2022-01-11 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1702

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.55%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.2%

in alpha space · 82.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	141.7926	+1.09%	106.25	-24.25%	0.3068	✗	1.02	194.0M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065318	+0.59%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0324	✓	0.93	552k	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.154555	+0.54%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0388	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.7443	-0.02%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3780	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0411	-0.37%	0.845	-19.14%	0.2255	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.146532	-0.39%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2534	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013806	-0.39%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.1462	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,563.40	-0.44%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0045	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.4812	-0.53%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0708	✓	1.36	273k	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	366.9693	-0.78%	341.1	-7.77%	0.0910	✓	0.99	8.5M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	7.0387	-0.78%	7.756	+9.33%	0.0747	✗	1.25	271k	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.307613	-0.80%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.1260	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7752	-0.89%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2740	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000027339	-1.02%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.0972	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.078933	-1.04%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.3339	✓	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.1486	-1.18%	16.26	-20.26%	0.2275	✓	0.73	1.0M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.047027	-1.31%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0742	✓	1.07	17k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.2634	-1.44%	34.39	+15.83%	0.1434	✗	1.01	3.2M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.074849	-1.51%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0035	✓	1.05	19k	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,190.71	-1.55%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0557	✓	1.04	591.9M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.4976	-1.55%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3507	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4683	-1.56%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3782	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1161	-1.58%	1.8	-16.28%	0.1804	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000092074	-1.59%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0132	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.1415	-1.60%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2267	✓	1.29	70.4M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6721	-1.61%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5145	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.7182	-1.69%	2.505	-9.40%	0.0977	✓	0.89	29k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.1454	-1.71%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1700	✓	0.96	977k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2501	-1.80%	1.029	-19.17%	0.2186	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.4937	-1.82%	6.43	-33.51%	0.4017	✓	0.67	1.2M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.70528	-1.86%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0605	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.069432	-1.88%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5807	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	55.0192	-1.94%	45.02	-19.76%	0.2259	✓	1.41	736k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.0391	-1.96%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2756	✓	1.08	2.2M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.102854	-2.01%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0230	✓	1.11	23k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1639	-2.02%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0301	✓	1.08	95.6M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.018313	-2.05%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.0866	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.8429	-2.09%	5.69	-28.96%	0.3369	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.6429	-2.11%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3384	✓	1.27	13.1M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.2774	-2.11%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0810	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.4547	-2.26%	6.28	-27.40%	0.3146	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	2.9605	-2.33%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2424	✓	1.08	699k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080441	-2.38%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2330	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	184.3358	-2.45%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3492	✓	1.13	161k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.72848	-2.48%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2847	✓	1.41	7.7M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.936026	-2.50%	1	+4.17%	0.0350	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.01438	-2.51%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.0959	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	41,697.47	-2.51%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0263	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8119	-2.59%	1.719	-7.58%	0.0731	✓	1.14	2.3M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	187.9297	-2.63%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0640	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.1863	-2.66%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0433	✓	1.14	446k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.502221	-2.67%	0.408	-20.93%	0.2305	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.5976	-2.69%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1491	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	27.6509	-2.71%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0026	✓	0.67	363k	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.0943	-2.75%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2127	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	28.6127	-2.78%	23.69	-19.50%	0.2150	✓	1.46	1.0M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	18.8281	-2.84%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0551	✗	1.59	13.0M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	127.8781	-2.88%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0273	✓	1.33	35.0M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.2443	-2.89%	1.987	-14.02%	0.1410	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3576	-2.89%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0499	✓	1.34	5.2M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.552499	-2.92%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.2016	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.7636	-2.95%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1348	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.106882	-3.01%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.1709	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.01308	-3.11%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1567	✓	0.97	756k	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.0354	-3.19%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.0962	✓	1.04	83k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.171919	-3.31%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0577	✓	0.89	463k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.028271	-3.40%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.2111	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.906384	-3.46%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3286	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.3891	-3.50%	7.67	-21.17%	0.2013	✓	-0.05	1.6M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.166941	-3.52%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.2009	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.628152	-3.52%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0616	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	86.4362	-3.60%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0337	✓	1.10	115.7M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.154696	-3.62%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0644	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.110337	-3.64%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0137	✓	1.01	67k	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.055279	-3.70%	0.035	-39.02%	0.4811	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	251.1283	-3.70%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3582	✓	1.14	1.3M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.015831	-3.70%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1565	✓	0.63	27k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.558294	-3.73%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.1112	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0149	-3.78%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1708	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	135.9802	-3.82%	124.85	-11.69%	0.1078	✓	1.25	10.9M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.0137	-3.87%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0040	✓	1.33	4.6M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.253841	-3.88%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.1476	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.25259	-4.02%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1044	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.7682	-4.10%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1406	✓	0.74	741k	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.6167	-4.10%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0129	✓	0.64	481k	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.304	-4.12%	1.22	-10.29%	0.0961	✓	1.64	738k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	105.6694	-4.13%	98.35	-10.77%	0.0886	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	4.8695	-4.14%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0510	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	0.982283	-4.17%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.3349	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.6579	-4.19%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1335	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	162.4308	-4.21%	140.08	-17.39%	0.1647	✓	0.93	7.5M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.8054	-4.25%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3255	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.087446	-4.26%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0671	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.345439	-4.31%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2195	✓	0.72	39k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	7.8601	-4.39%	6.466	-21.35%	0.2077	✓	0.69	221k	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.321481	-4.41%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0644	✓	1.44	3.8M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.1273	-4.42%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2310	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	135.46	-4.50%	111.66	-21.28%	0.2146	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	69.3644	-4.65%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1095	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.1775	-4.77%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0085	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.0859	-4.83%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1520	✓	0.95	23.2M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.4348	-4.85%	2.59	-28.25%	0.3067	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3744	-5.00%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3559	✓	1.11	32.1M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.2762	-5.04%	2.76	-20.00%	0.1899	✓	1.03	715k	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	157.1179	-5.10%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5276	✓	0.99	540k	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.6629	-5.17%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0791	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	202.0969	-5.25%	175.4	-17.76%	0.1619	✓	1.13	17.6M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.039638	-5.26%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.2796	✓	0.88	8.4M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.305771	-5.28%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0222	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	3.9553	-5.30%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1304	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.013786	-5.45%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.7258	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.1327	-5.69%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1564	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	2.9967	-5.93%	3.654	+14.70%	0.1766	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.7566	-5.96%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.1124	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.193816	-6.01%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.0831	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	68.7642	-6.53%	52.32	-28.88%	0.2913	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.071954	-6.55%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0155	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.2801	-6.62%	1.874	+36.70%	0.3657	✗	0.86	922k	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	37.1386	-6.64%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1631	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.4031	-7.14%	8.495	-24.17%	0.2044	✓	0.10	56k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.4785	-7.15%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.1758	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.2865	-7.16%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2976	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.3141	-7.17%	2.07	-42.02%	0.4933	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	34.0964	-7.45%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0364	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.2111	-7.56%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.1120	✓	1.36	4.5M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.4457	-7.79%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4028	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.059865	-7.79%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.1937	✓	1.20	7.3M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.5423	-7.81%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0135	✓	0.69	3,116	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.818575	-8.24%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.4633	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	31.4139	-8.81%	21.59	-37.33%	0.3997	✓	1.37	29.9M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	24.2329	-8.90%	17.51	-34.17%	0.3451	✓	1.12	70.9M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.1891	-9.13%	3.2	-30.59%	0.2941	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.566101	-9.58%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0100	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.07777	-10.01%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.8021	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	34.4315	-11.05%	29.1	-24.83%	0.1847	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	29,102.44	-11.19%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.1857	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	9.8845	-11.98%	8.52	-24.13%	0.1514	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.2891	-12.66%	2.821	-25.09%	0.1858	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.595735	-12.73%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.1795	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.