2022-01-15 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0803

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.38%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

92.8%

in alpha space · 95.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.27%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.78	148.2801	+0.34%	96.43	-34.75%	0.4170	✗	1.04	164.2M	2022-02-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068548	0.068489	-0.09%	0.064484	-5.93%	0.0481	✓	0.95	537k	2022-02-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.68	26.6344	-0.17%	17.04	-36.13%	0.4230	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-02-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1398	0.138978	-0.59%	0.0983	-29.69%	0.3298	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.074	1.0663	-0.71%	0.759	-29.33%	0.3277	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01388	0.013777	-0.74%	0.01132	-18.44%	0.1806	✓	1.23	2.0M	2022-02-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,098.20	42,725.64	-0.86%	42,548.71	-1.27%	0.0087	✗	1.00	679.0M	2022-02-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.76	2.7331	-0.97%	1.94	-29.71%	0.3260	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3248	0.320212	-1.41%	0.268	-17.49%	0.1616	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7698	3.714	-1.48%	5.8399	+54.91%	0.4518	✗	-0.07	371k	2022-02-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.46	9.3185	-1.50%	5.66	-40.17%	0.4896	✓	0.70	1.0M	2022-02-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	390.86	384.9908	-1.50%	330.66	-15.40%	0.1393	✓	1.00	7.0M	2022-02-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.62	20.2936	-1.58%	15.4	-25.32%	0.2664	✓	0.74	886k	2022-02-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4232	1.3992	-1.68%	0.9283	-34.77%	0.3861	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-02-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.136	-1.69%	2.56	-19.75%	0.1906	✓	0.96	918k	2022-02-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08027	0.078832	-1.79%	0.05226	-34.89%	0.3929	✓	1.42	2.4M	2022-02-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.078916	-1.97%	0.0708	-12.05%	0.0948	✓	1.07	16k	2022-02-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,328.12	3,257.88	-2.11%	2,931.01	-11.93%	0.0923	✓	1.05	533.9M	2022-02-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.843	2.7819	-2.15%	2.341	-17.66%	0.1611	✓	0.89	25k	2022-02-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.16	13.8448	-2.23%	9.58	-32.34%	0.3537	✓	1.13	3.0M	2022-02-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3025	8.1167	-2.24%	6.5803	-20.74%	0.1922	✓	1.38	263k	2022-02-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.324	1.2943	-2.24%	0.909	-31.34%	0.3362	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,685.80	41,701.49	-2.31%	42,156.20	-1.24%	0.0234	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.757762	0.739773	-2.37%	0.593972	-21.61%	0.2054	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07028	0.068577	-2.42%	0.02976	-57.66%	0.8193	✓	1.21	14.7M	2022-02-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.47	8.2578	-2.51%	6	-29.16%	0.3069	✓	0.98	4.1M	2022-02-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.871	7.6736	-2.51%	7.402	-5.96%	0.0198	✓	1.27	260k	2022-02-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003082	0.000030043	-2.52%	0.00002958	-4.02%	0.0018	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.39	8.178	-2.53%	5.39	-35.76%	0.4056	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11024	0.107353	-2.62%	0.09436	-14.40%	0.1146	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010109	0.000098431	-2.63%	0.00008178	-19.10%	0.1724	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.86	31.994	-2.64%	31.42	-4.38%	0.0050	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-02-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05243	0.051043	-2.65%	0.0437	-16.65%	0.1419	✓	1.05	19k	2022-02-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.49	16.0533	-2.65%	10.62	-35.60%	0.3968	✓	1.28	12.4M	2022-02-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1231	3.0385	-2.71%	2.1432	-31.38%	0.3347	✓	1.12	710k	2022-02-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.64	26.8827	-2.74%	18.7	-32.34%	0.3461	✓	1.32	61.7M	2022-02-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020821	0.020249	-2.75%	0.016621	-20.17%	0.1815	✓	1.25	2.6M	2022-02-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01503	0.014596	-2.89%	0.01219	-18.90%	0.1636	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3205	-2.91%	1.7	-28.87%	0.2980	✓	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9833	0.953874	-2.99%	0.545	-44.57%	0.5464	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.69	28.8015	-2.99%	20.75	-30.11%	0.3141	✓	1.08	15.5M	2022-02-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.7	6.4981	-3.01%	5.47	-18.36%	0.1638	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.79	27.9082	-3.06%	28.49	-1.04%	0.0294	✓	0.68	360k	2022-02-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.11	53.4085	-3.09%	41.27	-25.11%	0.2398	✓	1.41	649k	2022-02-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.875	1.817	-3.09%	1.61	-14.13%	0.1063	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-02-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.089	2.0217	-3.22%	1.7556	-15.96%	0.1279	✓	1.03	95k	2022-02-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.61	29.6208	-3.23%	21.2	-30.74%	0.3155	✓	1.48	1.0M	2022-02-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.02	7.7588	-3.26%	6.47	-19.33%	0.1736	✓	0.62	680k	2022-02-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.18	185.9106	-3.26%	123.15	-35.92%	0.3973	✓	1.13	145k	2022-02-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2922	1.249	-3.34%	1.05	-18.74%	0.1592	✓	1.12	95.6M	2022-02-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.81	0.782845	-3.35%	0.502	-38.02%	0.4257	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-02-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5948	0.573251	-3.62%	0.4039	-32.09%	0.3346	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-02-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1806	0.173958	-3.68%	0.1626	-9.97%	0.0561	✓	0.89	423k	2022-02-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.534	0.514288	-3.69%	0.364	-31.84%	0.3292	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.0784	-3.71%	0.94	-16.07%	0.1128	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-02-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1141	0.109767	-3.80%	0.0819	-28.22%	0.2785	✓	1.12	296k	2022-02-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.344	19.5612	-3.85%	19.607	-3.62%	0.0228	✓	1.59	10.8M	2022-02-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.083533	-3.87%	0.0868	-0.12%	0.0564	✗	1.40	1.1M	2022-02-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0544	0.052273	-3.91%	0.0338	-37.87%	0.4184	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-02-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.184596	0.177301	-3.95%	0.145821	-21.01%	0.1815	✓	1.09	5.4M	2022-02-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3785	1.3226	-4.05%	0.9001	-34.70%	0.3704	✓	1.13	30.5M	2022-02-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259056	0.248553	-4.05%	0.210709	-18.66%	0.1520	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-02-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.458	2.3579	-4.07%	1.753	-28.68%	0.2823	✓	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028908	0.027726	-4.09%	0.021238	-26.53%	0.2534	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.71	5.4685	-4.23%	4.21	-26.27%	0.2478	✓	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.36	138.245	-4.24%	120.62	-16.44%	0.1206	✓	1.23	10.9M	2022-02-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.282	4.0975	-4.31%	3.9473	-7.82%	0.0200	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	7.6936	-4.31%	6.76	-15.92%	0.1199	✓	0.74	705k	2022-02-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1719	0.164461	-4.33%	0.1573	-8.49%	0.0288	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.08	89.0178	-4.36%	81.84	-12.08%	0.0697	✓	1.12	107.5M	2022-02-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0188	-4.37%	0.80709	-24.24%	0.2106	✓	1.74	937k	2022-02-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	218.2	208.6634	-4.37%	176.38	-19.17%	0.1563	✓	0.92	3.1M	2022-02-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.944	4.7238	-4.45%	4.631	-6.33%	0.0113	✓	0.66	469k	2022-02-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.6	160.0582	-4.50%	121.35	-27.60%	0.2651	✓	0.91	6.7M	2022-02-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2669	0.254872	-4.51%	0.2046	-23.34%	0.2029	✓	1.31	3.9M	2022-02-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057912	0.055273	-4.56%	0.046133	-20.34%	0.1658	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.33	134.8779	-4.57%	103.84	-26.53%	0.2465	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-02-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.4449	-4.57%	2.29	-36.57%	0.3905	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-02-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1257	1.0741	-4.59%	0.8459	-24.86%	0.2263	✓	0.97	23.2M	2022-02-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.81	9.3594	-4.59%	7.22	-26.40%	0.2597	✓	-0.01	1.5M	2022-02-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01703	0.016243	-4.62%	0.01366	-19.79%	0.1648	✓	0.66	24k	2022-02-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.28	5.0341	-4.66%	4.58	-13.26%	0.0796	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09328	0.088917	-4.68%	0.07495	-19.65%	0.1616	✓	0.73	49k	2022-02-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.538	1.4657	-4.70%	1.259	-18.14%	0.1347	✓	1.35	4.2M	2022-02-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	154.3287	147.0685	-4.70%	83.68	-45.78%	0.5512	✓	0.99	489k	2022-02-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3139	-4.79%	1.12	-18.84%	0.1386	✓	1.64	556k	2022-02-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.73	140.6192	-4.81%	124.62	-15.64%	0.1034	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-02-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3416	0.324982	-4.86%	0.2742	-19.73%	0.1513	✓	1.45	3.8M	2022-02-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.76	107.1632	-4.96%	93.76	-16.85%	0.1216	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.222	4.0107	-5.00%	3.33	-21.13%	0.1759	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	14.3133	-5.02%	17.92	+18.91%	0.2334	✗	0.68	1.0M	2022-02-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.846	3.65	-5.10%	3.225	-16.15%	0.1147	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1187	0.112639	-5.11%	0.1094	-7.83%	0.0161	✓	1.02	55k	2022-02-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.359594	-5.12%	0.285	-24.80%	0.2228	✓	0.75	44k	2022-02-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01405	0.013322	-5.18%	0.01033	-26.48%	0.2418	✓	0.98	641k	2022-02-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	75.35	71.414	-5.22%	56.82	-24.59%	0.2148	✓	1.08	6.2M	2022-02-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.5	3.3145	-5.30%	2.68	-23.43%	0.1989	✓	1.06	808k	2022-02-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.117	7.6718	-5.49%	6.017	-25.87%	0.2337	✓	0.72	188k	2022-02-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1939	0.18317	-5.53%	0.1748	-9.85%	0.0380	✓	0.68	464k	2022-02-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04139	0.039084	-5.57%	0.02945	-28.85%	0.2716	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-02-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.09	6.6934	-5.59%	6.6557	-6.13%	0.0047	✓	0.81	3.8M	2022-02-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01441	0.013596	-5.65%	0.00566	-60.72%	0.8459	✓	2.37	25.3M	2022-02-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.7	273.2933	-5.66%	167.33	-42.24%	0.4757	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-02-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.0628	-5.76%	1.84	-43.38%	0.4932	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3345	0.314952	-5.84%	0.2886	-13.72%	0.0742	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0176	-6.17%	0.6376	-41.21%	0.4495	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3614	4.0886	-6.25%	3.5401	-18.83%	0.1279	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3546	3.1358	-6.52%	3.9552	+17.90%	0.2475	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.55	81.6562	-6.73%	53.94	-38.39%	0.3918	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-02-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0756	0.070426	-6.84%	0.0688	-8.99%	0.0105	✓	1.00	27.0M	2022-02-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.22	33.6999	-6.96%	26.44	-27.00%	0.2214	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-02-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.34	3.1032	-7.09%	2.793	-16.38%	0.0831	✓	1.74	1.1M	2022-02-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.19	23.3917	-7.14%	15.9	-36.88%	0.3716	✓	1.13	74.2M	2022-02-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1369	3.8388	-7.21%	3.4806	-15.86%	0.0890	✓	0.70	2,257	2022-02-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9986	2.7824	-7.21%	2.8438	-5.16%	0.0348	✓	1.01	5.1M	2022-02-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.66	9.8896	-7.23%	11.42	+7.13%	0.1536	✗	0.76	898k	2022-02-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.158	10.3449	-7.29%	7.128	-36.12%	0.3707	✓	0.14	40k	2022-02-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.677	0.626322	-7.49%	0.4478	-33.86%	0.3179	✓	1.37	2.7M	2022-02-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20848	0.192483	-7.67%	0.1719	-17.55%	0.0930	✓	1.57	5,360	2022-02-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.55	30.0201	-7.77%	20.74	-36.28%	0.3520	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-02-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7349	0.677505	-7.81%	0.5481	-25.42%	0.1958	✓	1.26	3.7M	2022-02-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.55	3.2671	-7.97%	1.81	-49.01%	0.5745	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-02-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6358	0.584716	-8.03%	0.5644	-11.23%	0.0176	✓	1.38	736k	2022-02-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	238.63	219.3916	-8.06%	161.11	-32.49%	0.2941	✓	1.14	17.6M	2022-02-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.04	6.462	-8.21%	4.07	-42.19%	0.4459	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-02-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3528	1.2413	-8.24%	1.039	-23.19%	0.1645	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5259	1.3922	-8.76%	1.9224	+25.98%	0.3338	✗	0.86	926k	2022-02-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3273	1.21	-8.84%	1.0452	-21.25%	0.1288	✓	1.37	3.9M	2022-02-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.757	6.1299	-9.28%	4.6155	-31.69%	0.2688	✓	1.16	457k	2022-02-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0618	0.956265	-9.94%	1.2512	+17.84%	0.2818	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6962	1.5273	-9.95%	1.1301	-33.37%	0.2899	✓	0.88	502k	2022-02-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	4.7525	-9.99%	2.91	-44.89%	0.4729	✓	1.37	32.4M	2022-02-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.16	34.908	-10.86%	27.16	-30.64%	0.2389	✓	0.94	86.7M	2022-02-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.13	9.8524	-11.48%	7.17	-35.58%	0.3152	✓	0.21	2.6M	2022-02-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,487.36	29,623.27	-11.54%	23,089.90	-31.05%	0.2405	✓	0.68	26.4M	2022-02-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.087032	0.07661	-11.97%	0.028657	-67.07%	0.9705	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8963	0.785644	-12.35%	0.4399	-50.92%	0.5578	✓	1.73	38.7M	2022-02-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46	39.9237	-13.21%	44.85	-2.50%	0.1300	✓	1.06	21.8M	2022-02-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.09	4.3855	-13.84%	4.35	-14.54%	0.0024	✓	0.82	471k	2022-02-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.