CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
38.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0834
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0089
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.066109 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068225 | -0.74% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066426 | -0.69% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0420 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.069943 | -0.76% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0459 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073343 | -0.80% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0353 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072179 | -0.78% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0232 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077834 | -0.84% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0723 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073167 | -0.79% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0745 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087391 | -0.97% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1835 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095753 | -1.35% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0698 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091386 | -1.06% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0400 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091206 | -1.29% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0210 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085716 | -1.06% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0792 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.072451 | -0.94% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1881 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070541 | -1.04% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0181 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086423 | -1.76% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2240 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073251 | -0.93% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1803 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064752 | -0.80% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1229 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068352 | -0.99% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0233 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072908 | -1.51% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0515 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068973 | -1.25% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0664 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068551 | -1.09% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0358 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059334 | -0.84% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1542 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055998 | -0.72% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0689 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053275 | -0.60% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0426 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051284 | -0.57% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0447 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051789 | -0.65% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04964 | -0.62% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0449 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.05271 | -0.75% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0537 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046591 | -0.47% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1074 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045654 | -0.48% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0200 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044483 | -0.58% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1123 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047378 | -0.82% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0584 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055387 | -0.76% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1424 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054512 | -0.86% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1042 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.05931 | -1.19% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0720 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056547 | -1.36% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0701 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.063136 | -1.98% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1517 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04691 | -0.34% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3491 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044771 | -0.22% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0393 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044404 | -0.17% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0117 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045388 | -0.17% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047315 | -0.28% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0823 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046683 | -0.22% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0123 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046538 | -0.18% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0102 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042946 | -0.02% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0530 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044682 | -0.05% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0276 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045252 | +0.02% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048736 | -0.09% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1134 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072205 | -0.67% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3233 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070095 | -0.65% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0348 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067948 | -0.64% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0170 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067723 | -0.65% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0257 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.06873 | -0.70% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0185 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069412 | -0.74% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0042 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065584 | -0.70% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0206 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.07002 | -0.84% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.068847 | -0.85% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0341 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068207 | -0.90% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0098 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.0687 | -0.96% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0240 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069383 | -1.02% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0119 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.06635 | -1.08% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0323 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064057 | -1.07% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1730 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.06698 | -1.21% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0652 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068095 | -1.28% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1674 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069528 | -1.57% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066106 | -1.53% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1363 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.061055 | -1.72% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0871 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.06352 | -2.76% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0204 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055826 | -1.61% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1385 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054254 | -1.88% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0454 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053395 | -2.52% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0299 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.04522 | -1.98% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1767 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038918 | -1.19% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1362 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03644 | -1.28% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0756 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.035457 | -1.42% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0408 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030412 | -1.30% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1915 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02759 | -0.86% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.0980 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025171 | -0.78% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1216 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027358 | -0.87% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0533 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029234 | -1.02% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0589 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.027029 | -0.93% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1184 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038377 | -2.16% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3438 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033898 | -1.82% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0716 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.02584 | -0.86% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3272 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.027024 | -1.01% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0339 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023897 | -0.77% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1401 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022382 | -0.67% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0022 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020867 | -0.57% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026766 | -1.16% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023377 | -0.89% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021025 | -0.71% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019871 | -0.63% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0701 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020875 | -0.74% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0627 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018385 | -0.55% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018782 | -0.56% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.01857 | -0.52% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018323 | -0.50% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018262 | -0.49% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016385 | -0.41% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1176 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019006 | -0.53% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016931 | -0.44% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015881 | -0.40% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019521 | -0.48% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021621 | -0.58% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022426 | -0.65% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020824 | -0.57% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021107 | -0.63% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023094 | -0.73% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |