AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0656

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0176

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020557	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.020599	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019098	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.019957	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.018884	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.019881	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021323	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019864	-3.31%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0361	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.01824	-2.18%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1223	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.01894	-2.25%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0413	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018445	-1.98%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1130	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020203	-2.22%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0162	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021875	-2.65%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0415	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019607	-1.69%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1371	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019604	-1.65%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0410	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021856	-2.14%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1379	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021405	-1.59%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0674	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022112	-1.79%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1083	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022486	-1.74%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0477	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022418	-1.82%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0269	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02237	-1.83%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0884	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022597	-1.55%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0827	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02321	-1.83%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0345	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022221	-1.38%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0478	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021593	-1.17%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0101	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024481	-1.78%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0930	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025013	-1.96%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0953	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.02433	-1.85%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023725	-1.54%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022961	-1.37%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0390	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024327	-1.12%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023123	-0.86%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020783	-1.67%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1418	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021003	-1.72%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1561	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021197	-1.86%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1175	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019943	-2.30%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0891	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020078	-2.42%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0453	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.02072	-2.75%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020021	-2.06%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019838	-2.09%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021076	-2.29%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020098	-1.71%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018379	-1.38%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019852	-1.33%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0635	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020256	-1.20%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0877	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.02059	-0.89%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020543	-0.29%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020573	-0.09%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0800	✗	1.00