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2022-09-09 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3532
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 89.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000363846-15.51%0.00030654-28.82%0.1244✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.34e-7-13.33%5.37e-7-26.58%0.0995✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.5934-12.27%5.7888-22.97%0.1023✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.180575-12.04%0.2155+4.97%0.2569✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.061579-11.66%0.05915-15.15%0.0643✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12614.3325-11.12%13.193-18.19%0.0252✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.0617-10.70%14.608+17.93%0.3237✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.700886-10.65%0.6442-17.87%0.0491✓1.42210k2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.0101-10.39%3.5064-21.65%0.0816✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.2688-10.08%0.844-40.18%0.2544✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.059,390.60-10.04%8,080.63-22.59%0.0199✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.37445-10.01%0.31729-23.75%0.0761✓0.95392k2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.147732-9.97%0.1463-10.85%0.0782✓0.931,1642022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.2153-9.81%3.692-21.01%0.0485✓0.89298k2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4229.269-9.72%25.89-20.14%0.0386✓1.71185k2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.7666-9.60%5.43-14.88%0.0201✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.3124-9.15%5.1729-25.55%0.1786✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.800604-9.13%0.7352-16.55%0.0092✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.525006-8.98%0.516-10.54%0.0556✓0.77867k2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.947587-8.89%0.854-17.88%0.0684✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.5403-8.59%1.55-8.01%0.0771✓0.7551k2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.473-8.41%12.43-15.50%0.0186✓1.05925k2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.487826-8.37%0.4026-24.38%0.1266✓0.69467k2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.395.8559-8.36%5.63-11.89%0.0041✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.1592-8.12%1.8-23.40%0.0736✓1.15232k2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0916.6263-8.09%15.1-16.53%0.0353✓0.65396k2022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.9428-7.97%1.704-19.28%0.0075✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,470.07-7.97%1,282.56-19.70%0.0422✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.886111-7.89%0.882-8.32%0.1117✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.016954-7.78%0.015117-17.77%0.0205✓1.004152022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.128135-7.75%0.1466+5.54%0.2128✗0.8324k2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.114585-7.74%0.069-44.44%0.4431✓0.68195k2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.3075-7.73%6.59-16.79%0.0014✓1.08255k2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1936.172-7.70%26.97-31.18%0.1567✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.103991-7.65%0.0963-14.48%0.0215✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.475.9765-7.63%6.4-1.08%0.1115✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.3726-7.57%1.564+5.32%0.2344✗1.1071k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.066674-7.46%0.06824-5.29%0.0357✓0.13397k2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.03618-7.40%0.03037-22.27%0.0809✓1.0072k2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.021808-7.24%0.02177-7.40%0.0735✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.022486-7.24%0.026132+7.81%0.1562✗0.06465k2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.635549-7.22%0.585-14.60%0.0051✓0.83129k2022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7113-7.10%1.131-38.60%0.3295✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2233.9284-6.98%3.707-12.22%0.0134✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6548.9838-6.96%43.67-17.06%0.0248✓0.96395k2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.679745-6.88%0.6-17.81%0.0964✓0.3052k2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.2577-6.84%1.2235-9.38%0.0610✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010421-6.77%0.01046-6.42%0.0979✗1.005862022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.699.9763-6.68%9.36-12.44%0.0515✓1.22281k2022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.7149-6.62%5.026-17.88%0.0845✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.347567-6.59%0.2904-21.96%0.0821✓1.0471k2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.1201-6.56%11.0215-15.03%0.0085✓0.9222k2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.059825-6.52%0.057-10.94%0.0643✓1.20608k2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4121-6.51%2.03-21.32%0.1079✓0.69262k2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.14483-6.44%0.1452-6.20%0.1010✗1.04421k2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.524979-6.42%0.492-12.30%0.0364✓1.0757k2022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.127113-6.40%0.1177-13.33%0.0758✓0.0187k2022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.0468-6.37%3.71-14.16%0.0590✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0161.8774-6.26%54.8-16.98%0.0139✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.8849-6.22%1.613-19.75%0.0037✓1.6165k2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.289902-6.21%0.224-27.53%0.1629✓1.0195k2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0567-6.17%1.728-21.17%0.0699✓1.1134k2022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.3416-6.06%8.02-9.68%0.0050✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.0669-5.99%4.8-10.95%0.0124✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04690.985567-5.86%0.9431-9.91%0.0057✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.738-5.80%1.732-6.12%0.0793✗0.88627k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.1195-5.78%2.8703-13.31%0.0084✓0.9719k2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.3033-5.78%4.5126-1.19%0.1933✗1.55129k2022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.00595-5.73%0.006271-0.63%0.0929✗0.4336k2022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1952-5.67%1.7824-23.41%0.1054✓1.0913k2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.6075-5.64%18.05+16.60%0.2956✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.003928-5.57%0.00353-15.14%0.0199✓0.92111k2022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001311-5.55%0.0009941-28.37%0.2060✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.360255-5.52%0.3386-11.20%0.0425✓1.11348k2022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.392676-5.49%0.3236-22.12%0.0925✓1.07215k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.040257-5.43%0.037252-12.49%0.0309✓0.5025k2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009193-5.43%0.0063-35.19%0.3076✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8364-5.42%2.253-24.87%0.0971✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.049184-5.42%0.0423-18.65%0.0683✓0.88204k2022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.420079-5.39%0.413-6.98%0.0769✗1.007,7812022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.024602-5.38%0.02333-10.27%0.0640✗1.242,9582022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2125.752-5.36%24.14-11.28%0.0231✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.810687-5.34%0.8318-2.87%0.1551✗1.3794k2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.169311-5.32%0.15261-14.66%0.0152✓0.94268k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3071-5.29%1.217-11.81%0.0387✓1.17385k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.169-5.27%1.084-12.16%0.0106✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.62e-7-5.26%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0293✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4026-5.23%1.16-21.62%0.1037✓0.9181k2022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.528721-5.23%0.45944-17.64%0.0234✓1.2441k2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.262193-5.17%0.2675-3.25%0.0959✗0.8184k2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.275128-5.13%0.23395-19.33%0.0690✓0.9914k2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2598-5.01%1.3862+4.52%0.1995✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.428774-4.99%0.3586-20.54%0.0692✓1.1675k2022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.049223-4.97%0.0386-25.48%0.1518✓0.97546k2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007465-4.78%0.00655-16.45%0.0306✓1.06406k2022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.147-4.75%0.8827-26.70%0.1249✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.5677-4.72%1.4242-13.44%0.0029✓1.05247k2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.4722-4.71%1.285-16.83%0.0313✓1.1143k2022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005567-4.68%0.00499-14.55%0.0508✓0.62951k2022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.3598.5664-4.63%156.03+50.97%0.5334✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.00155-4.56%0.001377-15.21%0.0559✓0.667,1022022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6949.3364-4.55%59.1+14.34%0.2944✗1.219,1802022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.7919-4.54%5.02+0.00%0.1225✗0.81943k2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.8179-4.54%5.265+4.32%0.2118✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042532-4.51%0.00004076-8.49%0.0337✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.0955-4.46%3.019-6.82%0.0272✓0.55720k2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.7912-4.35%5.854-17.55%0.0688✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.03743-4.27%0.034-13.04%0.0145✓0.8777k2022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1558.5489-4.25%53.93-11.81%0.0085✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.887965-4.21%0.782722-15.57%0.0505✓0.8052k2022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.366185-4.14%0.3281-14.11%0.0100✓1.066802022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.109713-4.10%0.1288+12.58%0.2389✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.099203-4.06%0.0846-18.18%0.0932✓0.702,7842022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.5779-4.03%16.91-17.11%0.0329✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.044365-4.02%0.041301-10.65%0.0039✓0.8029k2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.311751-3.96%0.3389+4.41%0.1657✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.038-3.93%1.0032-7.15%0.0412✗0.8038k2022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.30174-3.89%0.272878-13.08%0.0048✓1.02514k2022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.005976-3.84%0.005787-6.89%0.0328✓0.692,0942022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.144193-3.81%0.1309-12.68%0.0046✓0.98128k2022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012749-3.76%0.011043-16.64%0.0846✓0.63929k2022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.045718-3.75%0.0405-14.74%0.0365✓0.90138k2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.321323-3.73%0.36474+9.27%0.1987✗0.76332k2022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51253.4452-3.72%49.815-10.26%0.0005✓0.75287k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.204647-3.70%0.1578-25.74%0.1506✓1.16111k2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8648-3.68%1.7097-11.69%0.0116✓1.0523k2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.46-3.67%7.634-1.42%0.1164✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002793-3.65%0.00221-23.77%0.1509✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.479185-3.58%0.372-25.15%0.1409✓1.194,5592022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.4813-3.58%6.478-16.51%0.0502✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.090549-3.57%0.0817-12.99%0.0173✓0.9113k2022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012464-3.53%0.00001104-14.55%0.0356✓0.91898k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.130538-3.52%0.1292-4.51%0.0861✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.4483-3.51%4.34-5.86%0.0255✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.095061-3.49%0.1144+16.14%0.2704✗0.90359k2022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.178643-3.49%0.1601-13.51%0.0122✓1.291,5202022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6549-3.46%2.276-17.24%0.0758✓0.83630k2022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.780276-3.44%0.69192-14.37%0.0426✓0.82537k2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.342091-3.41%0.30141-14.90%0.0362✓0.9635k2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.044619-3.40%0.04054-12.23%0.0293✓0.7114k2022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036329-3.38%0.037-1.60%0.0866✗0.727,8252022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.110542-3.37%0.0973-14.95%0.0507✓0.82169k2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.065075-3.35%0.06045-10.22%0.0093✓0.886022022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0147.3797-3.33%42.99-12.28%0.0074✓0.95338k2022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.2943-3.29%9.025-6.10%0.0569✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.1329-3.28%0.1262-8.15%0.0050✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.485934-3.24%0.423-15.77%0.0542✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.020572-3.24%0.01851-12.94%0.0366✓0.73234k2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.164909-3.23%0.16431-3.58%0.1998✗2.164042022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.268226-3.17%0.248-10.47%0.0099✓0.73563k2022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1488.266-3.15%75.5-17.16%0.0220✓1.426.0M2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9128.7387-3.13%117.18-11.83%0.0109✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.207844-3.10%0.1989-7.27%0.0728✗1.24139k2022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.949268-3.09%0.836-14.65%0.0177✓1.16899k2022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.66975-3.08%0.59-14.62%0.0201✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.28329-3.05%0.2723-6.81%0.0471✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,667.12-3.03%1,323.41-23.02%0.1088✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.061678-3.02%0.0611-3.93%0.0664✗0.8082k2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.137027-3.02%0.12637-10.56%0.0247✓1.12163k2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.531701-2.97%0.452-17.52%0.0593✓1.0977k2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29156.5662-2.93%145.74-9.64%0.0229✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.215309-2.88%0.1993-10.10%0.0123✓0.9557k2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021164-2.87%0.019486-10.57%0.0095✓0.7813k2022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058531-2.77%0.0491-18.44%0.0904✓0.9180k2022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.222864-2.76%0.1679-26.75%0.2111✓0.7767k2022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.00319-2.74%0.00335+2.13%0.1393✗0.96483k2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.386751-2.71%0.3903-1.82%0.0960✗0.9231k2022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012026-2.71%0.0124+0.32%0.0915✗0.65228k2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3915-2.69%1.58+10.49%0.1068✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.25e-7-2.63%7.80e-7-17.89%0.0988✓0.7615k2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.323325-2.61%0.2876-13.37%0.0183✓1.0587k2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.3439-2.55%6.633+1.89%0.1616✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.643295-2.38%0.607-7.89%0.0287✗0.92178k2022-10-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2816.8735-2.35%15.46-10.53%0.0122✓0.801.6M2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8563-2.27%4.1088-17.31%0.1586✓0.09115k2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.5132-2.17%13.53-19.85%0.0966✓1.0987k2022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.225251-1.94%0.229-0.30%0.1005✗0.89537k2022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8020,977.33-1.85%19,442.20-9.03%0.0128✓0.9413k2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038302-1.69%0.03485-10.55%0.0216✓0.772,4552022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001529-1.42%0.001516-2.26%0.0636✗0.77374k2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.835176-1.34%0.81537-3.68%0.0615✗0.9114k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.49281-1.30%0.4318-13.52%0.0288✓1.10384k2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,112.36-1.18%19,443.47-8.99%0.0119✓1.00480.9M2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.063174-1.17%0.062134-2.79%0.0792✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.052582-0.98%0.0621+16.95%0.2613✗1.01234k2022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.07346-0.82%0.06092-17.75%0.0822✓1.1125k2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.836-0.76%2.43+31.35%0.3208✗0.4363k2022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.4939-0.57%32.93-5.07%0.0532✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063139-0.38%0.062443-1.48%0.0446✗0.59123k2022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.3316+0.41%4.3572+1.01%0.0782✓0.77724k2022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.