AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0358

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.318811	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339194	-1.17%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0525	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.413185	-2.29%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1916	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.314613	-1.47%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2967	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.371262	-1.89%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1547	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.290894	-0.89%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2638	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.281704	-1.02%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0451	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.265054	-1.30%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0675	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.23584	-0.62%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1416	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.23115	-0.41%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0160	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227352	-0.39%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0356	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.231581	-0.40%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0206	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237695	-0.42%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0250	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.23116	-0.38%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0252	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225362	-0.35%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0424	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231656	-0.38%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0060	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.24404	-0.45%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0466	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260653	-0.55%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0554	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.26474	-0.60%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0241	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258764	-0.57%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0270	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257056	-0.58%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0151	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244236	-0.56%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0465	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243823	-0.58%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0079	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241763	-0.59%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0128	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250827	-0.66%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0227	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.243938	-0.68%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0341	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.261819	-0.81%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0666	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253401	-0.86%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0432	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.250574	-0.96%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0198	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.254414	-1.10%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0094	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245306	-1.03%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0509	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.235764	-1.31%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0007	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223129	-1.14%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0690	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.231374	-1.79%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0283	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.256302	-2.58%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1447	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155258	-0.32%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5247	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158756	-0.37%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0269	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163937	-0.49%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0065	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.17093	-0.82%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0555	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.166302	-0.27%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0421	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.152996	-0.20%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0853	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.148197	-0.17%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0246	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.158098	-0.16%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0397	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165668	-0.17%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0429	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160133	-0.07%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0447	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165633	-0.04%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0157	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.170386	-0.04%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0349	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.172242	-0.03%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0126	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.196026	-0.06%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1086	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183986	-0.12%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0110	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.189933	-0.14%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0294	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.193458	-0.10%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190871	-0.09%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0029	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199431	-0.13%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0358	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.201694	-0.15%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0148	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208237	-0.13%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0005	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210356	-0.19%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0242	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.2088	-0.19%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0031	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201599	-0.10%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0427	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206595	-0.22%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0396	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202997	-0.25%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0110	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204331	-0.28%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0124	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190166	-0.44%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0033	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.17907	-0.46%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0115	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169769	-0.52%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0146	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.173171	-0.56%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0181	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.173024	-0.59%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0221	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.177245	-0.62%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0150	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.17753	-0.63%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0038	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.179096	-0.64%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0055	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183621	-0.66%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0188	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189819	-0.70%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0243	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.201451	-0.76%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0456	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205785	-0.83%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0030	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204716	-0.89%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0146	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.208069	-1.04%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0076	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.188601	-0.84%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.0980	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.180236	-0.78%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0596	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.166604	-0.68%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0772	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.170322	-0.80%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0253	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.181066	-0.79%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0525	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.170156	-0.81%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0575	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.15999	-0.47%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0708	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.151396	-0.40%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0944	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149604	-0.33%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0010	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152767	-0.35%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0185	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.154033	-0.33%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0076	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161693	-0.44%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0159	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.163013	-0.42%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0226	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153879	-0.31%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0581	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.153141	-0.33%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0253	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157493	-0.38%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0064	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159304	-0.40%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0001	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155366	-0.34%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0063	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153411	-0.32%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0067	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.154224	-0.34%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0001	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.15745	-0.35%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0337	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158964	-0.37%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0084	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163447	-0.43%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0069	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.161144	-0.41%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0234	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.15692	-0.31%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0212	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.162145	-0.40%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166622	-0.43%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0226	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168821	-0.46%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0020	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167316	-0.44%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166199	-0.42%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0073	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.17034	-0.44%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0008	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178494	-0.48%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0293	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179402	-0.50%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0083	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182949	-0.54%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0243	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176274	-0.55%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0316	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170016	-0.55%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0216	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.173753	-0.57%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0484	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.160599	-0.53%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0554	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.165243	-0.52%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0101	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166099	-0.51%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0141	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.167988	-0.51%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0033	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.172213	-0.51%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0183	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.169999	-0.50%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0120	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.173726	-0.50%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0094	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.180916	-0.51%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0026	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.186493	-0.56%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0000	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.189942	-0.61%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0268	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.196883	-0.74%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0105	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.188864	-0.78%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0348	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.191725	-1.22%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0189	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.201194	-1.23%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0058	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.197663	-1.07%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0527	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.195132	-1.00%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0363	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.19169	-0.88%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0170	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.188808	-0.84%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0008	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.188989	-1.05%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.191662	-1.18%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.173859	-0.88%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.174353	-0.80%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.18193	-0.91%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.181654	-1.01%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.175897	-0.74%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.175647	-0.71%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0118	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.190358	-0.75%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.208442	-0.65%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.204722	-0.76%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0646	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220564	-0.60%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221032	-0.57%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217635	-0.56%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.216976	-0.58%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.213759	-0.58%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.221014	-0.62%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.226169	-0.54%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231922	-0.59%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229876	-0.66%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0112	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240649	-0.72%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0434	✓	1.00