CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s8

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +7d

assessed

78

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0869

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0176

actual -0.0019

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.002254	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.00225	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002234	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002173	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.00225	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002315	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002311	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002279	-1.39%	0.002272	-1.70%	0.0172	✓	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002404	-1.85%	0.002269	-7.35%	0.0746	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002442	-1.92%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0795	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002389	-1.90%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0879	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002434	-1.94%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0566	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002395	-1.95%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0095	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002446	-2.06%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0352	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002303	-1.70%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0006	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002388	-1.80%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0361	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002454	-1.79%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0290	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002552	-1.99%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0232	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002531	-1.93%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0025	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002518	-2.05%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0192	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002489	-1.92%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0155	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002516	-1.84%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0519	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002597	-1.93%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0639	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002666	-1.88%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0762	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002681	-1.85%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0431	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.00274	-1.80%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0722	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002697	-1.68%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0499	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002664	-1.56%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0513	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002636	-1.45%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0308	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002686	-1.63%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0094	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002743	-1.64%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0054	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002741	-1.59%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0144	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002602	-1.86%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0515	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002771	-2.78%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0275	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002639	-2.12%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0076	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002533	-1.94%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0114	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002452	-1.55%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0635	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.00253	-1.88%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0397	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002789	-3.48%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0280	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002799	-3.55%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0693	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002917	-4.01%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0358	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002827	-3.60%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0592	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002862	-3.73%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1019	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002907	-3.69%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1478	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002812	-2.80%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0777	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.00279	-2.23%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0379	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002765	-1.54%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0596	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.0028	-1.57%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0900	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002643	-0.72%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1125	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002657	-0.00%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1281	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002657	-0.82%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1231	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002741	-0.57%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0496	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002776	+0.27%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0257	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002644	+0.50%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0500	✓	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.0029	+0.67%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0238	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002992	+1.00%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.1225	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002988	+2.40%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.1205	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.00283	+2.51%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0496	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003089	+1.71%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.1102	✗	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002918	+2.20%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0511	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002536	+2.27%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0370	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002681	+1.64%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0687	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002873	+1.45%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0311	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002613	-1.15%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1267	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002475	-2.63%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002677	-3.26%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003003	-3.63%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2534	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002589	-3.65%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2557	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002693	-3.77%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2218	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002452	-3.56%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0743	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.00229	-3.33%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.00216	-3.12%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0740	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002132	-3.08%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2428	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001999	-2.73%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4352	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001907	-2.39%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3742	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001885	-2.36%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4244	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001959	-2.60%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2908	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001796	-2.32%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2900	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001797	-2.34%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2340	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001875	-2.68%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1681	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00184	-2.73%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1035	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001845	-2.74%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001872	-2.97%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001809	-2.76%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0739	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001791	-2.47%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0334	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.