2022-01-22 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0498

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.90%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

25.9%

in alpha space · 35.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.052944	+8.14%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.2428	✗	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.4677	+6.73%	6.72	+10.89%	0.0267	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.959442	+6.60%	0.92	+2.22%	0.1305	✗	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	100.2788	+6.01%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0707	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.439975	+5.69%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.2794	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.750843	+5.60%	0.64	-9.99%	0.2195	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.52332	+5.51%	0.444	-10.48%	0.2494	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.00002165	+5.45%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.0281	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.842105	+5.43%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.1136	✗	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.07716	+5.41%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1755	✗	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.9891	+5.26%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0108	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	99.7545	+5.25%	82.97	-12.46%	0.2498	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	103.9357	+5.22%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0274	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.820698	+5.22%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.2030	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.119352	+5.16%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0437	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8599	+5.08%	1.57	-11.30%	0.2441	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	19.6839	+4.92%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1945	✗	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	62.7222	+4.89%	70.08	+17.19%	0.0399	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.334586	+4.89%	0.279	-12.54%	0.2582	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.4316	+4.80%	1.34	-1.90%	0.1310	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.8779	+4.77%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3862	✗	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.543491	+4.75%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.1117	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0867	+4.68%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.2600	✗	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.083607	+4.64%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0273	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008297	+4.63%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.7429	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.669553	+4.62%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0316	✓	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1754	+4.59%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5944	✗	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.8745	+4.55%	18.64	-1.95%	0.1295	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.2841	+4.43%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0969	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.8947	+4.42%	21.87	-8.26%	0.2223	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.184071	+4.35%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.1643	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.759	+4.31%	12.48	-5.38%	0.1583	✗	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009752	+4.30%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.1213	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.22713	+4.24%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0514	✗	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.033962	+4.18%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.3358	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	36.7412	+4.14%	32.14	-8.90%	0.2187	✗	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.761743	+4.12%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.1348	✗	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.052573	+4.09%	0.01937	-61.65%	1.0717	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.905347	+4.06%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2793	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.748	+3.96%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2855	✗	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	87.2971	+3.93%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.3079	✗	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	303.1645	+3.87%	283.16	-2.99%	0.1254	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.837886	+3.83%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.2398	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.1194	+3.75%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.1509	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010354	+3.74%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0997	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.9373	+3.71%	16.19	-11.34%	0.2319	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.056303	+3.69%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1105	✓	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020819	+3.54%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.2043	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1732	+3.49%	1.25	-40.48%	0.6312	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.058702	+3.44%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0393	✗	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009714	+3.34%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1962	✗	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.1143	+3.33%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1725	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.524	+3.26%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3744	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.7367	+3.24%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0772	✗	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	3.0478	+3.24%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0990	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.037941	+3.20%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2106	✓	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.452292	+3.15%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2885	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.1072	+3.12%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1011	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.240336	+3.10%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.1544	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,485.76	+3.06%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0280	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.03873	+3.01%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.0926	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.600705	+2.97%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3861	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	123.8471	+2.95%	106.4	-11.55%	0.2197	✗	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5497	+2.90%	1.384	-8.10%	0.1821	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.531	+2.89%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5591	✗	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	22.1285	+2.88%	26.51	+23.25%	0.1402	✓	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	35,738.22	+2.67%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0178	✓	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	7.1429	+2.63%	5.95	-14.51%	0.2047	✗	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.4014	+2.62%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1704	✗	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.015349	+2.59%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2944	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.520624	+2.57%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1679	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.00007014	+2.56%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0919	✗	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.732562	+2.50%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.2209	✗	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	150.7902	+2.45%	128.58	-12.64%	0.2280	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.973973	+2.39%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2811	✗	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.9585	+2.37%	2.34	-19.03%	0.3167	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.096622	+2.35%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0993	✗	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.2529	+2.34%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2970	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.7846	+2.20%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0380	✗	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	110.7546	+2.16%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1470	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.6225	+2.16%	2.321	-9.58%	0.2057	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7491	+2.12%	5.27	-6.39%	0.1282	✗	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.19635	+2.07%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1555	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.7273	+2.05%	25	+3.18%	0.0485	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.9139	+1.96%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1635	✗	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.8931	+1.94%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0519	✗	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6505	+1.88%	1.37	-15.43%	0.2449	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,706.52	+1.83%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0181	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	193.2842	+1.69%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4940	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8507	+1.67%	2.583	-7.88%	0.1415	✗	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.8654	+1.58%	17.77	-13.49%	0.2333	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.063355	+1.58%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.1007	✗	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.5248	+1.57%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2629	✗	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.3043	+1.53%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.2022	✗	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.1055	+1.52%	2.889	-5.56%	0.1195	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3646	+1.49%	2.17	-6.87%	0.1416	✗	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.3411	+1.40%	18.137	+19.88%	0.0799	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.0406	+1.39%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1726	✗	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	90.4452	+1.35%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1636	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.8266	+1.23%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0920	✗	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.140996	+1.15%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.1458	✗	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.267525	+1.14%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3576	✗	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.246726	+1.12%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0453	✗	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1739	+1.11%	1.003	-13.61%	0.2265	✗	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	23,131.40	+1.02%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.2101	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.7362	+0.92%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0400	✓	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.03011	+0.87%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.2117	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	50.6005	+0.86%	47.35	-5.62%	0.1319	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.134294	+0.85%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.1059	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.6307	+0.81%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4745	✓	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.7165	+0.81%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0116	✓	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	153.4387	+0.72%	148	-2.85%	0.0910	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.9701	+0.69%	13.51	-14.82%	0.2347	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6904	+0.69%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0436	✓	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.7358	+0.64%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0043	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6596	+0.58%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0894	✗	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5093	+0.55%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0067	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.4439	+0.54%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3763	✗	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0766	+0.49%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2894	✗	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	97.5424	+0.49%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1804	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.150311	+0.34%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0484	✗	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036431	+0.33%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0758	✗	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9687	+0.15%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3363	✗	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.156555	+0.11%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.1158	✗	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.078778	+0.06%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0603	✗	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9727	-0.32%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0794	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.707103	-0.49%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7706	✗	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.059071	-0.55%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0241	✓	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012679	-0.56%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0352	✓	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7059	-0.62%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0055	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	62.4937	-0.63%	50.13	-20.29%	0.3183	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.0305	-1.22%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1216	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.483	-1.39%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1248	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	28.5244	-2.55%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2352	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.547612	-3.21%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1958	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.052063	-3.91%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8705	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.502351	-8.36%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.4899	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.754	-8.63%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1177	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.9622	-8.74%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0402	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.2929	-10.48%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4296	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.398136	-10.61%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.0111	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.064078	-11.03%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.6993	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.2682	-11.45%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2717	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.