2022-01-10 · +30d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0343

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.99%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.4%

in alpha space · 54.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.98977	+4.29%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.2422	✗	0.90	3.2M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.082529	+4.02%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.4150	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.064971	+2.34%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0168	✓	0.95	552k	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	138.4123	+1.86%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2604	✗	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3639	+1.78%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0537	✗	1.68	764k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	143.5969	+1.67%	126.05	-10.75%	0.2104	✗	1.33	10.9M	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.8138	+1.61%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0589	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	42,261.96	+1.53%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0076	✓	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.550788	+1.53%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1995	✗	1.29	12.5M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0444	+1.30%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2909	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7652	+1.29%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2724	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.9169	+1.26%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0810	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018376	+1.20%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1506	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	367.7361	+1.15%	346.21	-4.77%	0.1214	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.159849	+1.04%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1864	✗	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.144601	+1.03%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0296	✓	1.09	4.8M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.142324	+1.01%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.2145	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.6271	+0.98%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0113	✗	0.69	370k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	28.2817	+0.97%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1832	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.695466	+0.93%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0522	✗	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.6145	+0.92%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2958	✗	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0675	+0.87%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0072	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.253156	+0.86%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.1275	✗	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	127.5497	+0.81%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0138	✓	1.34	35.1M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.056046	+0.80%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5890	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.479	+0.75%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.4139	✗	1.92	1.4M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4435	+0.68%	8.263	+29.11%	0.1731	✓	1.26	271k	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.603	+0.67%	3.347	-6.48%	0.1144	✗	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.112337	+0.66%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0130	✓	1.05	67k	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1305	+0.62%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0106	✗	1.09	95.6M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.708195	+0.60%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2671	✗	1.43	7.7M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.2263	+0.56%	3.796	-9.68%	0.1545	✗	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7609	+0.51%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.5978	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	32,172.04	+0.51%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.2401	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.2453	+0.50%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3434	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.108514	+0.48%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.2069	✗	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.8553	+0.47%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0084	✗	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.634722	+0.46%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0935	✗	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1164	+0.44%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.1477	✗	0.98	22.7M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013175	+0.42%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.1227	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027739	+0.34%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1964	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2599	+0.34%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0932	✗	1.42	268k	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.344093	+0.32%	0.288	-16.03%	0.2213	✗	0.72	38k	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8927	+0.30%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2525	✗	1.09	665k	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.313788	+0.28%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0645	✗	1.49	4.1M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.069105	+0.28%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5958	✗	1.23	16.9M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026767	+0.25%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1344	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.5301	+0.18%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1081	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.1088	+0.13%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0230	✗	1.19	446k	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5797	+0.13%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0963	✗	0.61	714k	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079493	+0.12%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0042	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.497476	+0.10%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2807	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.3512	+0.04%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1988	✗	1.49	736k	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.2573	+0.00%	144.23	-20.86%	0.3039	✗	1.16	180k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.7175	-0.01%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1547	✓	1.30	70.4M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1361	-0.01%	24.32	-13.57%	0.2087	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1468	-0.05%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.0855	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1284	-0.05%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1595	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.014001	-0.06%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0031	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.252895	-0.07%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.1183	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098266	-0.08%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0256	✗	1.12	23k	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.8988	-0.09%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0994	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.5406	-0.09%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.4403	✓	1.11	515k	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1868	-0.10%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1685	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,080.14	-0.11%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0109	✓	1.05	591.9M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.312444	-0.11%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0409	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.6678	-0.12%	188.2	-5.85%	0.1286	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090255	-0.15%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0144	✗	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.0576	-0.16%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1575	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.0805	-0.20%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2790	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	241.6867	-0.20%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2982	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.0279	-0.26%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0409	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.348	-0.26%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2831	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1911	-0.28%	2.94	-8.12%	0.1443	✓	1.04	715k	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.297982	-0.34%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0813	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070459	-0.34%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0555	✗	1.06	19k	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.2421	-0.38%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0776	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.547875	-0.39%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0945	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.4924	-0.46%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0283	✗	0.63	474k	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046465	-0.50%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0605	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0591	-0.53%	1.93	-6.76%	0.1294	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3757	-0.53%	6	-6.40%	0.0989	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,593.97	-0.55%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0055	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.172933	-0.56%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0851	✓	0.91	479k	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.1786	-0.57%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2078	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012889	-0.63%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.1260	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9886	-0.67%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0617	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1502	-0.77%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0602	✓	1.08	1.9M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8375	-0.87%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1193	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.5405	-0.91%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0945	✓	0.76	705k	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.8316	-0.92%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0028	✓	1.62	13.0M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	19.9006	-0.94%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2493	✓	1.04	1.1M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1212	-0.95%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.0804	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	146.7378	-0.97%	114.95	-22.42%	0.3192	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.179683	-1.00%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0001	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.7706	-1.01%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2990	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.8278	-1.03%	7.06	-20.85%	0.2633	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3129	-1.06%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0043	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.6463	-1.22%	47.97	+25.87%	0.1769	✗	1.09	20.0M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.4964	-1.27%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1528	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.986592	-1.28%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1541	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0155	-1.28%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3730	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.7123	-1.30%	10.91	+10.87%	0.0720	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.084785	-1.44%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0300	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.3937	-1.51%	6.897	-8.13%	0.1079	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	33.727	-1.64%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4629	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.9483	-1.82%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2379	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015109	-1.89%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1729	✓	0.68	29k	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.7866	-1.91%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2626	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3341	-2.08%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.3203	✓	1.14	32.1M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.2853	-2.26%	7.48	-21.26%	0.2123	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.7509	-2.38%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1343	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.2128	-2.48%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2695	✓	1.40	30.4M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.2772	-2.51%	18.7	-33.17%	0.4505	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.041009	-2.52%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3284	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.3669	-2.94%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3688	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6361	-2.98%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0646	✓	0.90	31k	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.3756	-3.00%	2.28	-34.48%	0.4672	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3333	-3.03%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3367	✗	0.88	922k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6211	-3.07%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0686	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2275	-3.19%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.1292	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.908728	-3.33%	1.09	+15.96%	0.0769	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.2458	-3.75%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0969	✓	0.05	56k	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	65.7596	-3.86%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0342	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	36.0237	-4.77%	30.94	-18.21%	0.2074	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.1772	-4.89%	9.31	-12.99%	0.0959	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.076802	-5.28%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.3569	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.5859	-5.39%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3302	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.764126	-5.39%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5347	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.072885	-5.59%	0.086	+11.40%	0.1053	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013097	-6.11%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.7083	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.9356	-6.21%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3608	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.159642	-6.54%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2733	✗	1.57	4,992	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.560818	-6.79%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0961	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.415	-8.34%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0799	✓	0.75	3,355	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	63.5455	-8.51%	57.56	-17.13%	0.1591	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.2631	-8.60%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1717	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.565552	-9.50%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0265	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.074901	-13.28%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.7528	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.