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000580464	-0.26%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0425	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548609	-0.25%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0249	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000598925	-0.30%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0917	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000648561	-0.36%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0869	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000553374	-0.26%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1655	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000579304	-0.27%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0317	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.00057732	-0.27%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0119	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652784	-0.35%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0671	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686261	-0.41%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0433	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000664696	-0.39%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0154	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626239	-0.34%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0439	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625501	-0.33%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0095	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586928	-0.27%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0403	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000571327	-0.20%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0022	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618877	-0.26%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0573	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000599434	-0.18%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0061	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000614327	-0.19%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0057	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588138	-0.11%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0442	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000627026	-0.11%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0724	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612146	-0.03%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0228	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592069	+0.06%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0419	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615838	+0.09%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0445	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681681	-0.00%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0768	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683394	+0.06%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0006	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690561	+0.12%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0183	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706813	+0.17%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0299	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617837	+0.40%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0736	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627098	+0.42%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0017	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742474	+0.31%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1367	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816047	+0.25%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1299	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000885999	+0.11%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0453	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001041	-0.15%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1178	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001027	-0.11%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0161	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001096	-0.15%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0163	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001225	-0.16%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1202	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.00132	-0.18%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0590	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001343	-0.17%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0591	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001312	-0.15%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0194	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001432	-0.18%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1114	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001478	-0.19%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0280	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001497	-0.20%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0516	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001574	-0.24%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0180	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001591	-0.24%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0565	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001581	-0.19%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1157	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001533	-0.19%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1473	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001554	-0.20%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0010	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.00153	-0.19%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0195	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001594	-0.23%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0280	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001614	-0.23%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0332	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001622	-0.19%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0918	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001516	-0.14%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0971	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001476	-0.10%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0140	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001583	-0.11%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1346	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001774	-0.24%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1006	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001697	-0.19%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0931	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002022	-0.83%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0210	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002385	-1.32%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1140	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001627	-0.21%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3741	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001671	-0.28%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0325	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001291	-0.03%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3011	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001509	-0.11%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1874	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001374	-0.10%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2898	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001547	-0.25%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0431	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001476	-0.21%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1011	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001582	-0.37%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0471	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001689	-0.46%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1112	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001552	-0.25%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0027	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.00193	-0.71%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1777	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001648	-0.31%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0935	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001824	-0.60%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0030	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001745	-0.42%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0366	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001646	-0.42%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3060	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002374	-1.24%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1911	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001516	-0.25%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4412	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001659	-0.37%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1078	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001689	-0.32%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0652	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001765	-0.40%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0329	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.00166	-0.30%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0911	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001839	-0.45%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001995	-0.57%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001812	-0.31%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0760	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001767	-0.20%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002052	-0.41%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001542	+0.11%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2665	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001369	+0.19%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1252	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001891	-0.11%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3050	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002284	-0.25%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2051	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002259	-0.22%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002695	-0.34%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002861	-0.39%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002674	-0.37%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004764	-0.60%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5536	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004983	-0.62%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0196	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.00643	-0.79%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2505	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.00517	-0.71%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1879	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001535	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001321	-0.23%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1364	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001316	-0.26%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001718	-0.24%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2616	✓	1.00