CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
32.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2613
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0369
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064147 | -3.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066098 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.064397 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.067698 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.070935 | -4.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.069824 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075314 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.070828 | -3.97% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0532 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.084616 | -4.12% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2093 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092067 | -5.14% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3186 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.088379 | -4.31% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2438 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087779 | -5.00% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1887 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082846 | -4.37% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1417 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070155 | -4.08% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1170 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.06827 | -4.22% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0577 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.082419 | -6.32% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0345 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071028 | -3.94% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2565 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063045 | -3.42% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3448 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066296 | -3.97% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3080 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070043 | -5.38% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1868 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.066564 | -4.70% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0534 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.06627 | -4.38% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0691 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.057775 | -3.45% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4457 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054715 | -3.00% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3336 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052278 | -2.46% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2511 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050384 | -2.32% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3196 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.05078 | -2.59% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3827 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048752 | -2.40% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3659 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051604 | -2.83% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2836 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045994 | -1.74% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2300 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045086 | -1.71% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1835 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043732 | -2.25% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2535 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.046383 | -2.90% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1549 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.054117 | -3.03% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053098 | -3.43% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0791 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.05739 | -4.38% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0663 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.054576 | -4.79% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0315 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.05994 | -6.95% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1002 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046242 | -1.75% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0666 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044317 | -1.23% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1650 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044028 | -1.02% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3204 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045002 | -1.02% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1959 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046753 | -1.46% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1977 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046225 | -1.20% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1452 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046132 | -1.05% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3117 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042807 | -0.35% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0109 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044492 | -0.48% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0524 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045145 | -0.21% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0734 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048426 | -0.73% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1816 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070482 | -3.04% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3784 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068473 | -2.95% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3623 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066421 | -2.87% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3446 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066182 | -2.91% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3854 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067064 | -3.11% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3771 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067649 | -3.26% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3696 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064048 | -3.02% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2550 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068042 | -3.64% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0358 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066907 | -3.64% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0331 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066233 | -3.76% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066584 | -4.01% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0223 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.067153 | -4.20% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0513 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064217 | -4.26% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0766 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061938 | -4.35% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2356 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064518 | -4.84% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3395 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.06543 | -5.14% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5425 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.066431 | -5.95% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5395 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.063252 | -5.78% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6708 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058337 | -6.09% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7266 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.059369 | -9.12% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7114 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053373 | -5.94% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5615 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.051673 | -6.54% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.5038 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.05019 | -8.37% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3649 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042949 | -6.90% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5196 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037536 | -4.70% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5079 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035121 | -4.85% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5018 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034089 | -5.22% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5810 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029256 | -5.05% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6301 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026722 | -3.98% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6826 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024402 | -3.81% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7885 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026495 | -3.99% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5715 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028256 | -4.33% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3833 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026183 | -4.03% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4292 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036211 | -7.69% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0788 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032189 | -6.77% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0614 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025066 | -3.83% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1366 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026112 | -4.35% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0196 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023246 | -3.47% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1611 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021847 | -3.05% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2171 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020429 | -2.66% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3134 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025714 | -5.05% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4421 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022645 | -3.99% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020495 | -3.21% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019435 | -2.81% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.02033 | -3.33% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018019 | -2.53% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2134 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018409 | -2.53% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018226 | -2.37% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3930 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017996 | -2.28% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2507 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017952 | -2.18% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016133 | -1.94% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1915 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018644 | -2.43% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016644 | -2.14% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0904 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015605 | -2.13% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019188 | -2.18% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021193 | -2.55% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021933 | -2.84% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020415 | -2.53% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020672 | -2.67% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022543 | -3.11% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2842 | ✓ | 1.00 |