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2022-07-27 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1893
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.0510.934443-11.09%1.019-3.04%0.3222✗1.871.1M2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9429.6768-9.91%33.91+2.94%0.3083✗1.391.3M2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.746364-8.42%0.517-36.56%0.1763✓1.513,1392022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.419109-8.09%0.3983-12.65%0.0752✓1.00222k2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.7963-8.02%2.25-25.99%0.0760✓1.12175k2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000091158-7.85%0.00012306+24.40%0.5404✗1.90692k2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.3101-7.56%12.27-20.74%0.0299✓1.461.4M2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2619.7223-7.23%37.39+75.87%0.8233✗1.46482k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum33.6431.2317-7.16%31.1-7.55%0.1219✗1.00172k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.010381-6.39%0.00765-31.02%0.1446✓1.27352k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.281715-5.91%0.2645-11.66%0.0829✗1.16331k2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.8899-5.70%17.22+2.20%0.1914✗0.882.4M2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.690638-5.13%0.67-7.97%0.1874✗1.735.2M2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum97.192.1591-5.09%98.23+1.16%0.1917✗1.014.0M2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.020226-4.93%0.020726-2.58%0.1491✗0.997,5982022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.072761-4.87%0.07015-8.29%0.1301✗1.3227k2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.0190.970422-4.76%0.86751-14.86%0.0288✓1.129,1202022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.091222-4.49%0.08526-10.73%0.0586✗1.00785k2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.93216-4.40%0.9592-1.63%0.1453✗0.923.6M2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.250081-4.40%0.2611-0.19%0.0443✓0.0131k2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019119-4.38%0.023198+16.01%0.2571✗0.51163k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.1912-4.15%1.632-28.61%0.1129✓1.44144k2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.1245-3.96%13.3-20.79%0.0175✓1.391.3M2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3651-3.87%1.36-4.23%0.0271✓0.24283k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.169053-3.67%0.15418-12.15%0.2035✗2.341,1272022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.182958-3.50%0.1619-14.61%0.0482✗1.351,0652022-08-26
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.383373-3.14%–pending––0.863902022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.6328-3.13%2.723-27.39%0.0675✓1.753.8M2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.455913-3.12%0.3879-17.57%0.0210✓1.1142k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.213-2.93%4.149+25.35%0.3325✗0.611.5M2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97356.3567-2.79%52.147-10.05%0.0282✓0.84369k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.475269-2.61%0.431-11.68%0.0480✗1.1612k2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.153607-2.60%0.1396-11.48%0.0642✗1.27395k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.029219-2.57%0.0246-17.97%0.0052✓1.321,3002022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.045052-2.53%0.04458-3.55%0.1048✗0.9115k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0265-2.37%2.49-19.68%0.1346✓0.4877k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.052897-2.33%0.045497-15.99%0.0729✓0.6220k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.945103-2.26%0.7053-27.06%0.0713✓1.75551k2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.4884-2.09%2.1662-14.77%0.0596✗1.579,9702022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.8325-2.06%5.692+45.46%0.4645✗0.552.0M2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.01e-7-2.04%8.60e-7-6.52%0.0794✗1.0025k2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.498-2.04%2.16-15.29%0.0467✗1.52192k2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.562-1.95%1.773+11.30%0.2029✗0.60229k2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.184.1011-1.89%4.47+6.94%0.1772✗0.72612k2022-08-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03091.0128-1.75%–pending––1.0211k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration62.361.2351-1.71%44.52-28.54%0.1677✓1.20244k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.135.0459-1.64%5.23+1.95%0.1150✗0.63713k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.047428-1.59%0.043805-9.11%0.0712✗1.1926k2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.3065-1.40%1.0529-20.54%0.0279✓1.495.2M2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.398-1.26%0.33161-17.73%0.0030✓1.42592k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.745-1.19%4.774-30.06%0.1293✓1.7111.5M2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035289-1.15%0.0358+0.28%0.1691✗1.2368k2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.5062-1.10%1.223-19.70%0.0270✓1.44316k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1517.0722-1.10%5.748-19.62%0.0461✓1.285.5M2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.072537-1.07%0.06625-9.64%0.0023✓0.741,4882022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.42833-1.04%0.36828-14.91%0.0536✓0.7752k2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.225-0.90%5.0866+126.54%0.9391✗0.89971k2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.9641-0.88%6.154-23.41%0.0820✓1.396.2M2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.4105-0.83%3.69+51.81%0.5504✗0.99806k2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.6255-0.83%1.386-15.44%0.0203✗1.42212k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001474-0.78%0.001486+0.00%0.1386✗1.0420k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.883032-0.77%0.7751-12.90%0.0503✗1.431.4M2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.026697-0.75%0.02186-18.74%0.0025✓1.5611.5M2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.8128-0.75%6.504-5.24%0.1138✗1.2716.2M2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.94916-0.72%0.77813-18.61%0.0278✓1.35392k2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.5686-0.68%5.97+29.78%0.3454✗0.62579k2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.7111-0.58%1.942-28.79%0.1113✓1.7692k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.4024-0.57%4.124+20.51%0.2805✗0.70488k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008493-0.55%0.00657-23.07%0.1420✓0.911.6M2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3726-0.54%1.0685-22.57%0.0684✓1.44966k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.572554-0.53%0.4773-17.08%0.0322✓1.19624k2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.53e-7-0.50%7.57e-7+113.21%0.8815✗0.95212k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.040839-0.42%0.03783-7.75%0.0455✗0.971,9372022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.7461-0.39%1.683-3.99%0.1262✗1.29626k2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4942-0.38%1.29-14.00%0.0290✗1.39114k2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.3501-0.37%1.151-15.06%0.0045✗1.302.4M2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.184097-0.33%0.1562-15.43%0.0095✗1.381,5612022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.327814-0.27%0.2831-13.87%0.0002✓1.167.7M2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.2536-0.26%7.32+16.75%0.3215✗1.30248k2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.085408-0.22%0.1006+17.52%0.2712✗0.85153k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.082194-0.13%0.0634-22.96%0.1063✓1.22157k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.313575+0.06%0.3323+6.03%0.2061✓1.1773k2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9254.9738+0.10%45.92-16.39%0.0033✗1.4032k2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum29.4329.4598+0.10%25.97-11.76%0.0054✗0.9610.5M2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4444+0.14%4.225+73.08%0.6638✓0.9293k2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.152826+0.15%0.1273-16.58%0.0215✗1.282.8M2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.9153+0.16%11.744+200.43%1.1749✓0.611.1M2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.976499+0.16%0.8001-17.93%0.0086✓1.65209k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.512146+0.17%0.4317-15.57%0.0107✗1.2743.2M2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.028728+0.20%0.03689+28.67%0.4087✓1.2614k2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.31610.3431+0.26%11.554+12.00%0.2845✓1.3813.7M2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.696865+0.27%0.662-4.75%0.0724✓0.98360k2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.23816+0.28%0.2082-12.34%0.0226✓1.24117k2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.226425+0.32%0.2245-0.53%0.1790✓1.4999k2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.20767+0.32%0.17-17.87%0.0081✗1.52803k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.12694.1409+0.34%3.1205-24.39%0.1450✗1.0926k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.53420.5361+0.36%0.5343+0.02%0.1448✓1.171.5M2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4479+0.37%1.7235+19.47%0.3549✓1.43561k2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5923,064.87+0.45%20,240.72-11.85%0.0044✓1.00414.2M2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.006799+0.52%0.006665-1.46%0.0478✓0.5442k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.3564+0.52%4.7881+104.26%0.8076✓0.78884k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000042134+0.56%0.00003668-12.46%0.0100✓1.181.7M2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7568+0.58%2.7-1.50%0.1190✓1.11597k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.065795+0.60%0.0574-12.23%0.0127✗0.98183k2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.063697+0.63%0.0599-5.37%0.1183✓1.43337k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.840425+0.65%0.928+11.14%0.1888✓0.711.2M2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.114565+0.67%0.1029-9.58%0.0287✓1.08362k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.310374+0.71%0.28099-8.83%0.0676✓1.3210k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.10365+0.73%0.0887-13.80%0.0117✓1.33491k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.052484+0.74%0.0472-9.40%0.0611✓1.33765k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.00917+0.76%0.00848-6.81%0.0459✓0.984.4M2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.3197+0.79%12.1201-8.29%0.0558✓1.1970k2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.3549+0.84%5.13-3.39%0.1353✓1.41939k2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.7521+0.85%6.922-9.95%0.0464✓1.279.0M2022-08-26
DASHDashDash48.0648.4676+0.85%44.3-7.82%0.0502✓1.11570k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.600275+0.89%0.509-14.45%0.0146✓1.4283k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.3279+0.91%0.9578-27.22%0.1692✗1.251.2M2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.41350.417286+0.92%0.3612-12.65%0.0142✓1.26606k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.718681+0.94%0.546-23.31%0.0835✗1.5280k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.7088+0.95%5.671+0.28%0.1322✓1.101.9M2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.725837+0.95%0.647-10.01%0.0427✓1.25149k2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.24723+0.95%0.2213-9.64%0.0364✓1.17701k2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00572.0251+0.97%1.7741-11.55%0.0218✓1.2222k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.053533+0.97%0.06321+19.22%0.3494✓1.45766k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.00313+0.99%0.00312+0.68%0.1232✓1.001.0M2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.120881+0.99%0.1012-15.46%0.0509✗1.015,4502022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.973374+1.00%0.8801-8.68%0.0231✓0.9851k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.051954+1.08%0.0498-3.11%0.1427✓1.47109k2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,654.08+1.08%1,508.02-7.85%0.0664✓1.26371.8M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.004307+1.09%0.00391-8.22%0.0713✓1.33106k2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.400215+1.12%0.3556-10.16%0.0517✓1.3586k2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.657592+1.12%0.55641-14.44%0.0271✓1.5479k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.113994+1.18%0.103859-7.82%0.0333✓1.006.8M2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001079+1.19%0.001375+28.91%0.4070✓1.311.6M2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.3504+1.24%9.232-9.70%0.0246✓1.102.1M2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.341828+1.24%0.34+0.70%0.1462✓1.20407k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.1214+1.26%1.0508-5.12%0.0714✓1.0843k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5816+1.28%2.035-20.16%0.0569✗1.4343k2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.39864+1.29%0.33605-14.61%0.0161✗1.23118k2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.423.7092+1.32%20.68-11.62%0.0665✓1.6127.5M2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.01479+1.32%0.01333-8.68%0.0081✓0.891.2M2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.7806+1.36%2.681-28.12%0.2316✗0.89711k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum94.796.0205+1.39%82.72-12.65%0.0620✓1.678.3M2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.018304+1.41%0.01586-12.13%0.0479✗0.76284k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003560.003611+1.42%0.00303-14.89%0.0089✓1.32505k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative1.7761.8021+1.47%1.851+4.22%0.1871✓1.27413k2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.902076+1.49%1.2489+40.52%0.4749✓1.191.2M2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.72164.1532+1.50%142.81-11.69%0.0005✓1.111.3M2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.780.792571+1.61%0.73-6.41%0.0043✓0.6279k2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.128041+1.62%0.1207-4.21%0.1055✓1.3054k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5023,266.24+1.64%20,587.80-10.06%0.0010✓0.9819k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.36e-7+1.76%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0324✓0.845.9M2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0460.1556+1.89%52.71-10.72%0.0132✓1.1513.5M2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.31368+1.89%0.289082-6.10%0.0810✓1.291.0M2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.116363+1.89%0.2077+81.87%0.7198✓1.11617k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.253383+1.97%0.2433-2.09%0.0975✓1.0962k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.3969+1.97%15.52-3.48%0.1172✓1.3697k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.113393+1.97%0.1024-7.91%0.0728✓1.392.5M2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.055.1514+2.01%6.04+19.60%0.2409✓0.65514k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.068513+2.05%0.063531-5.37%0.0700✓1.151.7M2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.458303+2.05%0.3397-24.36%0.1123✗1.48220k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.132163+2.21%0.1246-3.63%0.0686✓1.013.1M2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39130.2206+2.22%116.16-8.82%0.0308✓1.153.9M2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana40.2441.2083+2.41%31.74-21.12%0.0886✗1.3781.8M2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.301109+2.42%0.274-6.80%0.0377✓1.05620k2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.044371+2.47%0.0378-12.70%0.0103✓1.357,1312022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.070467+2.50%0.061552-10.47%0.0355✗0.79376k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.051459+2.51%0.0433-13.75%0.0194✓1.21256k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.528373+2.52%0.4491-12.86%0.0200✓1.13350k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.725847+2.52%0.925+30.65%0.3952✓1.21776k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.19394.3013+2.56%4.3799+4.44%0.1084✓0.72930k2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.89.0263+2.57%10.53+19.66%0.2985✓1.14241k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.157341+2.58%0.13148-14.28%0.0170✓1.56191k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.6859+2.59%1.4828-9.77%0.0307✓1.26492k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.070766+2.71%0.0626-9.14%0.0122✓1.07284k2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.998.2159+2.83%8.31+4.01%0.0760✓0.51808k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.147,379.98+2.93%8,981.54+25.26%0.3642✓1.334.0M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.148759+2.95%0.143-1.04%0.1182✓1.2587k2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.3524+2.97%5.1494-0.94%0.0131✓0.20214k2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.083467+3.17%0.0857+5.93%0.1791✓1.215,6912022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.307979+3.31%0.2792-6.34%0.0529✓1.202.7M2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash61.7563.8231+3.36%61.1-1.05%0.1196✓1.291.4M2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.006158+3.79%0.005538-6.65%0.0054✓0.883,8542022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011993+3.92%0.00001243+7.71%0.1936✓1.25986k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.021417+5.55%0.02334+15.03%0.2160✓1.03136k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.